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Positive dependencies have been compared in the literature under rather strong assumptions such as equality of conditional distributions, exchangeability, or stationarity. We establish supermodular ordering results for distributions that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Jonathan Ansari , Moritz Ritter

We study the two-dimensional Ising model on a network with a novel type of quenched topological (connectivity) disorder. We construct random lattices of constant coordination number and perform large scale Monte Carlo simulations in order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-07 Manuel Schrauth , Julian A. J. Richter , Jefferson S. E. Portela

Bisimulation metrics are powerful tools for measuring similarities between stochastic processes, and specifically Markov chains. Recent advances have uncovered that bisimulation metrics are, in fact, optimal-transport distances, which has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Sergio Calo , Anders Jonsson , Gergely Neu , Ludovic Schwartz , Javier Segovia-Aguas

We discuss time-quantified Monte-Carlo simulations on classical spin chains with uniaxial anisotropy in relation to static calculations. Depending on the thickness of domain walls, controlled by the relative strength of the exchange and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-19 Orlando V. Billoni , Vivien Pianet , Danilo Pescia , Alessandro Vindigni

Markov chain models are used in various fields, such behavioral sciences or econometrics. Although the goodness of fit of the model is usually assessed by large sample approximation, it is desirable to use conditional tests if the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-11 Akimichi Takemura , Hisayuki Hara

Markov chains are a natural and well understood tool for describing one-dimensional patterns in time or space. We show how to infer $k$-th order Markov chains, for arbitrary $k$, from finite data by applying Bayesian methods to both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield , Alfred W. Hubler

Inference for mechanistic models is challenging because of nonlinear interactions between model parameters and a lack of identifiability. Here we focus on a specific class of mechanistic models, which we term stable differential equations.…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-13 Philip Maybank , Ingo Bojak , Richard G. Everitt

In many applications, for example when computing statistics of fast subsystems in a multiscale setting, we wish to find the stationary distributions of systems of continuous time Markov chains. Here we present a class of models that appears…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-20 David F. Anderson , Simon L. Cotter

We prove that two natural Markov chains on the set of monotone paths in a strip mix slowly. To do so, we make novel use of the theory of non-positively curved (CAT(0)) cubical complexes to detect small bottlenecks in many graphs of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Federico Ardila-Mantilla , Naya Banerjee , Coleson Weir

We study strong existence and pathwise uniqueness for a class of infinite-dimensional singular stochastic differential equations (SDE), with state space as the cone $\{x \in \mathbb{R}^{\mathbb{N}}: -\infty < x_1 \leq x_2 \leq \cdots\}$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-15 Sayan Banerjee , Amarjit Budhiraja , Peter Rudzis

The Wolff dynamics is a non-local Markov chain widely used for simulating the Ising model due to its effectiveness in reducing critical slowing down compared to the Glauber dynamics. Despite extensive algorithmic and numerical studies, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-29 Kaiyuan Cui , Fuzhou Gong

We study the properties of a subclass of stochastic processes called discrete time nonlinear Markov chains with an aggregator, which naturally appear in various topics such as strategic queueing systems, inventory dynamics, opinion…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-24 Bar Light

This article aims to investigate sufficient conditions for the stability of stochastic differential equations with a random structure, particularly in contexts involving the presence of concentration points. The proof of asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-22 Taras Lukashiv , Igor V. Malyk , Maryna Chepeleva , Petr V. Nazarov

For a Markov chain $Y$ with values in a Polish space, consider the entrance chain, obtained by sampling $Y$ at the moments when it enters a fixed set $A$ from its complement $A^c$. Similarly, consider the exit chain, obtained by sampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-15 Aleksandar Mijatovic , Vladislav Vysotsky

A family $\{Q_{\beta}\}_{\beta \geq 0}$ of Markov chains is said to exhibit $\textit{metastable mixing}$ with $\textit{modes}$ $S_{\beta}^{(1)},\ldots,S_{\beta}^{(k)}$ if its spectral gap (or some other mixing property) is very close to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Oren Mangoubi , Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith

Random walks find applications in many areas of science and are the heart of essential network analytic tools. When defined on temporal networks, even basic random walk models may exhibit a rich spectrum of behaviours, due to the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-11 Julien Petit , Renaud Lambiotte , Timoteo Carletti

We study the problem of stationarity and ergodicity for autoregressive multinomial logistic time series models which possibly include a latent process and are defined by a GARCH-type recursive equation. We improve considerably upon the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Konstantinos Fokianos , Lionel Truquet

We investigate stationary, spatially localized patterns in lattice dynamical systems that exhibit bistability. The profiles associated with these patterns have a long plateau where the pattern resembles one of the bistable states, while the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-23 Jason J. Bramburger , Bjorn Sandstede

Multiplex networks are a common modeling framework for interconnected systems and multimodal data, yet we still lack fundamental insights for how multiplexity affects stochastic processes. We introduce a novel ``Markov chains of Markov…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-05 Dane Taylor

Markov chains are convenient means of generating realizations of networks with a given (joint or otherwise) degree distribution, since they simply require a procedure for rewiring edges. The major challenge is to find the right number of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-11-01 J. Ray , A. Pinar , C. Seshadhri