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Time series often exhibit non-ergodic behaviour that complicates forecasting and inference. This article proposes a likelihood-based approach for estimating ergodicity transformations that addresses such challenges. The method is broadly…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-19 Anthony Britto

Adaptive sampling theory has shown that, with proper assumptions on the signal class, algorithms exist to reconstruct a signal in $\mathbb{R}^{d}$ with an optimal number of samples. We generalize this problem to the case of spatial signals,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-20 John Lipor , Brandon Wong , Donald Scavia , Branko Kerkez , Laura Balzano

Biclustering, the process of simultaneously clustering the rows and columns of a data matrix, is a popular and effective tool for finding structure in a high-dimensional dataset. Many biclustering procedures appear to work well in practice,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-04 Cheryl J. Flynn , Patrick O. Perry

Filtering and parameter estimation under partial information for multiscale problems is studied in this paper. After proving mean square convergence of the nonlinear filter to a filter of reduced dimension, we establish that the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Andrew Papanicolaou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Likelihood-based inference, central in modern particle physics data analysis requires the extensive evaluation of a likelihood function that depends on set of parameters defined by the statistical model under consideration. If an analytical…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2024-01-23 César , Jesús-Valls

Mining and exploring databases should provide users with knowledge and new insights. Tiles of data strive to unveil true underlying structure and distinguish valuable information from various kinds of noise. We propose a novel Boolean…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Sibylle Hess , Katharina Morik , Nico Piatkowski

Scarcity of hydrocarbon resources and high exploration risks motivate the development of high fidelity algorithms and computationally viable approaches to exploratory geophysics. Whereas early approaches considered least-squares…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Stephen Becker , Lior Horesh , Aleksandr Aravkin , Sergiy Zhuk

We study the non-convex optimization landscape for maximum likelihood estimation in the discrete orbit recovery model with Gaussian noise. This model is motivated by applications in molecular microscopy and image processing, where each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Zhou Fan , Yi Sun , Tianhao Wang , Yihong Wu

Our paper deals with inferring simulator-based statistical models given some observed data. A simulator-based model is a parametrized mechanism which specifies how data are generated. It is thus also referred to as generative model. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-01 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander

We revisit random search for stochastic optimization, where only noisy function evaluations are available. We show that the method works under weaker smoothness assumptions than previously considered, and that stronger assumptions enable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-19 El Mahdi Chayti , Taha El Bakkali El Kadi , Omar Saadi , Martin Jaggi

We apply state-of-the-art, likelihood-free statistical inference (machine-learning-based) techniques for reconstructing the spectral shape of a gravitational wave background (GWB). We focus on the reconstruction of an arbitrarily shaped…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-09 Androniki Dimitriou , Daniel G. Figueroa , Bryan Zaldivar

Our goal is to provide a review of deep learning methods which provide insight into structured high-dimensional data. Rather than using shallow additive architectures common to most statistical models, deep learning uses layers of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-11 Nick Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Random and structured noise both affect seismic data, hiding the reflections of interest (primaries) that carry meaningful geophysical interpretation. When the structured noise is composed of multiple reflections, its adaptive cancellation…

Geophysics · Physics 2014-06-19 Mai Quyen Pham , Caroline Chaux , Laurent Duval , Jean-Christophe Pesquet

Shifted combinatorial optimization is a new nonlinear optimization framework which is a broad extension of standard combinatorial optimization, involving the choice of several feasible solutions at a time. This framework captures well…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2021-02-25 Jakub Gajarský , Petr Hliněný , Martin Koutecký , Shmuel Onn

In spatial statistics, fast and accurate parameter estimation, coupled with a reliable means of uncertainty quantification, can be challenging when fitting a spatial process to real-world data because the likelihood function might be slow…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-31 Julia Walchessen , Amanda Lenzi , Mikael Kuusela

We introduce a probabilistic approach to the LMS filter. By means of an efficient approximation, this approach provides an adaptable step-size LMS algorithm together with a measure of uncertainty about the estimation. In addition, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-11 Jesus Fernandez-Bes , Víctor Elvira , Steven Van Vaerenbergh

This paper addresses the task of estimating a covariance matrix under a patternless sparsity assumption. In contrast to existing approaches based on thresholding or shrinkage penalties, we propose a likelihood-based method that regularizes…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-13 Jason Xu , Kenneth Lange

We present a deep transformation model for probabilistic regression. Deep learning is known for outstandingly accurate predictions on complex data but in regression tasks, it is predominantly used to just predict a single number. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-02 Beate Sick , Torsten Hothorn , Oliver Dürr

We present a new likelihood-ratio ranking statistic for use in searches for gravitational waves from the inspiral and merger of compact object binaries. Expanding on previous work, the ranking statistic incorporates a model for the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-04-21 Kipp Cannon , Chad Hanna , Jacob Peoples

The design of optimal test statistics is a key task in frequentist statistics and for a number of scenarios optimal test statistics such as the profile-likelihood ratio are known. By turning this argument around we can find the profile…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-25 Lukas Heinrich