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In cancer epidemiology using population-based data, regression models for the excess mortality hazard is a useful method to estimate cancer survival and to describe the association between prognosis factors and excess mortality. This method…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-19 Francisco J. Rubio , Bernard Rachet , Roch Giorgi , Camille Maringe , Aurelien Belot

Chronic diseases and cancer account for over 75 percent of healthcare costs in the US. Increased prevention services and improved primary care are thought to decrease costs. Current models for detecting changes in the health of populations…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-07-15 Jacob Kuriyan , Nathaniel Cobb

Breast cancer is one of the two cancers responsible for the most deaths in women, with about 42,000 deaths each year in the US. That there are over 300,000 breast cancers newly diagnosed each year suggests that only a fraction of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Xia Jiang , Yijun Zhou , Alan Wells , Adam Brufsky

In epidemiological or demographic studies, with variable age at onset, a typical quantity of interest is the incidence of a disease (for example the cancer incidence). In these studies, the individuals are usually highly heterogeneous in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Vivien Goepp , Jean-Christophe Thalabard , Grégory Nuel , Olivier Bouaziz

We assessed the validity of one of the most frequently used methods to estimate cancer incidence, on the basis of cancer mortality data and the incidence-to-mortality ratio IMR, the IMR method. Using the previous 15 year cancer mortality…

Understanding patterns in mortality across subpopulations is essential for local health policy decision making. One of the key challenges of subnational mortality rate estimation is the presence of small populations and zero or near zero…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-16 Ameer Dharamshi , Monica Alexander , Celeste Winant , Magali Barbieri

Background: Although recorded cancer mortality should include both deaths from cancer and deaths from cancer treatment, there is evidence suggesting that the measure may be incomplete. To investigate the completeness of recorded prostate…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-03 H. Gilbert Welch , Michael J. Barry , William C Black , Yunjie Song , Elliott S. Fisher

This paper investigates projection of two major causes of cancer mortality, breast cancer and lung cancer, by using a Bayesian modelling framework. We investigate patterns in 2001-2018 (as baseline) in cause-specific cancer mortality and…

Applications · Statistics 2024-05-10 A. Arik , A. J. G. Cairns , G. Streftaris

We examine US County-level observational data on Lung Cancer mortality rates in 2012 and overall Circulatory Respiratory mortality rates in 2016 as well as their "Top Ten" potential causes from Federal or State sources. We find that these…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-17 Robert L. Obenchain , S. Stanley Young

This research explores how total mortality figures relate to age-standardized death rates within the United States, using the complete historical record of national mortality statistics. Through a detailed investigation of both all-cause…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-21 Brandon Dunbar , Paramahansa Pramanik , Haley Kate Robinson

In epidemiology research with cancer registry data, it is often of primary interest to make inference on cancer death, not overall survival. Since cause of death is not easy to collect or is not necessarily reliable in cancer registries,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-17 Sho Komukai , Satoshi Hattori , Bernard Rachet

Five-year cancer survival rates are widely reported and often interpreted to mean that early detection saves lives, that a late fatal diagnosis would have been prevented by earlier detection, and that increasing survival over time proves…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Allen B. Downey

In cancer epidemiology, the \emph{relative survival framework} is used to quantify the hazard associated with cancer by comparing the all-cause mortality hazard in cancer patients to that of the general population. This framework assumes…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-05 Piyali Basak , Antonio R. Linero , Camille Maringe , F. Javier Rubio

The United Nations (UN) issued official probabilistic population projections for all countries to 2100 in July 2015. This was done by simulating future levels of total fertility and life expectancy from Bayesian hierarchical models, and…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-15 David J. Sharrow , Jessica Godwin , Yanjun He , Samuel J. Clark , Adrian E. Raftery

Smoking is one of the preventable threats to human health and is a major risk factor for lung cancer, upper aero-digestive cancer, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Estimating and forecasting the smoking attributable fraction (SAF)…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-29 Yicheng Li , Adrian E. Raftery

We estimate treatment cost-savings from early cancer diagnosis. For breast, lung, prostate and colorectal cancers and melanoma, which account for more than 50% of new incidences projected in 2017, we combine published cancer treatment cost…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2019-04-03 Zura Kakushadze , Rakesh Raghubanshi , Willie Yu

Joinpoint regression is used to determine the number of segments needed to adequately explain the relationship between two variables. This methodology can be widely applied to real problems, but we focus on epidemiological data, the main…

Applications · Statistics 2011-12-08 Miguel A. Martinez-Beneito , Gonzalo García-Donato , Diego Salmerón

Epidemiological investigations of regionally aggregated spatial data often involve detecting spatial health disparities among neighboring regions on a map of disease mortality or incidence rates. Analyzing such data introduces spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Kyle Lin Wu , Sudipto Banerjee

Statistical and computational methods are widely used in today's scientific studies. Using a female fertility potential in childhood cancer survivors as an example, we illustrate how these methods can be used to extract insight regarding…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-20 L. Yu , Z. Lu , P. C. Nathan , S. Mostoufi-Moab , Y. Yuan

While probabilistic projection methods for projecting life expectancy exist, few account for covariates related to life expectancy. Generalized HIV/AIDS epidemics have a large, immediate negative impact on the life expectancy in a country,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-28 Jessica Godwin , Adrian E. Raftery
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