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Variational Monte Carlo (VMC) is a powerful and fast-growing method for optimizing and evolving parameterized many-body wave functions, especially with modern neural-network quantum states. In practice, however, the stochastic estimators…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2026-03-20 Zhou-Quan Wan , Roeland Wiersema , Shiwei Zhang

Quantum computing is a promising way to systematically solve the longstanding computational problem, the ground state of a many-body fermion system. Many efforts have been made to realise certain forms of quantum advantage in this problem,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-08-09 Xiaosi Xu , Ying Li

Sequential Monte Carlo methods, also known as particle methods, are a popular set of techniques for approximating high-dimensional probability distributions and their normalizing constants. These methods have found numerous applications in…

Computation · Statistics 2021-06-23 Jeremy Heng , Adrian N. Bishop , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

To better understand the capture process by a nanopore, we introduce an efficient Kinetic Monte Carlo (KMC) algorithm that can simulate long times and large system sizes by mapping the dynamic of a point-like particle in a 3D spherically…

Biological Physics · Physics 2021-03-22 Le Qiao , Maxime Ignacio , Gary W. Slater

It is shown that superefficient Monte Carlo computations can be carried out by using chaotic dynamical systems as non-uniform random-number generators. Here superefficiency means that the expectation value of the square of the error…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 Ken Umeno

Simulating realistic financial time series is essential for stress testing, scenario generation, and decision-making under uncertainty. Despite advances in deep generative models, there is no consensus metric for their evaluation. We focus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Ruben Bontorno , Songyan Hou

Background: Designing amino acid sequences that are stable in a given target structure amounts to maximizing a conditional probability. A straightforward approach to accomplish this is a nested Monte Carlo where the conformation space is…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 Anders Irbäck , Carsten Peterson , Frank Potthast , Erik Sandelin

We present a computer-assisted approach to locating approximate coarse optimal switching policies between stationary states of chemically reacting systems described by microscopic/stochastic evolution rules. The ``coarse time-stepper"…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Antonios Armaou , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

This article considers the sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) approximation of ratios of normalizing constants associated to posterior distributions which in principle rely on continuum models. Therefore, the Monte Carlo estimation error and the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-04 Pierre Del Moral , Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Yan Zhou

Incorporating speed probability distribution to the computation of the route planning in car navigation systems guarantees more accurate and precise responses. In this paper, we propose a novel approach for dynamically selecting the number…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2019-01-21 Emanuele Vitali , Davide Gadioli , Gianluca Palermo , Martin Golasowski , Joao Bispo , Pedro Pinto , Jan Martinovic , Katerina Slaninova , Joao M. P. Cardoso , Cristina Silvano

This work introduces a novel multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) metamodeling approach for variance function estimation. Although devising an efficient experimental design for simulation metamodeling can be elusive, the MLMC-based approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Jingtao Zhang , Xi Chen

We investigate the use of Antithetic Variables, Control Variates and Importance Sampling to reduce the statistical errors of option sensitivities calculated with the Likelihood Ratio Method in Monte Carlo. We show how Antithetic Variables…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-08-24 Luca Capriotti

Various kinetic Monte Carlo algorithms become inefficient when some of the population sizes in a system are large, which gives rise to a large number of reaction events per unit time. Here, we present a new acceleration algorithm based on…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-24 Yen Ting Lin , Song Feng , William S. Hlavacek

Many machine learning problems involve Monte Carlo gradient estimators. As a prominent example, we focus on Monte Carlo variational inference (MCVI) in this paper. The performance of MCVI crucially depends on the variance of its stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-05 Alexander Buchholz , Florian Wenzel , Stephan Mandt

Bayesian inference with nested sampling requires a likelihood-restricted prior sampling method, which draws samples from the prior distribution that exceed a likelihood threshold. For high-dimensional problems, Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-13 Johannes Buchner

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is computationally intensive for complex model simulators. To exploit expensive simulations, data-resampling via bootstrapping can be employed to obtain many artificial datasets at little cost.…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-05 Umberto Picchini , Richard G. Everitt

The basic problem in equilibrium statistical mechanics is to compute phase space average, in which Monte Carlo method plays a very important role. We begin with a review of nonlocal algorithms for Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Jian-Sheng Wang

Model comparison for the purposes of selection, averaging and validation is a problem found throughout statistics. Within the Bayesian paradigm, these problems all require the calculation of the posterior probabilities of models within a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-08 Yan Zhou , Adam M Johansen , John A D Aston

Bootstrapping was designed to randomly resample data from a fixed sample using Monte Carlo techniques. However, the original sample itself defines a discrete distribution. Convolutional methods are well suited for discrete distributions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-19 Jared M. Clark , Richard L. Warr

In this paper we propose an efficient method to compute the price of multi-asset American options, based on Machine Learning, Monte Carlo simulations and variance reduction technique. Specifically, the options we consider are written on a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-04 Ludovic Goudenège , Andrea Molent , Antonino Zanette
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