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I study peer effects that arise from irreversible decisions in the absence of a standard social equilibrium. I model a latent sequence of decisions in continuous time and obtain a closed-form expression for the likelihood, which allows to…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-18 Vincent Starck

We propose and study properties of maximum likelihood estimators in the class of conditional transformation models. Based on a suitable explicit parameterisation of the unconditional or conditional transformation function, we establish a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-22 Torsten Hothorn , Lisa Möst , Peter Bühlmann

Empirical economic research frequently applies maximum likelihood estimation in cases where the likelihood function is analytically intractable. Most of the theoretical literature focuses on maximum simulated likelihood (MSL) estimators,…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-13 Michael Griebel , Florian Heiss , Jens Oettershagen , Constantin Weiser

The presence of units with extreme values in the dependent and/or independent variables (i.e., vertical outliers, leveraged data) has the potential to severely bias regression coefficients and/or standard errors. This is common with short…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-12 Annalivia Polselli

Dynamic prediction of causal effects under different treatment regimes conditional on an individual's characteristics and longitudinal history is an essential problem in precision medicine. This is challenging in practice because outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Yizhen Xu , Jisoo Kim , Laura K. Hummers , Ami A. Shah , Scott Zeger

In this paper, we propose a data-adaptive empirical likelihood-based approach for treatment effect estimation and inference, which overcomes the obstacle of the traditional empirical likelihood-based approaches in the high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-15 Wei Liang , Ying Yan

We consider panel data models where coefficients change smoothly over time and follow a latent group structure, being homogeneous within but heterogeneous across groups. To jointly estimate the group membership and group-specific…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-19 Paul Haimerl , Stephan Smeekes , Ines Wilms

We develop a maximum-likelihood based method for regression in a setting where the dependent variable is a random graph and covariates are available on a graph-level. The model generalizes the well-known $\beta$-model for random graphs by…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-24 Johan Wahlström , Isaac Skog , Patricio S. La Rosa , Peter Händel , Arye Nehorai

The paper discusses identification conditions, representations and relations of generalized least squares estimators of regression parameters in multivariate linear regression models such as seemingly unrelated and fixed effect panel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Harry Haupt

We derive the asymptotic theory of Bai (2009)'s interactive fixed effects estimator for unbalanced panels in which the source of attrition is conditionally random. For inference, we propose a method of alternating projections algorithm…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-19 Daniel Czarnowske , Amrei Stammann

We introduce a dynamic distribution regression panel data model with heterogeneous coefficients across units. The objects of primary interest are functionals of these coefficients, including predicted one-step-ahead and stationary…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-31 Ivan Fernandez-Val , Wayne Yuan Gao , Yuan Liao , Francis Vella

Many popular estimation methods in panel data rely on the assumption that the covariates of interest are strictly exogenous. However, this assumption is empirically restrictive in a wide range of settings. In this paper I argue that…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-22 Stephane Bonhomme

We address a core problem in causal inference: estimating heterogeneous treatment effects using panel data with general treatment patterns. Many existing methods either do not utilize the potential underlying structure in panel data or have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-11 Retsef Levi , Elisabeth Paulson , Georgia Perakis , Emily Zhang

Our paper deals with inferring simulator-based statistical models given some observed data. A simulator-based model is a parametrized mechanism which specifies how data are generated. It is thus also referred to as generative model. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-01 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander

In recurrent event studies, panel binary data arise when subjects are observed at discrete time points and only the recurrent event status within each observation window is recorded. Such data frequently occur in longitudinal studies due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-18 Pavithra Hariharan , P. G. Sankaran

We consider a dynamic version of the stochastic block model, in which the nodes are partitioned into latent classes and the connection between two nodes is drawn from a Bernoulli distribution depending on the classes of these two nodes. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-30 Léa Longepierre , Catherine Matias

We study mixed models with a single grouping factor, where inference about unknown parameters requires optimizing a marginal likelihood defined by an intractable integral. Low-dimensional numerical integration techniques are regularly used…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Alex Stringer , Blair Bilodeau , Yanbo Tang

Distributed statistical inference has recently attracted immense attention. The asymptotic efficiency of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), the one-step MLE, and the aggregated estimating equation estimator are established for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-14 Ping Zhou , Zhen Yu , Jingyi Ma , Maozai Tian , Ye Fan

The approximate Bernstein polynomial model, a mixture of beta distributions, is applied to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of the regression coefficients, and the baseline density and survival functions in an accelerated failure time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Zhong Guan

This paper develops likelihood-based methods for estimation, inference, model selection, and forecasting of continuous-time integer-valued trawl processes. The full likelihood of integer-valued trawl processes is, in general, highly…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-24 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Neil Shephard , Almut E. D. Veraart