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We construct stationary max-infinitely divisible (max-id) processes from systems of randomly time-changed L\'evy particles. Classical examples without time change, such as the Brown-Resnick process, are, up to marginal transformations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Ioan Scheffel

Max-stable processes are the natural extension of the classical extreme-value distributions to the functional setting, and they are increasingly widely used to estimate probabilities of complex extreme events. In this paper we broaden them…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-05 Peiman Asadi , Anthony C. Davison , Sebastian Engelke

We use point processes theory to describe the asymptotic distribution of all upper order statistics for observations collected at renewal times. As a corollary, we obtain limiting theorems for corresponding extremal processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-08 Bojan Basrak , Drago Špoljarić

Currently available models for spatial extremes suffer either from inflexibility in the dependence structures that they can capture, lack of scalability to high dimensions, or in most cases, both of these. We present an approach to spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-17 Jennifer L. Wadsworth , Jonathan Tawn

Extreme-value theory for random vectors and stochastic processes with continuous trajectories is usually formulated for random objects all of whose univariate marginal distributions are identical. In the spirit of Sklar's theorem from…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-23 Anne Sabourin , Johan Segers

We investigate the class of tempered stable distributions and their associated processes. Our analysis of tempered stable distributions includes limit distributions, parameter estimation and the study of their densities. Regarding tempered…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Uwe Küchler , Stefan Tappe

The aim of this paper is to provide models for spatial extremes in the case of stationarity. The spatial dependence at extreme levels of a stationary process is modeled using an extension of the theory of max-stable processes of de Haan and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Laurens de Haan , Teresa T. Pereira

We propose a definition o meta-stability and obtain sufficient conditions for a sequence of Markov processes on finite state spaces to be meta-stable. In the reversible case, these conditions reduce to estimates of the capacity and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-18 J. Beltran , C. Landim

Multivariate extreme value theory is concerned with modeling the joint tail behavior of several random variables. Existing work mostly focuses on asymptotic dependence, where the probability of observing a large value in one of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Michaël Lalancette , Sebastian Engelke , Stanislav Volgushev

A variety of methods have been proposed for inference about extreme dependence for multivariate or spatially-indexed stochastic processes and time series. Most of these proceed by first transforming data to some specific extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-22 James E. Johndrow , Robert L. Wolpert

We investigate extreme value theory for physical systems with a global conservation law which describe renewal processes, mass transport models and long-range interacting spin models. As shown previously, a special feature is that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-04 Marc Höll , Wanli Wang , Eli Barkai

In this paper, we consider semi-Markov processes whose transition times and transition probabilities depend on a small parameter $\varepsilon$. Understanding the asymptotic behavior of such processes is needed in order to study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Leonid Koralov , Ishfaaq Mohammed Imtiyas

It is well known that the distribution of extreme values of strictly stationary sequences differ from those of independent and identically distributed sequences in that extremal clustering may occur. Here we consider non-stationary but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-23 Graeme Auld , Ioannis Papastathopoulos

Modern data sets in various domains often include units that were sampled non-randomly from the population and have a latent correlation structure. Here we investigate a common form of this setting, where every unit is associated with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Omer Weissbrod , Shachar Kaufman , David Golan , Saharon Rosset

We prove limit theorems of an entirely new type for certain long memory regularly varying stationary infinitely divisible random processes. These theorems involve multiple phase transitions governed by how long the memory is. Apart from one…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-23 Gennady Samorodnitsky , Yizao Wang

Change-point models are widely used by statisticians to model drastic changes in the pattern of observed data. Least squares/maximum likelihood based estimation of change-points leads to curious asymptotic phenomena. When the change-point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Rui Song , Moulinath Banerjee , Michael R. Kosorok

For a set of dependent random variables, without stationary or the strong mixing assumptions, we derive the asymptotic independence between their sums and maxima. Then we apply this result to high-dimensional testing problems, where we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-12 Long Feng , Tiefeng Jiang , Xiaoyun Li , Binghui Liu

In environmental applications of extreme value statistics, the underlying stochastic process is often modeled either as a max-stable process in continuous time/space or as a process in the domain of attraction of such a max-stable process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Holger Drees , Laurens de Haan , Feridun Turkman

The maxima and the minima of a randomly stopped sample of a random variable, $X$, together with two newly defined random variables that make $X$ into the maxima or minima of a randomly stopped sample of them, can be used to define…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Jordi Valero , Josep Ginebra

Capturing the potentially strong dependence among the peak concentrations of multiple air pollutants across a spatial region is crucial for assessing the related public health risks. In order to investigate the multivariate spatial…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-13 Sabrina Vettori , Raphaël Huser , Marc G. Genton