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Sampling from the posterior is a key technical problem in Bayesian statistics. Rigorous guarantees are difficult to obtain for Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms of common use. In this paper, we study an alternative class of algorithms…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-26 Andrea Montanari , Yuchen Wu

For recursive circular filtering based on circular statistics, we introduce a general framework for estimation of a circular state based on different circular distributions, specifically the wrapped normal distribution and the von Mises…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-01-01 Gerhard Kurz , Igor Gilitschenski , Uwe D. Hanebeck

Sampling from circular distributions is a fundamental task in directional statistics. A key challenge in acceptance-rejection methods lies in selecting an efficient envelope density, as poor choices can lead to low acceptance rates and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-17 Surojit Biswas , Buddhananda Banerjee

In directional statistics, the von Mises distribution is a key element in the analysis of circular data. While there is a general agreement regarding the estimation of its location parameter $\mu$, several methods have been proposed to…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-10 Guillaume Marrelec , Alain Giron

The prominent Bernstein -- von Mises (BvM) result claims that the posterior distribution after centering by the efficient estimator and standardizing by the square root of the total Fisher information is nearly standard normal. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Vladimir Spokoiny , Maxim Panov

In a smooth semiparametric model, the marginal posterior distribution of the finite dimensional parameter of interest is expected to be asymptotically equivalent to the sampling distribution of frequentist's efficient estimators. This is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Minwoo Chae

Circular variables arise in a multitude of data-modelling contexts ranging from robotics to the social sciences, but they have been largely overlooked by the machine learning community. This paper partially redresses this imbalance by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-10 Alexandre K. W. Navarro , Jes Frellsen , Richard E. Turner

In application areas like bioinformatics multivariate distributions on angles are encountered which show significant clustering. One approach to statistical modelling of such situations is to use mixtures of unimodal distributions. In the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-08 Kanti V. Mardia , Jochen Voss

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution in a broad class of statistical models where the "true" solution occurs on the boundary of the parameter space. We show that in this case Bayesian inference is consistent, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-02 Natalia A. Bochkina , Peter J. Green

This paper aims to examine the characteristics of the posterior distribution of covariance/precision matrices in a "large $p$, large $n$" scenario, where $p$ represents the number of variables and $n$ is the sample size. Our analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Partha Sarkar , Kshitij Khare , Malay Ghosh , Matt P. Wand

It is well-known that the posterior density of linear inverse problems with Gaussian prior and Gaussian likelihood is also Gaussian, hence completely described by its covariance and expectation. Sampling from a Gaussian posterior may be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Daniela Calvetti , Erkki Somersalo

An algorithm for sampling exactly from the normal distribution is given. The algorithm reads some number of uniformly distributed random digits in a given base and generates an initial portion of the representation of a normal deviate in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2016-02-01 Charles F. F. Karney

This paper focusses on robust estimation of location and concentration parameters of the von Mises-Fisher distribution in the Bayesian framework. The von Mises-Fisher (or Langevin) distribution has played a central role in directional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-25 Tomoyuki Nakagawa , Yasuhito Tsuruta , Sho Kazari , Kouji Tahata

In this paper we combine the Alias method with the concept of systematic sampling, a method commonly used in particle filters for efficient low-variance resampling. The proposed method allows very fast sampling from a discrete distribution:…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Ilari Vallivaara , Katja Poikselkä , Pauli Rikula , Juha Röning

Poisson log-linear models are ubiquitous in many applications, and one of the most popular approaches for parametric count regression. In the Bayesian context, however, there are no sufficient specific computational tools for efficient…

Computation · Statistics 2022-09-02 Laura D'Angelo , Antonio Canale

Bayesian inference and the use of posterior or posterior predictive probabilities for decision making have become increasingly popular in clinical trials. The current practice in Bayesian clinical trials relies on a hybrid…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Shirin Golchi , James Willard

This paper presents a study of the large-sample behavior of the posterior distribution of a structural parameter which is partially identified by moment inequalities. The posterior density is derived based on the limited information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Yuan Liao , Wenxin Jiang

The need for regression models to predict circular values arises in many scientific fields. In this work we explore a family of expressive and interpretable distributions over circle-valued random functions related to Gaussian processes…

The von Mises distribution is one of the most important distribution in statistics to deal with circular data. In this paper we will consider some basic properties and characterizations of the sine skewed von Mises distribution.

Other Statistics · Statistics 2019-02-08 Mohammad Ahsanullah , M. Z. Anis

This paper is concerned with the study of a circular random distribution called geodesic Normal distribution recently proposed for general manifolds. This distribution, parameterized by two real numbers associated to some specific location…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-27 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Nicolas Le Bihan
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