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Related papers: Global instability in the Ghil-Sellers model

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We consider a finite system of hard spheres that collide inelastically according to a particular model, losing a fixed amount of kinetic energy at each collision. We develop the theory of the Transport-Collision-Transport (TCT) dynamics,…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-01-16 Théophile Dolmaire , Juan J. L. Velázquez

A challenge in fundamental physics and especially in thermodynamics is to understand emergent order in far-from-equilibrium systems. While at equilibrium, temperature plays the role of a key thermodynamic variable whose uniformity in space…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2019-07-25 Atanu Chatterjee , Yash Yadati , Nicholas Mears , Germano Iannacchione

General circulation models (GCMs) are the foundation of weather and climate prediction. GCMs are physics-based simulators which combine a numerical solver for large-scale dynamics with tuned representations for small-scale processes such as…

In this study, we compare two analytic energy balance models with explicit dependence on obliquity to study the likelihood of different stable ice configurations. We compare the results of models with different methods of heat transport and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-03-21 Ekaterina Landgren , Alice Nadeau

The low-frequency variability of the mid-latitude atmosphere involves complex nonlinear and chaotic dynamical processes posing predictability challenges. It is characterized by sporadically recurring, often long-lived patterns of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-24 Dmitry Mukhin , Roman Samoilov , Abdel Hannachi

We consider simple stochastic climate models, described by slowly time-dependent Langevin equations. We show that when the noise intensity is not too large, these systems can spend substantial amounts of time in metastable equilibrium,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Nils Berglund , Barbara Gentz

Resilience is a property of social, ecological, social-ecological and biophysical systems. It describes the capacity of a system to cope with, adapt to and innovate in response to a changing surrounding. Given the current climate change…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-13 Orfeu Bertolami , Magnus Nyström

With the growing number of discovered exoplanets, the Gaia concept finds its second wind. The Gaia concept defines that the biosphere of an inhabited planet regulates a planetary climate through feedback loops such that the planet remains…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2021-02-10 Sergey A. Vakulenko , Ivan Sudakov , Sergei V. Petrovskii , Dmitry V. Lukichev

Future climate change impacts depend on temperatures not only through changes in their means but also through changes in their variability. General circulation models (GCMs) predict changes in both means and variability; however, GCM output…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-03 Andrew Poppick , David J. McInerney , Elisabeth J. Moyer , Michael L. Stein

The Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM) simulates complex interactions between the coupled Earth and human systems, providing valuable insights into the co-evolution of land, water, and energy sectors under different future scenarios.…

A single-column model run under the weak temperature gradient approximation, a parameterization of large-scale dynamics appropriate for the tropical atmosphere, is shown to have multiple stable equilibria. Under conditions permitting…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Adam H. Sobel , Gilles Bellon , Julio T. Bacmeister

In this paper an attempt is made to verify the hypothesis on the role of geomagnetic disturbances as a factor determining the intensity of traveling ionospheric disturbances (TIDs). To improve the statistical validity of the data, we have…

Carbonate-silicate weathering feedback is thought to stabilize Earth's climate on geologic timescales. If climate warms, faster mineral dissolution and increased rainfall speed up weathering, increasing CO2 drawdown and opposing the initial…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-01 Brandon Park Coy , Edwin S. Kite , R. J. Graham

The M-type star Gliese 581 is orbited by at least one terrestrial planet candidate in the habitable zone, i.e. GL 581 d. Orbital simulations have shown that additional planets inside the habitable zone of GL 581 would be dynamically stable.…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-27 P. von Paris , S. Gebauer , M. Godolt , H. Rauer , B. Stracke

Any experiment with climate models relies on a potentially large set of spatio-temporal boundary conditions. These can represent both the initial state of the system and/or forcings driving the model output throughout the experiment. Whilst…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-22 Lachlan Astfalck , Daniel Williamson , Niall Gandy , Lauren Gregoire , Ruza Ivanovic

Earth System Models (ESMs) are the primary tools for investigating future Earth system states at time scales from decades to centuries, especially in response to anthropogenic greenhouse gas release. State-of-the-art ESMs can reproduce the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Maximilian Gelbrecht , Alistair White , Sebastian Bathiany , Niklas Boers

The mean field approximation results in the mixed spin 1/2 Ising model and spin 1 Blume-Capel model, in the hexagonal nanowire system, are obtained from the Bogoliubov inequality. The Gibbs free energy, magnetization and critical frontiers…

The nonequilibrium steady state of an infinite-range Ising model is studied. The steady state is obtained by dividing the spins into two groups and attaching them to two heat baths generating spin flips at different temperatures. In the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-11-29 Vivien Lecomte , Zoltan Racz , Frederic van Wijland

Field's linear analysis of thermal instability is repeated using methods related to Whitham's theory of wave hierarchies, which brings out the physically relevant parameters in a much clearer way than in the original analysis. It is also…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2020-01-29 Samuel Falle , Christopher Wareing , Julian Pittard

Geopolymers are an emerging class of binding materials used in sustainable cements, concretes, and composites. However, despite growing research, the lack of standardised processes and stability analyses for formulating activator solutions…