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This study addresses the problem of learning an extended summary causal graph on time series. The algorithms we propose fit within the well-known constraint-based framework for causal discovery and make use of information-theoretic measures…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-05-20 Charles K. Assaad , Emilie Devijver , Eric Gaussier

The field of hypothesis generation promises to reduce costs in neuroscience by narrowing the range of interventional studies needed to study various phenomena. Existing machine learning methods can generate scientific hypotheses from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Zachary C. Brown , David Carlson

Classical causal models, such as Granger causality and structural equation modeling, are largely restricted to acyclic interactions and struggle to represent cyclic and higher-order dynamics in complex networks. We introduce a causal…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-21 Moo K. Chung , D. Vijay Anand , Anass B El-Yaagoubi , Jae-Hun Jung , Anqi Qiu , Hernando Ombao

Characterising cause-effect relationships in complex systems is fundamental to understanding their underlying mechanisms. Granger causality (GC) remains a widely used computational tool for identifying causal relationships in time series…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 S. A. Adedayo

Multi-electrode neurophysiological recordings produce massive quantities of data. Multivariate time series analysis provides the basic framework for analyzing the patterns of neural interactions in these data. It has long been recognized…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Mingzhou Ding , Yonghong Chen , Steven L. Bressler

Given data over the joint distribution of two random variables $X$ and $Y$, we consider the problem of inferring the most likely causal direction between $X$ and $Y$. In particular, we consider the general case where both $X$ and $Y$ may be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-17 Alexander Marx , Jilles Vreeken

Causal relationships form the basis for reasoning and decision-making in Artificial Intelligence systems. To exploit the large volume of textual data available today, the automatic discovery of causal relationships from text has emerged as…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Farhad Moghimifar , Afshin Rahimi , Mahsa Baktashmotlagh , Xue Li

Hawkes processes are a special class of temporal point processes which exhibit a natural notion of causality, as occurrence of events in the past may increase the probability of events in the future. Discovery of the underlying influence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Amirkasra Jalaldoust , Katerina Hlavackova-Schindler , Claudia Plant

Much of our experiments are designed to uncover the cause(s) and effect(s) behind a data generating mechanism (i.e., phenomenon) we happen to be interested in. Uncovering such relationships allows us to identify the true working of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 M. Z. Naser

Research in Cognitive Science suggests that humans understand and represent knowledge of the world through causal relationships. In addition to observations, they can rely on experimenting and counterfactual reasoning -- i.e. referring to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-24 Kanvaly Fadiga , Etienne Houzé , Ada Diaconescu , Jean-Louis Dessalles

Causal inference is a critical research topic across many domains, such as statistics, computer science, education, public policy and economics, for decades. Nowadays, estimating causal effect from observational data has become an appealing…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-10 Liuyi Yao , Zhixuan Chu , Sheng Li , Yaliang Li , Jing Gao , Aidong Zhang

We apply the principle of maximum entropy to select a unique joint probability distribution from the set of all joint probability distributions specified by a credal network. In detail, we start by showing that the unique joint distribution…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Thomas Lukasiewicz

Causal discovery and causal effect estimation are two fundamental tasks in causal inference. While many methods have been developed for each task individually, statistical challenges arise when applying these methods jointly: estimating…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-21 Paula Gradu , Tijana Zrnic , Yixin Wang , Michael I. Jordan

The paper reviews methods that seek to draw causal inference from observational data and demonstrates how they can be applied to empirical problems in engineering research. It presents a framework for causal identification based on the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-28 Daniel J Graham

We study the problem of causal discovery through targeted interventions. Starting from few observational measurements, we follow a Bayesian active learning approach to perform those experiments which, in expectation with respect to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-10 Julius von Kügelgen , Paul K Rubenstein , Bernhard Schölkopf , Adrian Weller

Real world systems evolve in continuous-time according to their underlying causal relationships, yet their dynamics are often unknown. Existing approaches to learning such dynamics typically either discretize time -- leading to poor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Nicholas Tagliapietra , Katharina Ensinger , Christoph Zimmer , Osman Mian

The network inference problem arises in biological research when one needs to quantitatively choose the best protein-interaction model for explaining a phenotype. The diverse nature of the data and nonlinear dynamics pose significant…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-22 Guy Karlebach

Cascade processes are responsible for many important phenomena in natural and social sciences. Simple models of irreversible dynamics on graphs, in which nodes activate depending on the state of their neighbors, have been successfully…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2013-09-16 Fabrizio Altarelli , Alfredo Braunstein , Luca Dall'Asta , Riccardo Zecchina

Identifying a causal model of an IT system is fundamental to many branches of systems engineering and operation. Such a model can be used to predict the effects of control actions, optimize operations, diagnose failures, detect intrusions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Kim Hammar , Rolf Stadler

Entropy estimation, due in part to its connection with mutual information, has seen considerable use in the study of time series data including causality detection and information flow. In many cases, the entropy is estimated using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-06 Alexander L Young , David B Dunson