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We show how to use a variational approximation to the logistic function to perform approximate inference in Bayesian networks containing discrete nodes with continuous parents. Essentially, we convert the logistic function to a Gaussian,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Kevin Murphy

The main message in this paper is that there are surprisingly many different Brownian bridges, some of them - familiar, some of them - less familiar. Many of these Brownian bridges are very close to Brownian motions. Somewhat loosely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-08 Estate Khmaladze

In this paper we study the asymptotic behaviour of weighted random sums when the sum process converges stably in law to a Brownian motion and the weight process has continuous trajectories, more regular than that of a Brownian motion. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-07 José Manuel Corcuera , David Nualart , Mark Podolskij

Two new test statistics are introduced to test the null hypotheses that the sampling distribution has an increasing hazard rate on a specified interval [0,a]. These statistics are empirical L_1-type distances between the isotonic estimates,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed

We consider tightness for families of non-colliding Brownian bridges above a hard wall, which are subject to geometrically growing self-potentials of tilted area type. The model is introduced in order to mimic level lines of $2+1$ discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-11 Pietro Caputo , Dmitry Ioffe , Vitali Wachtel

We identify putative load-bearing structures (bridges) in experimental colloidal systems studied by confocal microscopy. Bridges are co-operative structures that have been used to explain stability and inhomogeneous force transmission in…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2010-06-18 Matthew C. Jenkins , Mark D. Haw , Gary C. Barker , Wilson C. K. Poon , Stefan U. Egelhaaf

There is a wide literature on change point tests, but the case of variables with infinite variances is essentially unexplored. In this paper we address this problem by studying the asymptotic behavior of trimmed CUSUM statistics. We show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-06 István Berkes , Lajos Horváth , Johannes Schauer

In this paper we propose a class of weighted rank correlation coefficients extending the Spearman's rho. The proposed class constructed by giving suitable weights to the distance between two sets of ranks to place more emphasis on items…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 M. Sanatgar , A. Dolati , M. Amini

We prove empirical central limit theorems for the distribution of levels of various random fields defined on high-dimensional discrete structures as the dimension of the structure goes to $\infty$. The random fields considered include costs…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-08 Zakhar Kabluchko

Suppose that a sequence of data points follows a distribution of a certain parametric form, but that one or more of the underlying parameters may change over time. This paper addresses various natural questions in such a framework. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Nils Lid Hjort , Alex J. Koning

The nearest-neighbor level spacing distribution is numerically investigated by directly diagonalizing disordered Anderson Hamiltonians for systems of sizes up to 100 x 100 x 100 lattice sites. The scaling behavior of the level statistics is…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-30 Isa Kh. Zharekeshev , Bernhard Kramer

We characterize the asymptotic behaviour of the weighted power variation processes associated with iterated Brownian motion. We prove weak convergence results in the sense of finite dimensional distributions, and show that the laws of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-15 Ivan Nourdin , Giovanni Peccati

Nonintersecting Brownian bridges on the unit circle form a determinantal stochastic process exhibiting random matrix statistics for large numbers of walkers. We investigate the effect of adding a drift term to walkers on the circle…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Robert Buckingham , Karl Liechty

This paper proposes the cross-quantilogram to measure the quantile dependence between two time series. We apply it to test the hypothesis that one time series has no directional predictability to another time series. We establish the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Heejoon Han , Oliver Linton , Tatsushi Oka , Yoon-Jae Whang

We study the asymptotic shape of random unlabelled graphs subject to certain subcriticality conditions. The graphs are sampled with probability proportional to a product of Boltzmann weights assigned to their $2$-connected components. As…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-12-06 Benedikt Stufler

A family of consistent tests, derived from a characterization of the probability generating function, is proposed for assessing Poissonity against a wide class of count distributions, which includes some of the most frequently adopted…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Antonio Di Noia , Marzia Marcheselli , Caterina Pisani , Luca Pratelli

The paper deals with the asymptotic behavior of the bridge of a Gaussian process conditioned to stay in $n$ fixed points at $n$ fixed past instants. In particular, functional large deviation results are stated for small time. Several…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-06 L. Caramellino , B. Pacchiarotti

We study the problem of modeling univariate distributions via their quantile functions. We introduce a flexible family of distributions whose quantile function is a linear combination of basis quantiles. Because the model is linear in its…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Cheng Peng , Yizhou Li , Stan Uryasev

The behavior of maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) and the likelihood ratio statistic in a family of problems involving pointwise nonparametric estimation of a monotone function is studied. This class of problems differs radically from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Moulinath Banerjee

For probability measures on countable spaces we derive distributional limits for empirical entropic optimal transport quantities. More precisely, we show that the empirical optimal transport plan weakly converges to a centered Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-27 Shayan Hundrieser , Marcel Klatt , Axel Munk