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We propose to use Bayesian optimization (BO) to improve the efficiency of the design selection process in clinical trials. BO is a method to optimize expensive black-box functions, by using a regression as a surrogate to guide the search.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-20 Jakob Richter , Tim Friede , Jörg Rahnenführer

In the low-data regime, it is difficult to train good supervised models from scratch. Instead practitioners turn to pre-trained models, leveraging transfer learning. Ensembling is an empirically and theoretically appealing way to construct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Basil Mustafa , Carlos Riquelme , Joan Puigcerver , André Susano Pinto , Daniel Keysers , Neil Houlsby

Robotics and automation offer massive accelerations for solving intractable, multivariate scientific problems such as materials discovery, but the available search spaces can be dauntingly large. Bayesian optimization (BO) has emerged as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Abdoulatif Cisse , Xenophon Evangelopoulos , Sam Carruthers , Vladimir V. Gusev , Andrew I. Cooper

We revisit the classical, full-fledged Bayesian model averaging (BMA) paradigm to ensemble pre-trained and/or lightly-finetuned foundation models to enhance the classification performance on image and text data. To make BMA tractable under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Mijung Park

A framework previously introduced in [3] for solving a sequence of stochastic optimization problems with bounded changes in the minimizers is extended and applied to machine learning problems such as regression and classification. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-08 Craig Wilson , Yuheng Bu , Venugopal Veeravalli

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful approach to sample-efficient optimization of black-box functions. However, in settings with very few function evaluations, a successful application of BO may require transferring information from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Aryan Deshwal , Sait Cakmak , Yuhou Xia , David Eriksson

Consider making a prediction over new test data without any opportunity to learn from a training set of labelled data - instead given access to a set of expert models and their predictions alongside some limited information about the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Alex J. Chan , Mihaela van der Schaar

The choices of hyperparameters have critical effects on the performance of machine learning models. In this paper, we present a general framework that is able to construct an adaptive optimizer, which automatically adjust the appropriate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-31 Huayuan Sun

Networks are a commonly used mathematical model to describe the rich set of interactions between objects of interest. Many clustering methods have been developed in order to partition such structures, among which several rely on underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-13 P. Latouche , E. Birmelé , C. Ambroise

Machine learning techniques always aim to reduce the generalized prediction error. In order to reduce it, ensemble methods present a good approach combining several models that results in a greater forecasting capacity. The Random Machines…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-31 Anderson Ara , Mateus Maia , Samuel Macêdo , Francisco Louzada

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a typical approach to solve expensive optimization problems. In each iteration of BO, a Gaussian process(GP) model is trained using the previously evaluated solutions; then next candidate solutions for…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-06-23 Jixiang Chen , Fu Luo , Zhenkun Wang

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods offer a principled approach to Bayesian uncertainty quantification but are traditionally limited by the need for full-batch gradient evaluations. We introduce a scalable variant by incorporating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-20 Andrew Millard , Zheng Zhao , Joshua Murphy , Simon Maskell

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful approach to sample-efficient optimization of black-box objective functions. However, the application of BO to areas such as recommendation systems often requires taking the interpretability and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Sulin Liu , Qing Feng , David Eriksson , Benjamin Letham , Eytan Bakshy

In many medical and business applications, researchers are interested in estimating individualized treatment effects using data from a randomized experiment. For example in medical applications, doctors learn the treatment effects from…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-01 Kevin Wu Han , Han Wu

Machine learning-based Deepfake detection models have achieved impressive results on benchmark datasets, yet their performance often deteriorates significantly when evaluated on out-of-distribution data. In this work, we investigate an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Haroon Wahab , Hassan Ugail , Lujain Jaleel

A major challenge for reinforcement learning is automatically generating curricula to reduce training time or improve performance in some target task. We introduce SEBNs (Skill-Environment Bayesian Networks) which model a probabilistic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Vincent Hsiao , Mark Roberts , Laura M. Hiatt , George Konidaris , Dana Nau

The design of multiple experiments is commonly undertaken via suboptimal strategies, such as batch (open-loop) design that omits feedback or greedy (myopic) design that does not account for future effects. This paper introduces new…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-29 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

In the field of machine learning, ensemble learning is widely recognized as a pivotal strategy for pushing the boundaries of predictive performance. Traditional static ensemble methods typically assign weights by treating each base learner…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Yanxin Liu , Yunqi Zhang

Bayesian optimization is a broadly applied methodology to optimize the expensive black-box function. Despite its success, it still faces the challenge from the high-dimensional search space. To alleviate this problem, we propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Jingfan Chen , Guanghui Zhu , Chunfeng Yuan , Yihua Huang

We develop a self-supervised ensemble learning (SSEL) method to accurately classify distinct types of phase transitions by analyzing the fluctuation properties of machine learning outputs. Employing the 2D Potts model and the 2D Clock model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-27 Chi-Ting Ho , Daw-Wei Wang