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Residual-based goodness-of-fit tests for parametric time-series models are often complicated by parameter-estimation effects, which can alter the limiting behavior of diagnostic statistics. We propose a sample-splitting generalized spectral…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-29 Yuxin Tao , Feiyu Jiang , Xiaofeng Shao

Rank regression offers robustness to outliers and heavy-tailed response distributions, invariance to monotonic transformations, and improved efficiency under non-Gaussian errors, making it a versatile tool for analyzing complex data. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-25 Jiyuan Tu , Suqi Wu , Yichen Zhang , Wen-Xin Zhou

In this work, a fully nonparametric geostatistical approach to estimate threshold exceeding probabilities is proposed. To estimate the large-scale variability (spatial trend) of the process, the nonparametric local linear regression…

We present simple to implement Wald-type statistics that deliver a general nonparametric inference theory for linear restrictions on varying coefficients in a range of regression models allowing for cross-sectional or spatial dependence. We…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-27 Abhimanyu Gupta , Xi Qu , Sorawoot Srisuma , Jiajun Zhang

The classical likelihood ratio test (LRT) based on the asymptotic chi-squared distribution of the log likelihood is one of the fundamental tools of statistical inference. A recent universal LRT approach based on sample splitting provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-22 Robin Dunn , Aaditya Ramdas , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry Wasserman

This paper considers a general class of nonparametric time series regression models where the regression function can be time-dependent. We establish an asymptotic theory for estimates of the time-varying regression functions. For this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

This paper provides a specification test for semiparametric models with nonparametrically generated regressors. Such variables are not observed by the researcher but are nonparametrically identified and estimable. Applications of the test…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-26 Elia Lapenta

Contagion arising from clustering of multiple time series like those in the stock market indicators can further complicate the nature of volatility, rendering a parametric test (relying on asymptotic distribution) to suffer from issues on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-05 Erniel B. Barrios , Paolo Victor T. Redondo

In this paper, we consider the detection of a small change in the frequency of sinusoidal signals, which arises in various signal processing applications. The generalized likelihood ratio test (GLRT) for this problem uses the maximum…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-24 Eyal Levy , Tirza Routtenberg

This paper is devoted to the study of the general linear hypothesis testing (GLHT) problem of multi-sample high-dimensional mean vectors. For the GLHT problem, we introduce a test statistic based on $L^2$-norm and random integration method,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Mingxiang Cao , Yelong Qiu , Junyong Park

Statistical inference for stochastic processes with time-varying spectral characteristics has received considerable attention in recent decades. We develop a nonparametric test for stationarity against the alternative of a smoothly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Efstathios Paparoditis

In the statistical inference for long range dependent time series the shape of the limit distribution typically depends on unknown parameters. Therefore, we propose to use subsampling. We show the validity of subsampling for general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-20 Annika Betken , Martin Wendler

In this paper, change-point problems for long memory stochastic volatility models are considered. A general testing problem which includes various alternative hypotheses is discussed. Under the hypothesis of stationarity the limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-21 Annika Betken , Rafał Kulik

This paper proposes several tests of restricted specification in nonparametric instrumental regression. Based on series estimators, test statistics are established that allow for tests of the general model against a parametric or…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-24 Christoph Breunig

We obtain the law of large numbers (LLN) and the central limit theorem (CLT) for weakly dependent non-stationary arrays of random fields with asymptotically unbounded moments. The weak dependence condition for arrays of random fields is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-15 Yue Pan , Jiazhu Pan

This paper develops valid bootstrap inference methods for the dynamic short panel threshold regression. We show that the standard nonparametric bootstrap is inconsistent for the first-differenced generalized method of moments (GMM)…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-18 Woosik Gong , Myung Hwan Seo

In this paper, we study the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator for an event time distribution function at a point in the current status model with observation times supported on a grid of potentially unknown sparsity and with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-29 Runlong Tang , Moulinath Banerjee , Michael R. Kosorok

Weighted empirical risk minimization is a common approach to prediction under distribution drift. This article studies its out-of-sample prediction error under nonstationarity. We provide a general decomposition of the excess risk into a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Tobias Brock , Thomas Nagler

Multivariate locally stationary functional time series provide a flexible framework for modeling complex data structures exhibiting both temporal and spatial dependencies while allowing for time-varying data generating mechanism. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-15 Lujia Bai , Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

Statistical inference for time series such as curve estimation for time-varying models or testing for existence of change-point have garnered significant attention. However, these works are generally restricted to the assumption of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-08 Soham Bonnerjee , Sayar Karmakar , Wei Biao Wu