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Logistic regression is the most commonly used method for constructing predictive models for binary responses. One significant drawback to this approach, however, is that the asymptotes of the logistic response function are fixed at 0 and 1,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Anthony Almudevar , Jacob Almudevar

In statistics and machine learning, logistic regression is a widely-used supervised learning technique primarily employed for binary classification tasks. When the number of observations greatly exceeds the number of predictor variables, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-02 Agniva Chowdhury , Pradeep Ramuhalli

The logistic loss function is often advocated in machine learning and statistics as a smooth and strictly convex surrogate for the 0-1 loss. In this paper we investigate the question of whether these smoothness and convexity properties make…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-05-16 Elad Hazan , Tomer Koren , Kfir Y. Levy

Every student in statistics or data science learns early on that when the sample size largely exceeds the number of variables, fitting a logistic model produces estimates that are approximately unbiased. Every student also learns that there…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Pragya Sur , Emmanuel J. Candes

This paper investigates a new approach to estimate the gradient of the conditional probability given the covariates in the binary classification framework. The proposed approach consists in fitting a localized nearest-neighbor logistic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-20 Touqeer Ahmad , François Portier , Gilles Stupfler

We study convex empirical risk minimization for high-dimensional inference in binary models. Our first result sharply predicts the statistical performance of such estimators in the linear asymptotic regime under isotropic Gaussian features.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-27 Hossein Taheri , Ramtin Pedarsani , Christos Thrampoulidis

The logistic regression estimator is known to inflate the magnitude of its coefficients if the sample size $n$ is small, the dimension $p$ is (moderately) large or the signal-to-noise ratio $1/\sigma$ is large (probabilities of observing a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-01 Felix Kuchelmeister , Sara van de Geer

Logistic regression is a fundamental and widely used statistical method for modeling binary outcomes based on covariates. However, the presence of missing data, particularly in settings involving hybrid covariates (a mix of discrete and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-05 Mohamed Cherifi , Xujia Zhu , Mohammed Nabil El Korso , Ammar Mesloub

We consider the Cox regression model and prove some properties of the maximum partial likelihood estimator $\hat\beta_n$ and of the the Breslow estimator $\Lambda_n$. The asymptotic properties of these estimators have been widely studied in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-20 Cécile Durot , Eni Musta

We show that running gradient descent with variable learning rate guarantees loss $f(x) \leq 1.1 \cdot f(x^*) + \epsilon$ for the logistic regression objective, where the error $\epsilon$ decays exponentially with the number of iterations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Kyriakos Axiotis , Maxim Sviridenko

This paper considers statistical inference for the explained variance $\beta^{\intercal}\Sigma \beta$ under the high-dimensional linear model $Y=X\beta+\epsilon$ in the semi-supervised setting, where $\beta$ is the regression vector and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-01 T. Tony Cai , Zijian Guo

The simple linear model $$Y_i = \alpha + \beta \, x_i + \epsilon_i \qquad i=1,2, \ldots,N \geq 2$$ is considered, where the $x_i$'s are given constants and $\epsilon_1, \epsilon_2 , \ldots, \epsilon_N$ are iid with continuous distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-19 D. M. Cifarelli

We investigate approximation guarantees provided by logistic regression for the fundamental problem of agnostic learning of homogeneous halfspaces. Previously, for a certain broad class of "well-behaved" distributions on the examples,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Ziwei Ji , Kwangjun Ahn , Pranjal Awasthi , Satyen Kale , Stefani Karp

Positive and unlabelled learning is an important problem which arises naturally in many applications. The significant limitation of almost all existing methods lies in assuming that the propensity score function is constant (SCAR…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-01 Konrad Furmańczyk , Jan Mielniczuk , Wojciech Rejchel , Paweł Teisseyre

We develop a maximum-likelihood based method for regression in a setting where the dependent variable is a random graph and covariates are available on a graph-level. The model generalizes the well-known $\beta$-model for random graphs by…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-24 Johan Wahlström , Isaac Skog , Patricio S. La Rosa , Peter Händel , Arye Nehorai

We study the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) in high-dimensional logistic models, extending the recent results from Sur (2019) to the case where the Gaussian covariates may have an arbitrary covariance structure. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-05 Qian Zhao , Pragya Sur , Emmanuel J. Candès

Collider bias occurs when conditioning on a common effect (collider) of two variables $X, Y$. In this manuscript, we quantify the collider bias in the estimated association between exposure $X$ and outcome $Y$ induced by selecting on one…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Apostolos Gkatzionis , Shaun R. Seaman , Rachael A. Hughes , Kate Tilling

In this paper we extend the work of Owen (2007) by deriving a second order expansion for the slope parameter in logistic regression, when the size of the majority class is unbounded and the minority class is finite. More precisely, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-29 Dorian Goldman , Bo Zhang

Balancing a rare and serious possibility against a more common and less serious one is a familiar problem in many situations, such as the prediction of rare diseases. The relative costs of forecasting errors can be used for any prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-05-04 Paul T Seed

Logistic regression models for binomial responses are routinely used in statistical practice. However, the maximum likelihood estimate may not exist due to data separability. We address this issue by considering a conjugate prior penalty…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-18 Tommaso Rigon , Emanuele Aliverti