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This paper provides an insight to the time-varying dynamics of the shape of the distribution of financial return series by proposing an exponential weighted moving average model that jointly estimates volatility, skewness and kurtosis over…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-08 A. Gabrielsen , P. Zagaglia , A. Kirchner , Z. Liu

We study the Heston model for pricing European options on stocks with stochastic volatility. This is a Black\--Scholes\--type equation whose spatial domain for the logarithmic stock price $x\in \RR$ and the variance $v\in (0,\infty)$ is the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Bénédicte Alziary , Peter Takáč

The expOU stochastic volatility model is capable of reproducing fairly well most important statistical properties of financial markets daily data. Among them, the presence of multiple time scales in the volatility autocorrelation is perhaps…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Josep Perello

In this work we present a general representation formula for the price of a vulnerable European option, and the related CVA in stochastic (either rough or not) volatility models for the underlying's price, when admitting correlation with…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-26 Elisa Alòs , Fabio Antonelli , Alessandro Ramponi , Sergio Scarlatti

We present an alternative approach to the forecasting of motor vehicle collision rates. We adopt an oft-used tool in mathematical finance, the Heston Stochastic Volatility model, to forecast the short-term and long-term evolution of motor…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-04 Darren Shannon , Grigorios Fountas

The Constant Elasticity of Variance (CEV) model is mathematically presented and then used in a Credit-Equity hybrid framework. Next, we propose extensions to the CEV model with default: firstly by adding a stochastic volatility diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Marc Atlan , Boris Leblanc

We present small-time implied volatility asymptotics for Realised Variance (RV) and VIX options for a number of (rough) stochastic volatility models via large deviations principle. We provide numerical results along with efficient and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-03 Chloe Lacombe , Aitor Muguruza , Henry Stone

Generating realistic synthetic option prices requires implied volatility as an input, yet implied volatility is itself derived from observed option prices, creating a circular dependency that limits synthetic data for machine-learning and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-15 Julia Sun , Zheyu Jin , Jiawei Zhang , Jeffrey D. Varner

We study some properties of the American option price in the stochastic volatility Heston model. We first prove that, if the payoff function is convex and satisfies some regularity assumptions, then the option value function is increasing…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-04 Damien Lamberton , Giulia Terenzi

According to the volatility feedback effect, an unexpected increase in squared volatility leads to an immediate decline in the price-dividend ratio. In this paper, we consider the properties of stock price dynamics and option valuations…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-11 Juho Kanniainen , Robert Piché

The local volatility model is a widely used for pricing and hedging financial derivatives. While its main appeal is its capability of reproducing any given surface of observed option prices---it provides a perfect fit---the essential…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-24 Martin Tegnér , Stephen Roberts

We propose a two stage procedure for the estimation of the parameters of a fairly general, continuous-time stochastic volatility. An important ingredient of the proposed method is the Cuchiero-Teichmann volatility estimator, which is based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Milan Merkle , Yuri F. Saporito , Rodrigo S. Targino

For certain types of statistical models, the characteristic function (Fourier transform) is available in closed form, whereas the probability density function has an intractable form, typically as an infinite sum of probability weighted…

Computation · Statistics 2020-08-20 Berent Å. S. Lunde , Tore S. Kleppe , Hans J. Skaug

The continuous observation of the financial markets has identified some stylized facts which challenge the conventional assumptions, promoting the born of new approaches. On the one hand, the long-range dependence has been faced replacing…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-12 Axel A. Araneda

We study nearly unstable bivariate cumulative heavy-tailed INAR($\infty$) processes and show that, under a one-factor parameterization and a suitable scaling, they converge to the rough Heston model. This yields a discrete-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Yingli Wang , Zhenyu Cui , Lingjiong Zhu

We provide a nonparametric method for the computation of instantaneous multivariate volatility for continuous semi-martingales, which is based on Fourier analysis. The co-volatility is reconstructed as a stochastic function of time by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Paul Malliavin , Maria Elvira Mancino

In commodity and energy markets swing options allow the buyer to hedge against futures price fluctuations and to select its preferred delivery strategy within daily or periodic constraints, possibly fixed by observing quoted futures…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-27 Roberto Daluiso , Emanuele Nastasi , Andrea Pallavicini , Giulio Sartorelli

We develop quantum algorithms for pricing Asian and barrier options under the Heston model, a popular stochastic volatility model, and estimate their costs, in terms of T-count, T-depth and number of logical qubits, on instances under…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-10-23 Guoming Wang , Angus Kan

In the classical model of stock prices which is assumed to be Geometric Brownian motion, the drift and the volatility of the prices are held constant. However, in reality, the volatility does vary. In quantitative finance, the Heston model…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-21 Arunangshu Biswas , Anindya Goswami , Ludger Overbeck

We address the information content of European option prices about volatility in terms of the Fisher information matrix. We assume that observed option prices are centred on the theoretical price provided by Heston's model disturbed by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-19 Oliver Pfante , Nils Bertschinger