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Probabilistic prediction of sequences from images and other high-dimensional data is a key challenge, particularly in risk-sensitive applications. In these settings, it is often desirable to quantify the uncertainty associated with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Qidong Yang , Weicheng Zhu , Joseph Keslin , Laure Zanna , Tim G. J. Rudner , Carlos Fernandez-Granda

This paper presents a novel mass-conservative mixed multiscale method for solving flow equations in heterogeneous porous media. The media properties (the permeability) contain multiple scales and high contrast. The proposed method solves…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-04-01 Eric Chung , Yalchin Efendiev , Wing Tat Leung

The mathematical formulation of sign-changing problems involves a linear second-order partial differential equation in the divergence form, where the coefficient can assume positive and negative values in different subdomains. These…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Eric T. Chung , Patrick Ciarlet , Xingguang Jin , Changqing Ye

In this paper, we combine discrete empirical interpolation techniques, global mode decomposition methods, and local multiscale methods, such as the Generalized Multiscale Finite Element Method (GMsFEM), to reduce the computational…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Manal Alotaibi , Victor M. Calo , Yalchin Efendiev , Juan Galvis , Mehdi Ghommem

Markov chain Monte Carlo is an inherently serial algorithm. Although likelihood calculations for individual steps can sometimes be parallelized, the serial evolution of the process is widely viewed as incompatible with parallelization,…

Computation · Statistics 2013-12-31 Douglas N. VanDerwerken , Scott C. Schmidler

We introduce Projected Latent Markov Chain Monte Carlo (PL-MCMC), a technique for sampling from the high-dimensional conditional distributions learned by a normalizing flow. We prove that a Metropolis-Hastings implementation of PL-MCMC…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Chris Cannella , Mohammadreza Soltani , Vahid Tarokh

Multifidelity Monte Carlo methods rely on a hierarchy of possibly less accurate but statistically correlated simplified or reduced models, in order to accelerate the estimation of statistics of high-fidelity models without compromising the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-29 Alessio Quaglino , Simone Pezzuto , Rolf Krause

We propose and analyze a method for computing failure probabilities of systems modeled as numerical deterministic models (e.g., PDEs) with uncertain input data. A failure occurs when a functional of the solution to the model is below (or…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Daniel Elfverson , Fredrik Hellman , Axel Målqvist

We consider stochastic optimization when one only has access to biased stochastic oracles of the objective and the gradient, and obtaining stochastic gradients with low biases comes at high costs. This setting captures various optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-22 Yifan Hu , Jie Wang , Xin Chen , Niao He

This manuscript presents a framework for using multilevel quadrature formulae to compute the solution of optimal control problems constrained by random partial differential equations. Our approach consists in solving a sequence of optimal…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-19 Fabio Nobile , Tommaso Vanzan

The Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method has been applied successfully in a wide range of settings since its first introduction by Giles (2008). When using only two levels, the method can be viewed as a kind of control-variate approach to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-07 Yu Li , Antony Ware

This work embeds a multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) sampling strategy into the Monte Carlo step of the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), thereby yielding a multilevel ensemble Kalman filter (MLEnKF) which has provably superior asymptotic cost to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-08-31 Alexey Chernov , Haakon Hoel , Kody Law , Fabio Nobile , Raul Tempone

Estimating the trace of the inverse of a large matrix is an important problem in lattice quantum chromodynamics. A multilevel Monte Carlo method is proposed for this problem that uses different degree polynomials for the levels. The…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2023-06-19 Paul Lashomb , Ronald B. Morgan , Travis Whyte , Walter Wilcox

A new Monte Carlo algorithm for phase-space sampling, named (MC)**3, is presented. It is based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques but at the same time incorporates prior knowledge about the target distribution in the form of suitable…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-06-12 Kevin Kroeninger , Steffen Schumann , Benjamin Willenberg

Finite element model updating is challenging because 1) the problem is oftentimes underdetermined while the measurements are limited and/or incomplete; 2) many combinations of parameters may yield responses that are similar with respect to…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-28 Kai Zhou , Jiong Tang

Langevin algorithms are popular Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for large-scale sampling problems that often arise in data science. We propose Monte Carlo algorithms based on the discretizations of $P$-th order Langevin dynamics for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Thanh Dang , Mert Gurbuzbalaban , Mohammad Rafiqul Islam , Nian Yao , Lingjiong Zhu

In this paper we propose a method for the construction of locally conservative flux fields from Generalized Multiscale Finite Element Method (GMsFEM) pressure solutions. The flux values are obtained from an element-based postprocessing…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-04-24 Lawrence Bush , Victor Ginting , Michael Presho

Monte Carlo (MC) sampling is a popular method for estimating the statistics (e.g. expectation and variance) of a random variable. Its slow convergence has led to the emergence of advanced techniques to reduce the variance of the MC…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Mohamed Reda El Amri , Paul Mycek , Sophie Ricci , Matthias De Lozzo

Nested integration problems arise in various scientific and engineering applications, including Bayesian experimental design, financial risk assessment, and uncertainty quantification. These nested integrals take the form $\int f\left(\int…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Arved Bartuska , André Gustavo Carlon , Luis Espath , Sebastian Krumscheid , Raúl Tempone

Existing multilevel quasi-Monte Carlo (MLQMC) methods often rely on multiple independent randomizations of a low-discrepancy (LD) sequence to estimate statistical errors on each level. While this approach is standard, it can be less…