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Neural networks (NNs) are now routinely implemented on systems that must operate in uncertain environments, but the tools for formally analyzing how this uncertainty propagates to NN outputs are not yet commonplace. Computing tight bounds…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Michael Everett , Golnaz Habibi , Jonathan P. How

This paper develops a method to construct uniform confidence bands for a nonparametric regression function where a predictor variable is subject to a measurement error. We allow for the distribution of the measurement error to be unknown,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Kengo Kato , Yuya Sasaki

A common problem in physics is to fit regression data by a parametric class of functions, and to decide whether a certain functional form allows for a good fit of the data. Common goodness of fit methods are based on the calculation of the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 N. Bissantz , A. Munk

Here we present a Bayesian formalism for the goodness-of-fit that is the evidence for a fixed functional form over the evidence for all functions that are a general perturbation about this form. This is done under the assumption that the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-07-21 T. D. Kitching , A. N. Taylor

Load-sharing systems arise in many different reliability applications, for instance, when modeling tensile strength of fibrous composites in textile industry or lifetimes of redundant technical systems in engineering. Sequential order…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-01 Stefan Bedbur , Johann Köhne , Fabian Mies

In this article new bounds on weighted p-norms of ambiguity functions and Wigner functions are derived. Such norms occur frequently in several areas of physics and engineering. In pulse optimization for Weyl--Heisenberg signaling in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Peter Jung

We introduce a general framework for testing goodness-of-fit for Gaussian graphical models in both the low- and high-dimensional settings. This framework is based on a novel algorithm for generating exchangeable copies by conditioning on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-07 Xiaotong Lin , Weihao Li , Fangqiao Tian , Dongming Huang

This paper discusses two goodness-of-fit testing problems. The first problem pertains to fitting an error distribution to an assumed nonlinear parametric regression model, while the second pertains to fitting a parametric regression model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Estate V. Khmaladze , Hira L. Koul

We consider the convolution model where i.i.d. random variables $X_i$ having unknown density $f$ are observed with additive i.i.d. noise, independent of the $X$'s. We assume that the density $f$ belongs to either a Sobolev class or a class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Cristina Butucea

A problem of goodness-of-fit test for ergodic diffusion processes is presented. In the null hypothesis the drift of the diffusion is supposed to be in a parametric form with unknown shift parameter. Two Cramer-Von Mises type test statistics…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-30 Ilia Negri , Li Zhou

Goodness-of-fit (GoF) tests are a fundamental component of statistical practice, essential for checking model assumptions and testing scientific hypotheses. Despite their widespread use, popular GoF tests exhibit surprisingly low…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Christian T. Covington , Jeffrey W. Miller

Neural networks have proven successful at learning from complex data distributions by acting as universal function approximators. However, they are often overconfident in their predictions, which leads to inaccurate and miscalibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Jeffrey Willette , Juho Lee , Sung Ju Hwang

In this paper a new class of uniformity tests is proposed. It is shown that those tests are applicable to the cases of any simple null hypothesis as well as for the composite null hypothesis of rectangular distributions on arbitrary…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-21 Bojana Milošević

Experiments often yield non-identically distributed data for statistical analysis. Tests of hypothesis under such set-ups are generally performed using the likelihood ratio test, which is non-robust with respect to outliers and model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

We study the normal mean inference problem, which involves simultaneous testing of the means of many normal distributions. This problem has been extensively studied within the empirical Bayes (EB) framework. However, the reliability of most…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Kwangok Seo , Johan Lim

We propose tests of fit for classes of distributions that include the Weibull, the Pareto and the Fr\'echet, distributions. The new tests employ the novel tool of the min--characteristic function and are based on an L2--type weighted…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-20 S. G. Meintanis , B. Milošević , M. D. Jiménez-Gamero

The property of perfectness plays an important role in the theory of Bayesian networks. First, the existence of perfect distributions for arbitrary sets of variables and directed acyclic graphs implies that various methods for reading…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Christopher Meek , David Maxwell Chickering

We focus on the problem estimating a monotone trend function under additive and dependent noise. New point-wise confidence interval estimators under both short- and long-range dependent errors are introduced and studied. These intervals are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-23 Pramita Bagchi , Moulinath Banerjee , Stilian Stoev

The Functional Linear Model with Functional Response (FLMFR) is one of the most fundamental models to assess the relation between two functional random variables. In this paper, we propose a novel goodness-of-fit test for the FLMFR against…

The stochastic block model is a popular tool for studying community structures in network data. We develop a goodness-of-fit test for the stochastic block model. The test statistic is based on the largest singular value of a residual matrix…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Jing Lei
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