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Conditional probabilities are a core concept in machine learning. For example, optimal prediction of a label $Y$ given an input $X$ corresponds to maximizing the conditional probability of $Y$ given $X$. A common approach to inference tasks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-09 Yoav Wald , Amir Globerson

We consider model-based clustering methods for continuous, correlated data that account for external information available in the presence of mixed-type fixed covariates by proposing the MoEClust suite of models. These models allow…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-15 Keefe Murphy , Thomas Brendan Murphy

This paper proposes a flexible Bayesian approach to multiple imputation using conditional Gaussian mixtures. We introduce novel shrinkage priors for covariate-dependent mixing proportions in the mixture models to automatically select the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-17 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Jae Kwang Kim , Kosuke Morikawa

In many practical applications of machine learning, a discrepancy often arises between a source distribution from which labeled training examples are drawn and a target distribution for which only unlabeled data is observed. Traditionally,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-05 Paweł Teisseyre , Jan Mielniczuk

Clustering multivariate binary data is of interest in many scientific fields, including ecology, biomedicine, and social policy. Beyond heuristic clustering algorithms, such data can be modelled using multivariate Bernoulli mixture models.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Luisa Ferrari , Maria Franco Villoria , Garritt L. Page , Alex Laini

This paper presents robust inference methods for general linear hypotheses in linear panel data models with latent group structure in the coefficients. We employ a selective conditional inference approach, deriving the conditional…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-25 Oguzhan Akgun , Ryo Okui

The clustering of bounded data presents unique challenges in statistical analysis due to the constraints imposed on the data values. This paper introduces a novel method for model-based clustering specifically designed for bounded data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-16 Luca Scrucca

Conditional diffusion models serve as the foundation of modern image synthesis and find extensive application in fields like computational biology and reinforcement learning. In these applications, conditional diffusion models incorporate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Hengyu Fu , Zhuoran Yang , Mengdi Wang , Minshuo Chen

This paper presents a new method for conditional probability density simulation. The method is design to work with unstructured data set when data are not characterized by the same covariates yet share common information. Specific examples…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Esteban G. Tabak , Giulio Trigila , Wenjun Zhao

Multivariate longitudinal data of mixed-type are increasingly collected in many science domains. However, algorithms to cluster this kind of data remain scarce, due to the challenge to simultaneously model the within- and between-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-16 Francesco Amato , Julien Jacques

In recent years, conditional copulas, that allow dependence between variables to vary according to the values of one or more covariates, have attracted increasing attention. In high dimension, vine copulas offer greater flexibility compared…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-24 Rosario Barone , Luciana Dalla Valle

The two most extended density-based approaches to clustering are surely mixture model clustering and modal clustering. In the mixture model approach, the density is represented as a mixture and clusters are associated to the different…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-16 José E. Chacón

Finite mixture models are frequently used to uncover latent structures in high-dimensional datasets (e.g.\ identifying clusters of patients in electronic health records). The inference of such structures can be performed in a Bayesian…

Graphical models are powerful tools for capturing conditional dependence structures in complex systems but remain underexplored in analyzing ordinal data, especially in sports analytics. Ordinal variables, such as team rankings, player…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-05 Wang Wen , Ziqi Chen , Guanyu Hu

Multivariate time-dependent data, where multiple features are observed over time for a set of individuals, are increasingly widespread in many application domains. To model these data we need to account for relations among both time…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-08 Alessandro Casa , Charles Bouveyron , Elena Erosheva , Giovanna Menardi

Econometric applications with multi-way clustering often feature a small number of effective clusters or heavy-tailed data, making standard cluster-robust and bootstrap inference unreliable in finite samples. In this paper, we develop a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Wenxuan Guo , Panos Toulis , Yuhao Wang

Conformal prediction methods are statistical tools designed to quantify uncertainty and generate predictive sets with guaranteed coverage probabilities. This work introduces an innovative refinement to these methods for classification…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-04 Jean-Baptiste Fermanian , Mohamed Hebiri , Joseph Salmon

In recent work, robust mixture modelling approaches using skewed distributions have been explored to accommodate asymmetric data. We introduce parsimony by developing skew-t and skew-normal analogues of the popular GPCM family that employ…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-12 Irene Vrbik , Paul D. McNicholas

Real-world networks often come with side information that can help to improve the performance of network analysis tasks such as clustering. Despite a large number of empirical and theoretical studies conducted on network clustering methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-29 Guillaume Braun , Hemant Tyagi , Christophe Biernacki

In this article, we investigate the use of a probabilistic model for unsupervised clustering in text collections. Unsupervised clustering has become a basic module for many intelligent text processing applications, such as information…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2016-08-16 Loïs Rigouste , Olivier Cappé , François Yvon
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