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We show that any distribution on {-1,1}^n that is k-wise independent fools any halfspace h with error \eps for k = O(\log^2(1/\eps) /\eps^2). Up to logarithmic factors, our result matches a lower bound by Benjamini, Gurel-Gurevich, and…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2009-02-24 Ilias Diakonikolas , Parikshit Gopalan , Ragesh Jaiswal , Rocco Servedio , Emanuele Viola

The probability that the sum of independent, centered, identically distributed, heavy-tailed random variables achieves a very large value is asymptotically equal to the probability that there exists a single summand equalling that value. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-15 Quirin Vogel

Modelling multivariate tail dependence is one of the key challenges in extreme-value theory. Multivariate extremes are usually characterized using parametric models, some of which have simpler submodels at the boundary of their parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-17 Anna Kiriliouk

It is known that the elementary symmetric polynomials $e_k(x)$ have the property that if $ x, y \in [0,\infty)^n$ and $e_k(x) \leq e_k(y)$ for all $k$, then $||x||_p \leq ||y||_p$ for all real $0\leq p \leq 1$, and moreover $||x||_p \geq…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2013-02-20 Ivo Klemes

This paper investigates the asymptotics of the number of prime values taken by a polynomial in several variables with integer coefficients. Based on probabilistic heuristics and the multidimensional Bateman Horn conjecture, the expected…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Victor Volfson

We define the empirical spectral distribution (ESD) of a random matrix polynomial with invertible leading coefficient, and we study it for complex $n \times n$ Gaussian monic matrix polynomials of degree $k$. We obtain exact formulae for…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Giovanni Barbarino , Vanni Noferini

We establish upper and lower bounds with matching leading terms for tails of weighted sums of two-sided exponential random variables. This extends Janson's recent results for one-sided exponentials.

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Jiawei Li , Tomasz Tkocz

Let $S$ and $X$ be independent random variables, assuming values in the set of non-negative integers, and suppose further that both $\mathbb{E}(S)$ and $\mathbb{E}(X)$ are integers satisfying $\mathbb{E}(S)\ge \mathbb{E}(X)$. We establish a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-31 Robbert Fokkink , Symeon Papavassiliou , Christos Pelekis

We propose a variational tail bound for norms of random vectors under moment assumptions on their one-dimensional marginals. A simplified version of the bound that parametrizes the ``aggregating distribution'' using a certain pushforward of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Sohail Bahmani

We revisit the classical problem of optimal experimental design (OED) under a new mathematical model grounded in a geometric motivation. Specifically, we introduce models based on elementary symmetric polynomials; these polynomials capture…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-30 Zelda Mariet , Suvrit Sra

In this work we present concentration inequalities for the sum $S_n$ of independent integer-valued not necessary indentically distributed random variables, where each variable has tail function that can be bounded by some power function…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-07 Oleksii Omelchenko , Andrei A. Bulatov

This paper deals with symmetric random matrices whose upper diagonal entries are obtained from a linear random field with heavy tailed noise. It is shown that the maximum eigenvalue and the spectral radius of such a random matrix with…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-12 Arijit Chakrabarty , Rajat Subhra Hazra , Parthanil Roy

We study the computational power of polynomial threshold functions, that is, threshold functions of real polynomials over the boolean cube. We provide two new results bounding the computational power of this model. Our first result shows…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2009-11-29 Ido Ben-Eliezer , Shachar Lovett , Ariel Yadin

Gaps (or spacings) between consecutive eigenvalues are a central topic in random matrix theory. The goal of this paper is to study the tail distribution of these gaps in various random matrix models. We give the first repulsion bound for…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-05 Hoi Nguyen , Terence Tao , Van Vu

We consider random-design linear prediction and related questions on the lower tail of random matrices. It is known that, under boundedness constraints, the minimax risk is of order $d/n$ in dimension $d$ with $n$ samples. Here, we study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Jaouad Mourtada

We derive exponential bounds for tail of distribution for natural, i.e. under ordinary logarithm, normalized sums of arrays of random variables, not necessarily independent.

Exponential tail bounds for sums play an important role in statistics, but the example of the $t$-statistic shows that the exponential tail decay may be lost when population parameters need to be estimated from the data. However, it turns…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-22 Guenther Walther

We obtain a tail bound for the least non-zero singular value of $A-z$ when $A$ is a random matrix and $z$ is an eigenvalue of $A$ in a neighbourhood of a given point $z_0$ in the bulk of the spectrum. The argument relies on a resolvent…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Mohammed Osman

We provide finite sample upper and lower bounds on the Binomial tail probability which are a direct application of Sanov's theorem. We then use these to obtain high probability upper and lower bounds on the minimum of i.i.d. Binomial random…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Xiaohan Zhu , Mesrob I. Ohannessian , Nathan Srebro

The well-known "Janson's inequality" gives Poisson-like upper bounds for the lower tail probability \Pr(X \le (1-\eps)\E X) when X is the sum of dependent indicator random variables of a special form. We show that, for large deviations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Svante Janson , Lutz Warnke