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We propose a novel class of time-varying nonparanormal graphical models, which allows us to model high dimensional heavy-tailed systems and the evolution of their latent network structures. Under this model, we develop statistical tests for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-14 Junwei Lu , Mladen Kolar , Han Liu

Statistical inference for non-stationary data is hindered by the failure of classical central limit theorems (CLTs), not least because there is no fixed Gaussian limit to converge to. To resolve this, we introduce relative weak convergence,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Nicolai Palm , Thomas Nagler

Based on a novel dynamic Whittle likelihood approximation for locally stationary processes, a Bayesian nonparametric approach to estimating the time-varying spectral density is proposed. This dynamic frequency-domain based likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-22 Yifu Tang , Claudia Kirch , Jeong Eun Lee , Renate Meyer

So-called linear rank statistics provide a means for distribution-free (even in finite samples), yet highly flexible, two-sample testing in the setting of univariate random variables. Their flexibility derives from a choice of weights that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-03 Dan D. Erdmann-Pham

In this paper we develop a generalized likelihood ratio scan method (GLRSM) for multiple change-points inference in piecewise stationary time series, which estimates the number and positions of change-points and provides a confidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-03 Wai Leong Ng , Shenyi Pan , Chun Yip Yau

We propose robust two-sample tests for comparing means in time series. The framework accommodates a wide range of applications, including structural breaks, treatment-control comparisons, and group-averaged panel data. We first consider…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-23 Ulrich Hounyo , Min Seong Kim

We study a time-varying Bayesian optimization problem with bandit feedback, where the reward function belongs to a Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS). We approach the problem via an upper-confidence bound Gaussian Process algorithm,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-27 Eliabelle Mauduit , Eloïse Berthier , Andrea Simonetto

Searches for unknown physics and decisions between competing astrophysical models to explain data both rely on statistical hypothesis testing. The usual approach in searches for new physical phenomena is based on the statistical Likelihood…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-02-22 Sara Algeri , Jan Conrad , David A. van Dyk

We address the issue of performing testing inference in generalized linear models when the sample size is small. This class of models provides a straightforward way of modeling normal and non-normal data and has been widely used in several…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-16 Tiago M. Vargas , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Artur J. Lemonte

In this paper, we reconsider the problem of detecting a matrix-valued rank-one signal in unknown Gaussian noise, which was previously addressed for the case of sufficient training data. We relax the above assumption to the case of limited…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-28 Weijian Liu , Zhaojian Zhang , Jun Liu , Zheran Shang , Yong-Liang Wang

This paper addresses the estimation of locally stationary long-range dependent processes, a methodology that allows the statistical analysis of time series data exhibiting both nonstationarity and strong dependency. A time-varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-12 Wilfredo Palma , Ricardo Olea

This article introduces a robust hypothesis testing procedure: the Lq-likelihood-ratio-type test (LqRT). By deriving the asymptotic distribution of this test statistic, the authors demonstrate its robustness both analytically and…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-27 Yichen Qin , Carey E. Priebe

We developed a statistical inference method applicable to a broad range of generalized linear models (GLMs) in high-dimensional settings, where the number of unknown coefficients scales proportionally with the sample size. Although a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Kazuma Sawaya , Yoshimasa Uematsu , Masaaki Imaizumi

We propose a bootstrap-based test to detect a mean shift in a sequence of high-dimensional observations with unknown time-varying heteroscedasticity. The proposed test builds on the U-statistic based approach in Wang et al. (2022), targets…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-17 Teng Wu , Stanislav Volgushev , Xiaofeng Shao

Because the stationary bootstrap resamples data blocks of random length, this method has been thought to have the largest asymptotic variance among block bootstraps Lahiri [Ann. Statist. 27 (1999) 386--404]. It is shown here that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-04 Daniel J. Nordman

In this paper an autoregressive time series model with conditional heteroscedasticity is considered, where both conditional mean and conditional variance function are modeled nonparametrically. A test for the model assumption of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Marie Hušková , Natalie Neumeyer , Tobias Niebuhr , Leonie Selk

The paper considers nonparametric specification tests of quantile curves for a general class of nonstationary processes. Using Bahadur representation and Gaussian approximation results for nonstationary time series, simultaneous confidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-20 Zhou Zhou

A regression method for proportional, or fractional, data with mixed effects is outlined, designed for analysis of datasets in which the outcomes have substantial weight at the bounds. In such cases a normal approximation is particularly…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-23 Colman Humphrey , Dan Swingley

A wild bootstrap method for nonparametric hypothesis tests based on kernel distribution embeddings is proposed. This bootstrap method is used to construct provably consistent tests that apply to random processes, for which the naive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-28 Kacper Chwialkowski , Dino Sejdinovic , Arthur Gretton

Under the classical long-span asymptotic framework we develop a class of Generalized Laplace (GL) inference methods for the change-point dates in a linear time series regression model with multiple structural changes analyzed in, e.g., Bai…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron