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This work studies external regret in sequential prediction games with both positive and negative payoffs. External regret measures the difference between the payoff obtained by the forecasting strategy and the payoff of the best action. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Nicolo Cesa-Bianchi , Yishay Mansour , Gilles Stoltz

We study the problem of expert advice under partial bandit feedback setting and create a sequential minimax optimal algorithm. Our algorithm works with a more general partial monitoring setting, where, in contrast to the classical bandit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-15 Kaan Gokcesu , Hakan Gokcesu

Online learning methods yield sequential regret bounds under minimal assumptions and provide in-expectation risk bounds for statistical learning. However, despite the apparent advantage of online guarantees over their statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-16 Dirk van der Hoeven , Nikita Zhivotovskiy , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi

We consider the problem setting of prediction with expert advice with possibly heavy-tailed losses, i.e. the only assumption on the losses is an upper bound on their second moments, denoted by $\theta$. We develop adaptive algorithms that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Antoine Moulin , Emmanuel Esposito , Dirk van der Hoeven

We study the problem of online learning with primary and secondary losses. For example, a recruiter making decisions of which job applicants to hire might weigh false positives and false negatives equally (the primary loss) but the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-29 Avrim Blum , Han Shao

In this work, we aim to create a completely online algorithmic framework for prediction with expert advice that is translation-free and scale-free of the expert losses. Our goal is to create a generalized algorithm that is suitable for use…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Kaan Gokcesu , Hakan Gokcesu

We study the problem of prediction with expert advice when the number of experts in question may be extremely large or even infinite. We devise an algorithm that obtains a tight regret bound of $\widetilde{O}(\epsilon T + N + \sqrt{NT})$,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-28 Alon Cohen , Shie Mannor

We study the sequential general online regression, known also as the sequential probability assignments, under logarithmic loss when compared against a broad class of experts. We focus on obtaining tight, often matching, lower and upper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-02 Changlong Wu , Mohsen Heidari , Ananth Grama , Wojciech Szpankowski

We consider prediction with expert advice when the loss vectors are assumed to lie in a set described by the sum of atomic norm balls. We derive a regret bound for a general version of the online mirror descent (OMD) algorithm that uses a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-15 Siddharth Barman , Aditya Gopalan , Aadirupa Saha

We address the problem of sequential prediction with expert advice in a non-stationary environment with long-term memory guarantees in the sense of Bousquet and Warmuth [4]. We give a linear-time algorithm that improves on the best known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 James Robinson , Mark Herbster

Online learning with expert advice is a fundamental problem of sequential prediction. In this problem, the algorithm has access to a set of $n$ "experts" who make predictions on each day. The goal on each day is to process these…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Vaidehi Srinivas , David P. Woodruff , Ziyu Xu , Samson Zhou

We aim to design strategies for sequential decision making that adjust to the difficulty of the learning problem. We study this question both in the setting of prediction with expert advice, and for more general combinatorial decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-02 Wouter M. Koolen , Tim van Erven

In this paper, we consider the problem of prediction with expert advice in dynamic environments. We choose tracking regret as the performance metric and develop two adaptive and efficient algorithms with data-dependent tracking regret…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-11 Shiyin Lu , Lijun Zhang

We consider prediction with expert advice under the log-loss with the goal of deriving efficient and robust algorithms. We argue that existing algorithms such as exponentiated gradient, online gradient descent and online Newton step do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-09 Laurent Orseau , Tor Lattimore , Shane Legg

We revisit the sequential variants of linear regression with the squared loss, classification problems with hinge loss, and logistic regression, all characterized by unbounded losses in the setup where no assumptions are made on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-08 Jian Qian , Alexander Rakhlin , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

We study online learning in the random-order model, where the multiset of loss functions is chosen adversarially but revealed in a uniformly random order. By extending the batch-to-online transformation of Dong and Yoshida (2023), we show…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-11 Shinsaku Sakaue , Yuichi Yoshida

We consider the problem of prediction with expert advice when the losses of the experts have low-dimensional structure: they are restricted to an unknown $d$-dimensional subspace. We devise algorithms with regret bounds that are independent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-24 Elad Hazan , Tomer Koren , Roi Livni , Yishay Mansour

We derive an online learning algorithm with improved regret guarantees for `easy' loss sequences. We consider two types of `easiness': (a) stochastic loss sequences and (b) adversarial loss sequences with small effective range of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-28 Tobias Sommer Thune , Yevgeny Seldin

We study prediction with expert advice in the setting where the losses are accumulated with some discounting---the impact of old losses may gradually vanish. We generalize the Aggregating Algorithm and the Aggregating Algorithm for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-06-07 Alexey Chernov , Fedor Zhdanov

Online prediction from experts is a fundamental problem in machine learning and several works have studied this problem under privacy constraints. We propose and analyze new algorithms for this problem that improve over the regret bounds of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-03 Hilal Asi , Vitaly Feldman , Tomer Koren , Kunal Talwar
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