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This work obtains sharp closed-form exponential concentration inequalities of Bernstein type for the ubiquitous beta distribution, improving upon sub-gaussian and sub-gamma bounds previously studied in this context. The proof leverages a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-21 Maciej Skorski

We propose modified frequentist definition for the determination of confidence intervals for the case of Poisson statistics. Namely, we require that 1-\beta' \geq \sum_{n=o}^{n_{obs}+k} P(n|\lambda) \geq \alpha'. We show that this…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-06-19 Sergey Bitioukov , Nikolai Krasnikov

The depinning transition of a front moving in a time-independent random potential is studied. The temporal development of the overall roughness w(L,t) of an initially flat front, $w(t)\propto t^\beta$, is the classical means to have access…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 S. Krishnamurthy , A. Tanguy , S. Roux

This paper concerns the use of the expectation-maximisation (EM) algorithm for inference in partially observed diffusion processes. In this context, a well known problem is that all except a few diffusion processes lack closed-form…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-18 Jimmy Olsson , Jonas Ströjby

The Mittag-Leffler function $E_{\alpha}$ being a natural generalization of the exponential function, an infinite-dimensional version of the fractional Poisson measure would have a characteristic functional \[ C_{\alpha}(\phi)…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-11 Maria Joao Oliveira , Habib Ouerdiane , Jose Luis da Silva , R. Vilela Mendes

Let $P_0$ be a probability on the real line generating a natural exponential family $(P_t)_{t\in \mathbb {R}}$. Fix $\alpha$ in $ (0,1).$ We show that the property that $P_t((-\infty,t)) \leq \alpha \leq P_t((-\infty,t])$ for all $t$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-30 Mauro Piccioni , Bartosz Kołodziejek , Gérard Letac

A general piecewise (including pointwise) probability distribution with space-saving notation and its hierarchical particular cases are considered. The explicit closed-form normalization, expectation, and variance formulas along with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Lev Gelimson

A new bound for the remainder term in the Taylor expansion of the complex exponent $e^{ix}$, $x\in\R$, is proved yielding precise moment-type estimates of the accuracy of the approximation of the characteristic function (the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-02 Irina Shevtsova

Let $\xi$ be a (possibly killed) subordinator with Laplace exponent $\phi$ and denote by $I_{\phi}=\int_0^{\infty}\mathrm{e}^{-\xi_s}\,\mathrm{d}s$, the so-called exponential functional. Consider the positive random variable $I_{\psi_1}$…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-11 P. Patie

A random phenomenon may have two sources of random variation: an unstable identity and a set of external variation-generating factors. When only a single source is active, two mutually exclusive extreme scenarios may ensue that result in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Haim Shore

In [3], we have introduced a probability measure to study the power and exponential sums for a certain coding system. The distribution function of the probability measure gives explicit formulas for the power and exponential sums.…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Yuichi Kamiya , Tatsuya Okada , Takeshi Sekiguchi , Yasunobu Shiota

Using a probabilistic approach, we derive some interesting combinatorial identities involving gamma and beta functions. These results generalize certain well-known combinatorial identities involving binomial coefficients and special…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Palaniappan Vellaisamy , Puja Pandey

Parameter estimation is one of the most important tasks in statistics, and is key to helping people understand the distribution behind a sample of observations. Traditionally parameter estimation is done either by closed-form solutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-04 Xiaoxin Yin , David S. Yin

As well known, cumulant expansion is an alternative way to moment expansion to fully characterize probability distributions provided all the moments exist. If this is not the case, the so called escort mean values (or q-moments) have been…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 Antonio Rodriguez , Constantino Tsallis

A method that uses order statistics to construct multivariate distributions with fixed marginals and which utilizes a representation of the Bernstein copula in terms of a finite mixture distribution is proposed. Expectation-maximization…

Computation · Statistics 2014-01-16 Xiaoling Dou , Satoshi Kuriki , Gwo Dong Lin , Donald Richards

Expectation propagation (EP) is a family of algorithms for performing approximate inference in probabilistic models. The updates of EP involve the evaluation of moments -- expectations of certain functions -- which can be estimated from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-30 Jonathan So , Richard E. Turner

Nadarajah and Gupta (2004) introduced the beta Fr\'echet (BF) distribution, which is a generalization of the exponentiated Fr\'echet (EF) and Fr\'echet distributions, and obtained the probability density and cumulative distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-04-08 Wagner Barreto-Souza , Gauss M. Cordeiro , Alexandre B. Simas

Let X,Y,B be three independent random variables such that $X$ has the same distribution function as Y B. Assume that B is a Beta random variable with positive parameters a,b and Y has distribution function H. Pakes and Navarro (2007) show…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-14 Enkelejd Hashorva , Anthony Pakes

A unifying and generalizing approach to representations of the positive-part and absolute moments $\mathsf{E} X_+^p$ and $\mathsf{E}|X|^p$ of a random variable $X$ for real $p$ in terms of the characteristic function (c.f.) of $X$, as well…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-17 Iosif Pinelis

We investigate stochastic comparisons between exponential family distributions and their mixtures with respect to the usual stochastic order, the hazard rate order, the reversed hazard rate order, and the likelihood ratio order. A general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-10-05 Yaming Yu