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Gaussian process models are flexible, Bayesian non-parametric approaches to regression. Properties of multivariate Gaussians mean that they can be combined linearly in the manner of additive models and via a link function (like in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-19 Alan D. Saul , James Hensman , Aki Vehtari , Neil D. Lawrence

We describe a graphical model for probabilistic relationships---an alternative to the Bayesian network---called a dependency network. The graph of a dependency network, unlike a Bayesian network, is potentially cyclic. The probability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 David Heckerman , David Maxwell Chickering , Christopher Meek , Robert Rounthwaite , Carl Kadie

Identifying undocumented or potential future interactions among species is a challenge facing modern ecologists. Recent link prediction methods rely on trait data, however large species interaction databases are typically sparse and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-23 Mohamad Elmasri , Maxwell J. Farrell , T. Jonathan Davies , David A. Stephens

Networks represent relationships between entities in many complex systems, spanning from online social interactions to biological cell development and brain connectivity. In many cases, relationships between entities are unambiguously…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-01-23 Ivan Brugere , Brian Gallagher , Tanya Y. Berger-Wolf

The structure of a social network contains information useful for predicting its evolution. Nodes that are "close" in some sense are more likely to become linked in the future than more distant nodes. We show that structural information can…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-12-14 Kristina Lerman , Suradej Intagorn , Jeon-Hyung Kang , Rumi Ghosh

Bayesian networks provide a modeling language and associated inference algorithm for stochastic domains. They have been successfully applied in a variety of medium-scale applications. However, when faced with a large complex domain, the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Daphne Koller , Avi Pfeffer

Bayesian networks are graphical models to represent the probabilistic relationships between variables in the Bayesian framework. The knowledge of all variables can be updated using new information about some of the variables. We show that…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-10-22 Georg Schnabel , Roberto Capote , Arjan Koning , David Brown

Most work in the area of statistical relational learning (SRL) is focussed on discrete data, even though a few approaches for hybrid SRL models have been proposed that combine numerical and discrete variables. In this paper we distinguish…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-17 Jiuchuan Jiang , Manfred Jaeger

Estimating dependence relationships between variables is a crucial issue in many applied domains, such as medicine, social sciences and psychology. When several variables are entertained, these can be organized into a network which encodes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-01 Federico Castelletti

A Bayesian approach to conduct network model selection is presented for a general class of network models referred to as the congruence class models (CCMs). CCMs form a broad class that includes as special cases several common network…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-22 Ravi Goyal , Victor De Gruttola

Bayesian networks (BN) are directed acyclic graphical (DAG) models that have been adopted into many fields for their strengths in transparency, interpretability, probabilistic reasoning, and causal modeling. Given a set of data, one hurdle…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Christian D. Blakely

Contagion processes are strongly linked to the network structures on which they propagate, and learning these structures is essential for understanding and intervention on complex network processes such as epidemics and (mis)information…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-08-12 Caitlin Gray , Lewis Mitchell , Matthew Roughan

This work initiates a systematic investigation of testing high-dimensional structured distributions by focusing on testing Bayesian networks -- the prototypical family of directed graphical models. A Bayesian network is defined by a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Clement Canonne , Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel Kane , Alistair Stewart

In this paper we propose a Bayesian nonparametric approach to modelling sparse time-varying networks. A positive parameter is associated to each node of a network, which models the sociability of that node. Sociabilities are assumed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-18 Cian Naik , Francois Caron , Judith Rousseau , Yee Whye Teh , Konstantina Palla

The structure of a Bayesian network includes a great deal of information about the probability distribution of the data, which is uniquely identified given some general distributional assumptions. Therefore it's important to study its…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-12-07 Marco Scutari

Vector autoregression model is ubiquitous in classical time series data analysis. With the rapid advance of social network sites, time series data over latent graph is becoming increasingly popular. In this paper, we develop a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-12 Yimeng Ren , Xuening Zhu , Guanyu Hu

According to different typologies of activity and priority, risks can assume diverse meanings and it can be assessed in different ways. In general risk is measured in terms of a probability combination of an event (frequency) and its…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 C. E. Bonafede , P. Giudici

Complex networks in natural, social, and technological systems generically exhibit an abundance of rich information. Extracting meaningful structural features from data is one of the most challenging tasks in network theory. Many methods…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-06-04 Daniel Grady , Christian Thiemann , Dirk Brockmann

Bayesian network models with latent variables are widely used in statistics and machine learning. In this paper we provide a complete algebraic characterization of Bayesian network models with latent variables when the observed variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-20 Robin J. Evans

Causal learning from data has received much attention recently. Bayesian networks can be used to capture causal relationships. There, one recovers a weighted directed acyclic graph in which random variables are represented by vertices, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Pavel Rytir , Ales Wodecki , Georgios Korpas , Jakub Marecek