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Ambit stochastics is the name for the theory and applications of ambit fields and ambit processes and constitutes a new research area in stochastics for tempo-spatial phenomena. This paper gives an overview of the main findings in ambit…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-05 Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen , Fred Espen Benth , Almut E. D. Veraart

We investigate different mean-field-like approximations for stochastic dynamics on graphs, within the framework of a cluster-variational approach. In analogy with its equilibrium counterpart, this approach allows one to give a unified view…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-31 Alessandro Pelizzola , Marco Pretti

We discuss various properties of Probabilistic Cellular Automata, such as the structure of the set of stationary measures and multiplicity of stationary measures (or phase transition) for reversible models.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Paolo Dai Pra , Pierre-Yves Louis , Sylvie Roelly

In this paper we propose a new approach for constructing \emph{multivariate} Gaussian random fields (GRFs) with oscillating covariance functions through systems of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). We discuss how to build…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-05 Xiangping Hu , Finn Lindgren , Daniel Simpson , Håvard Rue

In recent years, there has been a substantive interest in rough volatility models. In this class of models, the local behavior of stochastic volatility is much more irregular than semimartingales and resembles that of a fractional Brownian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Carsten Chong , Marc Hoffmann , Yanghui Liu , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Grégoire Szymanski

It is increasingly common for data to possess intricate structure, necessitating new models and analytical tools. Graphs, a prominent type of structure, can encode the relationships between any two entities (nodes). However, graphs neither…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-04 Madeline Navarro , Andrei Buciulea , Santiago Segarra , Antonio Marques

Based on a criterium of mathematical simplicity and consistency with empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model has been obtained with the volatility process driven by fractional noise. Depending on whether the stochasticity…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-07-28 R. Vilela Mendes , Maria João Oliveira

Often we wish to predict a large number of variables that depend on each other as well as on other observed variables. Structured prediction methods are essentially a combination of classification and graphical modeling, combining the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-11-19 Charles Sutton , Andrew McCallum

Suppose we observe a trajectory of length $n$ from an exponentially $\alpha$-mixing stochastic process over a finite but potentially large state space. We consider the problem of estimating the probability mass placed by the stationary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-09 Milind Nakul , Vidya Muthukumar , Ashwin Pananjady

This article introduces a method for estimating the smoothness of a stationary, isotropic Gaussian random field from irregularly spaced data. This involves novel constructions of higher-order quadratic variations and the establishment of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-30 Wei-Liem Loh

We propose a new mechanism for pattern formation based on the global alternation of two dynamics neither of which exhibits patterns. When driven by either one of the separate dynamics, the system goes to a spatially homogeneous state…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 J. Buceta , Katja Lindenberg , J. M. R. Parrondo

We construct a relativistically covariant stochastic model for systems of non-interacting spinless particles whose number undergoes random fluctuations. The model is compared with the canonical quantization of the free scalar field in the…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-10-31 L. M. Morato , L. Viola

The stochastic leverage effect, defined as the standardized covariation between the returns and their related volatility, is analyzed in a stochastic volatility model set-up. A novel estimator of the effect is defined using a pre-estimation…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-09 Imma Valentina Curato , Simona Sanfelici

We construct a time-consistent sublinear expectation in the setting of volatility uncertainty. This mapping extends Peng's G-expectation by allowing the range of the volatility uncertainty to be stochastic. Our construction is purely…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-06 Marcel Nutz

Random field models are mathematical structures used in the study of stochastic complex systems. In this paper, we compute the shape operator of Gaussian random field manifolds using the first and second fundamental forms (Fisher…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Alexandre L. M. Levada

A calculational approach in fluid turbulence is presented. Use is made of the attracting nature of the fluid-dynamic dynamical system. An approach is offered that effectively propagates the statistics in time. Loss of sensitivity to an…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2010-05-18 Edsel A. Ammons

In this paper a new approach for constructing \emph{multivariate} Gaussian random fields (GRFs) using systems of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) has been introduced and applied to simulated data and real data. By solving a…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-08 Xiangping Hu , Daniel Simpson , Finn Lindgren , Håvard Rue

This paper presents how to apply the stochastic collocation technique to assets that can not move below a boundary. It shows that the polynomial collocation towards a lognormal distribution does not work well. Then, the potentials issues of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-07 Fabien Le Floc'h , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

Nonlinear dynamical systems are sometimes under the influence of random fluctuations. It is desirable to examine possible bifurcations for stochastic dynamical systems when a parameter varies. A computational analysis is conducted to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-01-31 Huiqin Chen , Jinqiao Duan , Chengjian Zhang

Self-similarity of systems is very popular and intensively developing field during last decades. To this field belong so-called stable distributions and their generalization. In Klebanov and Sl\'amov\'a (2014) there was given an approach to…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-19 Lev B. Klebanov , Lenka Slámová , Ashot Kakosyan , Gregory Temnov