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Understanding the evolutionary patterns of real-world evolving complex systems such as human interactions, transport networks, biological interactions, and computer networks has important implications in our daily lives. Predicting future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Khushnood Abbas , Alireza Abbasi , Dong Shi , Niu Ling , Mingsheng Shang , Chen Liong , Bolun Chen

Community detection is one of the fundamental problems in the study of network data. Most existing community detection approaches only consider edge information as inputs, and the output could be suboptimal when nodal information is…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-13 Haolei Weng , Yang Feng

Our $N$-intertwined model (now called NIMFA) for virus spread in any network with $N$ nodes is extended to a full heterogeneous setting. The metastable steady-state nodal infection probabilities are specified in terms of a generalized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-14 Piet Van Mieghem , Jasmina Omic

We consider the problem of learning the weighted edges of a graph by observing the noisy times of infection for multiple epidemic cascades on this graph. Past work has considered this problem when the cascade information, i.e., infection…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-08-13 Jessica Hoffmann , Constantine Caramanis

We present a modified \emph{susceptible-infected-susceptible} (SIS) model on complex networks, small-world and scale-free, to study epidemic spreading with the effect of time delay which is introduced to the infected phase. Considering the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Xin-Jian Xu , Hai-Ou Peng , Xiao-Mei Wang , Ying-Hai Wang

This paper develops and analyzes optimization models for rapid detection of viruses in large contact networks. In the model, a virus spreads in a stochastic manner over an undirected connected graph, under various assumptions on the spread…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-16 Sudesh K. Agrawal , John J. Hasenbein

When investigating the spreading of a piece of information or the diffusion of an innovation, we often lack information on the underlying propagation network. Reconstructing the hidden propagation paths based on the observed diffusion…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-05 Hao Liao , Ming-Kai Liu , Manuel Sebastian Mariani , Mingyang Zhou , Xingtong Wu

Relations between discrete quantities such as people, genes, or streets can be described by networks, which consist of nodes that are connected by edges. Network analysis aims to identify important nodes in a network and to uncover…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-21 A. Concas , S. Noschese , L. Reichel , G. Rodriguez

The social networks that infectious diseases spread along are typically clustered. Because of the close relation between percolation and epidemic spread, the behavior of percolation in such networks gives insight into infectious disease…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2009-05-14 Joel C Miller

Most of the common used models of epidemic spreading allow contaminating many neighbors of a particular node in the network. They are usually analyzed by differential equations on probability vectors. We propose a model of epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-14 Wojciech Ganczarek

Infectious disease surveillance is of great importance for the prevention of major outbreaks. Syndromic surveillance aims at developing algorithms which can detect outbreaks as early as possible by monitoring data sources which allow to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-01 Moritz Kulessa , Eneldo Loza Mencía , Johannes Fürnkranz

We introduce a new class of latent process models for dynamic relational network data with the goal of detecting time-dependent structure. Network data are often observed over time, and static network models for such data may fail to…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-15 Lucy F. Robinson , Carey E. Priebe

In the Staged Progression (SP) epidemic models, infected individuals are classified into a suitable number of states. The goal of these models is to describe as closely as possible the effect of differences in infectiousness exhibited by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-08 Luis Sanz-Lorenzo , Rafael Bravo de la Parra

Networks - collections of interacting elements or nodes - abound in the natural and manmade worlds. For many networks, complex spatiotemporal dynamics stem from patterns of physical interactions unknown to us. To infer these interactions,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-13 Mark A. Kramer , Uri T. Eden , Sydney S. Cash , Eric D. Kolaczyk

Networks play a central role in modern data analysis, enabling us to reason about systems by studying the relationships between their parts. Most often in network analysis, the edges are given. However, in many systems it is difficult or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-06 Scott W. Linderman , Ryan P. Adams

Most previous studies of epidemic dynamics on complex networks suppose that the disease will eventually stabilize at either a disease-free state or an endemic one. In reality, however, some epidemics always exhibit sporadic and recurrent…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-11-19 Xiao-Long Peng , Michael Small , Xin-Jian Xu , Xinchu Fu

Growing number of network devices and services have led to increasing demand for protective measures as hackers launch attacks to paralyze or steal information from victim systems. Intrusion Detection System (IDS) is one of the essential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-27 Hyeokmin Gwon , Chungjun Lee , Rakun Keum , Heeyoul Choi

Latent space models are powerful statistical tools for modeling and understanding network data. While the importance of accounting for uncertainty in network analysis has been well recognized, the current literature predominantly focuses on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-15 Jinming Li , Shihao Wu , Chengyu Cui , Gongjun Xu , Ji Zhu

Infectious or contagious diseases can be transmitted from one person to another through social contact networks. In today's interconnected global society, such contagion processes can cause global public health hazards, as exemplified by…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-07-30 Anirban Dasgupta , Srijan Sengupta

The primary tool for predicting infectious disease spread and intervention effectiveness is the mass action Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model of Kermack and McKendrick. Its usefulness derives largely from its conceptual and mathematical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-03 Joel C. Miller , Anja C. Slim , Erik M. Volz