Related papers: Joint Hitting-Time Densities for Finite State Mark…
We consider systems of stochastic fixed-point equations that arise in the asymptotic analysis of random recursive structures and algorithms such as Quicksort, generalized P\'olya urn processes and path lengths of random recursive trees and…
Changing time of simple continuous-time Markov counting processes by independent unit-rate Poisson processes results in Markov counting processes for which we provide closed-form transition rates via composition of trajectories and with…
A hidden Markov model (HMM) is said to have path-mergeable states if for any two states i,j there exists a word w and state k such that it is possible to transition from both i and j to k while emitting w. We show that for a finite HMM with…
This paper develops power series expansions of a general class of moment functions, including transition densities and option prices, of continuous-time Markov processes, including jump--diffusions. The proposed expansions extend the ones…
We investigate the effects of markovian resseting events on continuous time random walks where the waiting times and the jump lengths are random variables distributed according to power law probability density functions. We prove the…
Markov jump processes (or continuous-time Markov chains) are a simple and important class of continuous-time dynamical systems. In this paper, we tackle the problem of simulating from the posterior distribution over paths in these models,…
We consider a model for a queue in which only a fixed number $N$ of customers can join. Each customer joins the queue independently at an exponentially distributed time. Assuming further that the service times are independent and follow an…
A finite dimensional quantum system for which the quantum chaos conjecture applies has eigenstates, which show the same statistical properties than the column vectors of random orthogonal or unitary matrices. Here, we consider the different…
In this paper, we present a novel iterative Monte Carlo method for approximating the stationary probability of a single state of a positive recurrent Markov chain. We utilize the characterization that the stationary probability of a state…
From the Poisson-Dirichlet diffusions to the $Z$-measure diffusions, they all have explicit transition densities. In this paper, we will show that the transition densities of the $Z$-measure diffusions can also be expressed as a mixture of…
Generating synthetic financial time series that preserve the statistical properties of real market data is essential for stress testing, risk model validation, and scenario design. Existing approaches struggle to simultaneously reproduce…
This paper studies the first hitting times of generalized Poisson processes $N^f(t)$, related to Bernstein functions $f$. For the space-fractional Poisson processes, $N^\alpha(t)$, $t>0$ (corresponding to $f= x^\alpha$), the hitting…
We study the long-time behavior of the probability density associated with the decoupled continuous-time random walk which is characterized by a superheavy-tailed distribution of waiting times. It is shown that if the random walk is…
An analytical formula for the occurence probability of Markovian stochastic paths with repeatedly visited and/or equal departure rates is derived. This formula is essential for an efficient investigation of the trajectories belonging to…
We consider random walks in which the walk originates in one set of nodes and then continues until it reaches one or more nodes in a target set. The time required for the walk to reach the target set is of interest in understanding the…
Suppose that $\mathcal C$ is a finite collection of patterns. Observe a Markov chain until one of the patterns in $\mathcal C$ occurs as a run. This time is denoted by $\tau$. In this paper, we aim to give an easy way to calculate the mean…
This paper considers the Poisson equation for general state-space Markov chains in continuous time. The main purpose of this paper is to present specific bounds for the solutions of the Poisson equation for general state-space Markov…
Quantum stochastic master equations of jump type are formulated in a general way and connections with quantum/classical hybrid systems and quantum filtering theory are discussed. By introducing the notion of ``typical trajectory", we show…
Let 0<\alpha<1/2. We show that the mixing time of a continuous-time reversible Markov chain on a finite state space is about as large as the largest expected hitting time of a subset of stationary measure at least \alpha of the state space.…
Let $T_1^{(\mu)}$ be the first hitting time of the point 1 by the Bessel process with index $\mu\in \R$ starting from $x>1$. Using an integral formula for the density $q_x^{(\mu)}(t)$ of $T_1^{(\mu)}$, obtained in Byczkowski, Ryznar (Studia…