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We study the problem of selection of regularization parameter in penalized Gaussian graphical models. When the goal is to obtain the model with good predicting power, cross validation is the gold standard. We present a new estimator of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-06 Ivan Vujacic , Antonino Abbruzzo , Ernst Wit

We derive an information criterion to select a parametric model of complete-data distribution when only incomplete or partially observed data is available. Compared with AIC, our new criterion has an additional penalty term for missing…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-07 Hidetoshi Shimodaira , Haruyoshi Maeda

We consider model selection in generalized linear models (GLM) for high-dimensional data and propose a wide class of model selection criteria based on penalized maximum likelihood with a complexity penalty on the model size. We derive a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-31 Felix Abramovich , Vadim Grinshtein

We propose a new model selection method, the posterior averaging information criterion, for Bayesian model assessment from a predictive perspective. The theoretical foundation is built on the Kullback-Leibler divergence to quantify the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Shouhao Zhou

To characterize the Kullback-Leibler divergence and Fisher information in general parametrized hidden Markov models, in this paper, we first show that the log likelihood and its derivatives can be represented as an additive functional of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-15 Cheng-Der Fuh , Chu-Lan Michael Kao , Tianxiao Pang

Bayesian model averaging is a practical method for dealing with uncertainty due to model specification. Use of this technique requires the estimation of model probability weights. In this work, we revisit the derivation of estimators for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-05 Ethan T. Neil , Jacob W. Sitison

AIC is commonly used for model selection but the precise value of AIC has no direct interpretation. We are interested in quantifying a difference of risks between two models. This may be useful for both an explanatory point of view or for…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-07-28 D. Commenges , A. Sayyareh , L. Letenneur , J. Guedj , A. Bar-Hen

Accurate model selection is a fundamental requirement for statistical analysis. In many real-world applications of graphical modelling, correct model structure identification is the ultimate objective. Standard model validation procedures…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-28 Robert O'Shea

The widely applicable information criterion (WAIC) has been used as a model selection criterion for Bayesian statistics in recent years. It is an asymptotically unbiased estimator of the Kullback-Leibler divergence between a Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

Model selection plays an important role in longitudinal data analysis, especially when models are estimated using the generalized method of moments (GMM) in the presence of time-dependent covariates. In this setting, the number of valid…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Mahmud Hasan , Mathias Nthiani Muia , Mous-Abou Hamadou , Niloofar Ramezani

Optimum designs for parameter estimation in generalized regression models are standardly based on the Fisher information matrix (cf. Atkinson et al (2014) for a recent exposition). The corresponding optimality criteria are related to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Katarína Burclová , Andrej Pázman

For the multivariate linear regression model with unknown covariance, the corrected Akaike information criterion is the minimum variance unbiased estimator of the expected Kullback--Leibler discrepancy. In this study, based on the loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-20 Takeru Matsuda

We emphasize that it is possible to improve the principle of unbiased risk estimation for model selection by addressing excess risk deviations in the design of penalization procedures. Indeed, we propose a modification of Akaike's…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-23 Adrien Saumard , Fabien Navarro

We propose algorithms to approximate directed information graphs. Directed information graphs are probabilistic graphical models that depict causal dependencies between stochastic processes in a network. The proposed algorithms identify…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-17 Christopher J. Quinn , Ali Pinar , Negar Kiyavash

Non-concave penalized maximum likelihood methods, such as the Bridge, the SCAD, and the MCP, are widely used because they not only do parameter estimation and variable selection simultaneously but also have a high efficiency as compared to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-31 Yuta Umezu , Yusuke Shimizu , Hiroki Masuda , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

Model selection is indispensable to high-dimensional sparse modeling in selecting the best set of covariates among a sequence of candidate models. Most existing work assumes implicitly that the model is correctly specified or of fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-24 Pallavi Basu , Yang Feng , Jinchi Lv

In a Gaussian graphical model, the conditional independence between two variables are characterized by the corresponding zero entries in the inverse covariance matrix. Maximum likelihood method using the smoothly clipped absolute deviation…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-07 Xin Gao , Daniel Q. Pu , Yuehua Wu , Hong Xu

A method for selecting a graphical model for $p$-vector-valued stationary Gaussian time series was recently proposed by Matsuda and uses the Kullback-Leibler divergence measure to define a test statistic. This statistic was used in a…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-19 R. J. Wolstenholme , A. T. Walden

In this article, we develop a modern perspective on Akaike's Information Criterion and Mallows' Cp for model selection. Despite the diff erences in their respective motivation, they are equivalent in the special case of Gaussian linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-27 Aurélie Boisbunon , Stephane Canu , Dominique Fourdrinier , William Strawderman , Martin T. Wells

An initial screening experiment may lead to ambiguous conclusions regarding the factors which are active in explaining the variation of an outcome variable: thus adding follow-up runs becomes necessary. We propose a fully Bayes objective…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-13 Guido Consonni , Laura Deldossi
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