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We propose a method for inference on moderately high-dimensional, nonlinear, non-Gaussian, partially observed Markov process models for which the transition density is not analytically tractable. Markov processes with intractable transition…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-02 Joonha Park , Edward L. Ionides

Nonlinear stochastic differential equation models with unobservable variables are now widely used in the analysis of PK/PD data. The unobservable variables are often estimated with extended Kalman filter (EKF), and the unknown…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-06 Guanghui Huang , Jianping Wan , Hui Chen

Sequential Bayesian filters in non-linear dynamic systems require the recursive estimation of the predictive and posterior distributions. This paper introduces a Bayesian filter called the adaptive kernel Kalman filter (AKKF). With this…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-12 Mengwei Sun , Mike E. Davies , Ian K. Proudler , James R. Hopgood

This paper studies the distributed state estimation problem for a class of discrete-time stochastic systems with nonlinear uncertain dynamics over time-varying topologies of sensor networks. An extended state vector consisting of the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-09-12 Xingkang He , Xiaocheng Zhang , Wenchao Xue , Haitao Fang

We present recent results on the existence of a continuous time limit for Ensemble Kalman Filter algorithms. In the setting of continuous signal and observation processes, we apply the original Ensemble Kalman Filter algorithm proposed by…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Theresa Lange , Wilhelm Stannat

The lightweight Multi-state Constraint Kalman Filter (MSCKF) has been well-known for its high efficiency, in which the delayed update has been usually adopted since its proposal. This work investigates the immediate update strategy of MSCKF…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Qingchao Zhang , Wei Ouyang , Jiale Han , Qi Cai , Maoran Zhu , Yuanxin Wu

Covariance inflation and localization are two important techniques that are used to improve the performance of the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) by (in effect) adjusting the sample covariances of the estimates in the state space. In this…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-10-05 Xiaodong Luo , Ibrahim Hoteit

The Ensemble Kalman filter is a sophisticated and powerful data assimilation method for filtering high dimensional problems arising in fluid mechanics and geophysical sciences. This Monte Carlo method can be interpreted as a mean-field…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-04 Pierre Del Moral , Julian Tugaut

The Derivative-free nonlinear Kalman Filter is proposed for state estimation and fault diagnosis in distributed parameter systems and particularly in dynamical systems described by partial differential equations of the nonlinear wave type.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-11-05 Gerasimos G. Rigatos

This work embeds a multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) sampling strategy into the Monte Carlo step of the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), thereby yielding a multilevel ensemble Kalman filter (MLEnKF) which has provably superior asymptotic cost to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-08-31 Alexey Chernov , Haakon Hoel , Kody Law , Fabio Nobile , Raul Tempone

We propose a new class of filtering and smoothing methods for inference in high-dimensional, nonlinear, non-Gaussian, spatio-temporal state-space models. The main idea is to combine the ensemble Kalman filter and smoother, developed in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-22 Matthias Katzfuss , Jonathan R. Stroud , Christopher K. Wikle

This paper presents an approach for simultaneous estimation of the state and unknown parameters in a sequential data assimilation framework. The state augmentation technique, in which the state vector is augmented by the model parameters,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-07-19 Naratip Santitissadeekorn , Chris Jones

An important part of system modeling is determining parameter values, particularly for biomolecular systems, where direct measurements of individual parameters are typically hard. While Extended Kalman Filters have been used for this…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-13 Abhishek Dey , Kushal Chakrabarti , Krishan Kumar Gola , Shaunak Sen

This paper develops efficient ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) implementations based on shrinkage covariance estimation. The forecast ensemble members at each step are used to estimate the background error covariance matrix via the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-03 Elias D. Nino-Ruiz , Adrian Sandu

Estimating the statistics of the state of a dynamical system, from partial and noisy observations, is both mathematically challenging and finds wide application. Furthermore, the applications are of great societal importance, including…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-03 J. A. Carrillo , F. Hoffmann , A. M. Stuart , U. Vaes

The inverse problem of determining parameters in a model by comparing some output of the model with observations is addressed. This is a description for what hat to be done to use the Gauss-Markov-Kalman filter for the Bayesian estimation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Hermann G. Matthies , Alexander Litvinenko , Bojana V. Rosic , Elmar Zander

We are interested in ensemble methods to solve multi-objective optimization problems. An ensemble Kalman method is proposed to solve a formulation of the nonlinear problem using a weighted function approach. An analysis of the mean field…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-21 Michael Herty , Elisa Iacomini

Large-scale dynamic inverse problems are often ill-posed due to model complexity and the high dimensionality of the unknown parameters. Regularization is commonly employed to mitigate ill-posedness by incorporating prior information and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Aryeh Keating , Mirjeta Pasha

Ensemble transform Kalman filtering (ETKF) data assimilation is often used to combine available observations with numerical simulations to obtain statistically accurate and reliable state representations in dynamical systems. However, it is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-07 Tongtong Li , Anne Gelb , Yoonsang Lee

The ensemble Kalman filter is a well-known and celebrated data assimilation algorithm. It is of particular relevance as it used for high-dimensional problems, by updating an ensemble of particles through a sample mean and covariance…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Neil K. Chada