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In this paper we develop a probabilistic model of single-particle diffusion in 1D multi-layered media by constructing a multi-layered version of so-called snapping out Brownian motion (BM). The latter sews together successive rounds of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-01-10 Paul C. Bressloff

In probability theory and statistics, the IID model represents a single population, and a large, potentially infinite sample from this population. Main theorems, in particular the central limit theorem and laws of large number (LLN) assure…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-02 Uwe Saint-Mont

In the idealized Morgan model of crossover, we study the probability distributions of shared DNA (identical by descent) between individuals having a wide range of relationships (not just lineal descendants), especially cases for which…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-08 William H. Press , John Hawkins

Renewal processes are a popular approach used in modelling infectious disease outbreaks. In a renewal process, previous infections give rise to future infections. However, while this formulation seems sensible, its application to infectious…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-01 Swapnil Mishra , Tresnia Berah , Thomas A. Mellan , H. Juliette T. Unwin , Michaela A Vollmer , Kris V Parag , Axel Gandy , Seth Flaxman , Samir Bhatt

Recent work has proven the existence of extreme inbreeding in a European ancestry sample taken from the contemporary UK population \cite{nature_01}. This result brings our attention again to a math problem related to inbreeding family trees…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-08 C. Jarne , F A. Gómez Albarracín , M. Caruso

Via a coupling argument, it is proved that the solution to a renewal equation has a power law decay rate in the case of a spread out interarrival distribution. By the regenerative property, the convergence in distribution for the recurrence…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-28 Luis Iván Hernández Ruíz

We propose a new framework for designing test and query functions for complex structures that vary across a given parameter such as genetic marker position. The operations we are interested in include equality testing, set operations,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2013-02-20 Hoyt Koepke , Elizabeth Thompson

Approximate Bayesian computation methods are useful for generative models with intractable likelihoods. These methods are however sensitive to the dimension of the parameter space, requiring exponentially increasing resources as this…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-09 Grégoire Clarté , Christian P. Robert , Robin Ryder , Julien Stoehr

When an infectious disease outbreak is of a relatively small size, describing the ancestry of a sample of infected individuals is difficult because most ancestral models assume large population sizes. Given a set of infected individuals, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-31 Xavier Didelot , David Helekal , Ian Roberts

The renewal contact process is a non-Markovian variant of the classical contact process in which recoveries are governed by independent renewal processes with interarrival distribution $\mu$. We establish new sufficient conditions ensuring…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-29 Gustavo O. de Carvalho , Lucas R. de Lima

A large offspring number diploid biparental multilocus population model of Moran type is our object of study. At each timestep, a pair of diploid individuals drawn uniformly at random contribute offspring to the population. The number of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-31 Matthias Birkner , Jochen Blath , Bjarki Eldon

Widely used models in genetics include the Wright-Fisher diffusion and its moment dual, Kingman's coalescent. Each has a multilocus extension but under neither extension is the sampling distribution available in closed-form, and their…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-24 Paul A. Jenkins , Paul Fearnhead , Yun S. Song

Deep convolutional neural network (DCNN) based supervised learning is a widely practiced approach for large-scale image classification. However, retraining these large networks to accommodate new, previously unseen data demands high…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-26 Syed Shakib Sarwar , Aayush Ankit , Kaushik Roy

Kingman derived the Ewens sampling formula for random partitions describing the genetic variation in a neutral mutation model defined by a Poisson process of mutations along lines of descent governed by a simple coalescent process, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rui Dong , Alexander Gnedin , Jim Pitman

In this paper, we consider the evolution of an (infinitely large) population under recombination and additional evolutionary forces, modelled by a measure-valued ordinary differential equation. We provide a stochastic representation for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-03 Frederic Alberti

Genomes contain the mutational footprint of an organism's evolutionary history, shaped by diverse forces including ecological factors, selective pressures, and life history traits. The sequentially Markovian coalescent (SMC) is a versatile…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-03 David Peede , Trevor Cousins , Arun Durvasula , Anastasia Ignatieva , Toby G. L. Kovacs , Alba Nieto , Emily E. Puckett , Elizabeth T. Chevy

We propose the attraction Indian buffet distribution (AIBD), a distribution for binary feature matrices influenced by pairwise similarity information. Binary feature matrices are used in Bayesian models to uncover latent variables (i.e.,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-19 Richard L. Warr , David B. Dahl , Jeremy M. Meyer , Arthur Lui

The sample-based Gibbs sampler has been the dominant method for approximating joint distribution from a collection of compatible full-conditional distributions. However for conditionally specified model, mixtures of incompatible full and…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-04 Kun-Lin Kuo , Yuchung J. Wang

In neuroscience, the time elapsed since the last discharge has been used to predict the probability of the next discharge. Such predictions can be improved taking into account the last two discharge times, and possibly more. Such multi-time…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Xu'An Dou , Benoît Perthame , Chenjiayue Qi , Delphine Salort , Zhennan Zhou

The versatility of renewal theory is owed to its abstract formulation. Renewals can be interpreted as steps of a random walk, switching events in two-state models, domain crossings of a random motion, etc. We here discuss a renewal process…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-03-03 Johannes H. P. Schulz , Eli Barkai , Ralf Metzler