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Uncertainty analysis in the outcomes of model predictions is a key element in decision-based material design to establish confidence in the models and evaluate the fidelity of models. Uncertainty Propagation (UP) is a technique to determine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Danial Khatamsaz , Vahid Attari , Raymundo Arroyave , Douglas L. Allaire

This paper presents a novel method for the reconstruction of images from samples located at non-integer positions, called mesh. This is a common scenario for many image processing applications, such as super-resolution, warping or virtual…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-23 Ján Koloda , Jürgen Seiler , André Kaup

Optimization in engineering requires appropriate models. In this article, a regression method for enhancing the predictive power of a model by exploiting expert knowledge in the form of shape constraints, or more specifically, monotonicity…

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) has received much attention in the literature in the past decade. In this context, Sparse Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) have been shown to be among the most promising methods because of their ability to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-17 N. Fajraoui , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

Partition refinement is a method for minimizing automata and transition systems of various types. Recently, a new partition refinement algorithm and associated tool CoPaR were developed that are generic in the transition type of the input…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-04-14 Fabian Birkmann , Hans-Peter Deifel , Stefan Milius

In this contribution, we discuss the construction of Polynomial Chaos surrogates for Monte Carlo radiation transport applications via non-intrusive spectral projection. This contribution focuses on improvements with respect to the approach…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-19 Gianluca Geraci , Kayla Clements , Aaron J Olson

We present a novel uncertainty quantification approach for high-dimensional stochastic partial differential equations that reduces the computational cost of polynomial chaos methods by decomposing the computational domain into…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-11 Ramakrishna Tipireddy , Panos Stinis , Alexandre Tartakovsky

This paper addresses the Bayesian calibration of dynamic models with parametric and structural uncertainties, in particular where the uncertain parameters are unknown/poorly known spatio-temporally varying subsystem models. Independent…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-02 Piyush Tagade , Han-Lim Choi

Verification solutions for uncertainty quantification are presented for time dependent transport problems where $c$, the scattering ratio, is uncertain. The method of polynomial chaos expansions is employed for quick and accurate…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-12-19 William Bennett , Ryan G. McClarren

A strong tool for the selection of items that share a common trait from a set of given items is proposed. The selection method is based on marginal estimates and exploits that the estimates of the standard deviation of the mixing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-04 Gerhard Tutz

In this paper we address the problem of uncertainty management for robust design, and verification of large dynamic networks whose performance is affected by an equally large number of uncertain parameters. Many such networks (e.g. power,…

Computation · Statistics 2011-10-12 Amit Surana , Tuhin Sahai , Andrzej Banaszuk

Uncertainty-quantification methods are applied to estimate the confidence of deep-neural-networks classifiers over their predictions. However, most widely used methods are known to be overconfident. We address this problem by developing an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Luigi Sbailò , Luca M. Ghiringhelli

Image reconstruction methods based on deep neural networks have shown outstanding performance, equalling or exceeding the state-of-the-art results of conventional approaches, but often do not provide uncertainty information about the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Riccardo Barbano , Željko Kereta , Chen Zhang , Andreas Hauptmann , Simon Arridge , Bangti Jin

This paper addresses the classical problem of determining the set of possible states of a linear discrete-time system subject to bounded disturbances from measurements corrupted by bounded noise. These so-called uncertainty sets evolve with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-10-12 Robin Hill , Yousong Luo , Uwe Schwerdtfeger

The estimation of probability densities based on available data is a central task in many statistical applications. Especially in the case of large ensembles with many samples or high-dimensional sample spaces, computationally efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-04 Daniel W. Meyer

Owing to their periodic and intricate configurations, metamaterials engineered for acoustic and elastic wave control inevitably suffer from manufacturing anomalies and deviate from theoretical dispersion predictions. This work exploits the…

Applied Physics · Physics 2020-08-12 H. Al Ba'ba'a , S. Nandi , T. Singh , M. Nouh

It is becoming increasingly apparent that probabilistic approaches can overcome conservatism and computational complexity of the classical worst-case deterministic framework and may lead to designs that are actually safer. In this paper we…

Applications · Statistics 2008-11-01 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

Robust mean estimation is the problem of estimating the mean $\mu \in \mathbb{R}^d$ of a $d$-dimensional distribution $D$ from a list of independent samples, an $\epsilon$-fraction of which have been arbitrarily corrupted by a malicious…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2019-06-05 Samuel B. Hopkins , Jerry Li

A multifidelity method for the nonlinear propagation of uncertainties in the presence of stochastic accelerations is presented. The proposed algorithm treats the uncertainty propagation (UP) problem by separating the propagation of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Alberto Fossà , Roberto Armellin , Emmanuel Delande , Francesco Sanfedino

Existing methods for estimating uncertainty in deep learning tend to require multiple forward passes, making them unsuitable for applications where computational resources are limited. To solve this, we perform probabilistic reasoning over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-08 Javier Antorán , James Urquhart Allingham , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato