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In this paper we present a framework for risk-sensitive model predictive control (MPC) of linear systems affected by stochastic multiplicative uncertainty. Our key innovation is to consider a time-consistent, dynamic risk evaluation of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-26 Sumeet Singh , Yin-Lam Chow , Anirudha Majumdar , Marco Pavone

In this paper we propose an output-feedback Model Predictive Control (MPC) algorithm for linear discrete-time systems affected by a possibly unbounded additive noise and subject to probabilistic constraints. In case the noise distribution…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-08-29 Marcello Farina , Luca Giulioni , Lalo Magni , Riccardo Scattolini

We propose a novel data-driven stochastic model predictive control framework for uncertain linear systems with noisy output measurements. Our approach leverages multi-step predictors to efficiently propagate uncertainty, ensuring chance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Haldun Balim , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Johannes Köhler

This work considers the stability of nonlinear stochastic receding horizon control when the optimal controller is only computed approximately. A number of general classes of controller approximation error are analysed including…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-03 Francesco Bertoli , Adrian N. Bishop

In this paper, partition-based distributed state estimation of general linear systems is considered. A distributed moving horizon state estimation scheme is developed via decomposing the entire system model into subsystem models and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-11 Xiaojie Li , Song Bo , Yan Qin , Xunyuan Yin

This paper investigates the problem of robust model predictive control (RMPC) of linear-time-invariant (LTI) discrete-time systems subject to structured uncertainty and bounded disturbances. Typically, the constrained RMPC problem with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-18 Anastasis Georgiou , Furqan Tahir , Imad M. Jaimoukha , Simos A. Evangelou

In this paper, we investigate how to achieve the unpredictability against malicious inferences for linear systems. The key idea is to add stochastic control inputs, named as unpredictable control, to make the outputs irregular. The future…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-21 Chendi Qu , Jianping He , Jialun Li , Xiaoming Duan

We propose a moving horizon estimation scheme for estimating the states and time-varying parameters of nonlinear systems. We consider the case where observability of the parameters depends on the excitation of the system and may be absent…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-21 Julian D. Schiller , Matthias A. Müller

We consider the problem of simultaneous control and parameter estimation when the model is available only as a differentiable physics simulator. We propose a receding-horizon control framework in which a model predictive control (MPC)…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Alan Williams , Alp Sunol

This paper introduces a novel optimization-based approach for parametric nonlinear system identification. Building upon the prediction error method framework, traditionally used for linear system identification, we extend its capabilities…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Léo Simpson , Jonas Asprion , Simon Muntwiler , Johannes Köhler , Moritz Diehl

Data-driven control strategies for dynamical systems with unknown parameters are popular in theory and applications. An essential problem is to prevent stochastic linear systems becoming destabilized, due to the uncertainty of the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-05-20 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Ambuj Tewari , George Michailidis

This note re-visits the rolling-horizon control approach to the problem of a Markov decision process (MDP) with infinite-horizon discounted expected reward criterion. Distinguished from the classical value-iteration approach, we develop an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Hyeong Soo Chang

This paper presents a time-optimal Model Predictive Control (MPC) scheme for linear discrete-time systems subject to multiplicative uncertainties represented by interval matrices. To render the uncertainty propagation computationally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-26 Renato Quartullo , Andrea Garulli , Mirko Leomanni

The control of field robots in varying and uncertain terrain conditions presents a challenge for autonomous navigation. Online estimation of the wheel-terrain slip characteristics is essential for generating the accurate control predictions…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-10-11 Nathan Wallace , He Kong , Andrew Hill , Salah Sukkarieh

This paper is the second in a series of two, and describes the current state of the art in modelling and prediction of chaotic time series. Sampled data from deterministic non-linear systems may look stochastic when analysed with linear…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Bjoern Lillekjendlie , Dimitris Kugiumtzis , Nils Christophersen

We study the global linear convergence of policy gradient (PG) methods for finite-horizon continuous-time exploratory linear-quadratic control (LQC) problems. The setting includes stochastic LQC problems with indefinite costs and allows…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-05 Michael Giegrich , Christoph Reisinger , Yufei Zhang

We consider the problem of adaptive stabilization for discrete-time, multi-dimensional linear systems with bounded control input constraints and unbounded stochastic disturbances, where the parameters of the true system are unknown. To…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-04 Seth Siriya , Jingge Zhu , Dragan Nešić , Ye Pu

This article considers the $\mathcal{H}_\infty$ static output-feedback control for linear time-invariant uncertain systems with polynomial dependence on probabilistic time-invariant parametric uncertainties. By applying polynomial chaos…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-02 Yiming Wan , Dongying E. Shen , Sergio Lucia , Rolf Findeisen , Richard D. Braatz

The effectiveness of data-driven techniques heavily depends on the input signal used to generate the estimation data. However, a significant research gap exists in the field of input design for nonlinear dynamic system identification. In…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-05 Max Herkersdorf , Oliver Nelles

As robotic systems move from highly structured environments to open worlds, incorporating uncertainty from dynamics learning or state estimation into the control pipeline is essential for robust performance. In this paper we present a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-14 Robert Dyro , James Harrison , Apoorva Sharma , Marco Pavone