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Dengue virus transmission models commonly assume an exponential distribution for the mosquito extrinsic incubation period (EIP), potentially oversimplifying biological variability. We developed a stochastic mechanistic dengue transmission…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-29 Léa Loisel , Sandie Arnoux , Gaël Beaunée , Pauline Ezanno

Dengue fever is increasing in geographical range, spread by invasion of its vector mosquitoes. The trade in second-hand tires has been implicated as a factor in this process as they act as mobile reservoirs of mosquito eggs and larvae.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-23 Emilene Pliego Pliego , Jorge Velázquez-Castro , Markus P. Eichhorn , Andrés Fraguela Collar

A model based on a thermodynamic approach is proposed for predicting the dynamics of communicable epidemics in a city, when the epidemic is governed by controlling efforts of multiple scales so that an entropy is associated with the system.…

Medical Physics · Physics 2013-10-01 W. B. Wang , Z. N. Wu , Z. M. Cao , R. F. Hu

This paper introduces a spatiotemporal SEIQR epidemic model governed by a system of reaction-diffusion partial differential equations that incorporates optimal control strategies. The model captures the transmission dynamics of an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Achraf Zinihi , Matthias Ehrhardt , Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi

In this work, we investigate a VS-EIAR epidemiological model that incorporates vaccinated individuals $\{V_i : i = 1, \ldots, n\}$, where $n \in \mathbb{N}^{*}$. The dynamics of the VS-EIAR model are governed by a system of ordinary…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-16 Mamadou Abdoul Diop , Mohammed Elghandouri , Khalil Ezzinbi

We model the spread of information in a homogeneously mixed population using the Maki Thompson rumor model. We formulate an optimal control problem, from the perspective of single campaigner, to maximize the spread of information when the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-06-09 Kundan Kandhway , Joy Kuri

We propose a novel framework to study viral spreading processes in metapopulation models. Large subpopulations (i.e., cities) are connected via metalinks (i.e., roads) according to a metagraph structure (i.e., the traffic infrastructure).…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-08-20 Victor M. Preciado , Michael Zargham

Living organisms exhibit remarkable adaptations across all scales, from molecules to ecosystems. We believe that many of these adaptations correspond to optimal solutions driven by evolution, training, and underlying physical and chemical…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-17 Julio R. Banga , Sebastian Sager

Mosquito-borne diseases cause significant public health burden, mostly in tropical and sub-tropical regions, and are widely emerging or re-emerging in areas where previously absent. Understanding, predicting, and mitigating the spread of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-19 Carrie A. Manore , Kyle S. Hickmann , James M. Hyman , Ivo M. Foppa , Justin K. Davis , Dawn M. Wesson , Christopher N. Mores

In this paper, we focus on a method based on optimal control to address the optimization problem. The objective is to find the optimal solution that minimizes the objective function. We transform the optimization problem into optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-12 Yeming Xu , Ziyuan Guo , Hongxia Wang , Huanshui Zhang

Maximum Causal Entropy (MCE) Inverse Optimal Control (IOC) has become an effective tool for modelling human behaviour in many control tasks. Its advantage over classic techniques for estimating human policies is the transferability of the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-07-20 Felix Schmitt , Hans-Joachim Bieg , Dietrich Manstetten , Michael Herman , Rainer Stiefelhagen

Dengue fever is a virulent disease spreading over 100 tropical and subtropical countries in Africa, the Americas, and Asia. This arboviral disease affects around 400 million people globally, severely distressing the healthcare systems. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-25 Madhurima Panja , Tanujit Chakraborty , Sk Shahid Nadim , Indrajit Ghosh , Uttam Kumar , Nan Liu

The COVID-19 pandemic has posed a policy making crisis where efforts to slow down or end the pandemic conflict with economic priorities. This paper provides mathematical analysis of optimal disease control policies with idealized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Aaron Z. Palmer , Zelda B. Zabinsky , Shan Liu

This paper presents a mathematical framework for optimizing drug delivery in cancer treatment using a nonlocal model of solid tumor growth. We present a coupled system of partial differential equations that incorporate long-range cellular…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-13 Bouhamidi Abderrahman , El Harraki Imad , Melouani Yassine

Dengue continues to pose a major global threat, infecting nearly 390 million people annually. Recognizing the pivotal role of vector competence (vc), recent research focuses on mosquito parameters to inform transmission modeling and vector…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-07 Piyumi Chathurangika , Tharushika Peiris , Lakmini S. Premadasa , S. S. N. Perera , Kushani De Silva

We analyze a class of general nonlinear epidemic models with age and space structure, including a nonlocal infection term depending on age and space. After establishing the well-posedness of the state partial differential equation, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Behzad Azmi , Nicolas Schlosser

Infectious disease remains, despite centuries of work to control and mitigate its effects, a major problem facing humanity. This paper reviews the mathematical modelling of infectious disease epidemics on networks, starting from the…

Popular Physics · Physics 2015-06-03 Thomas House

Probabilistic control design is founded on the principle that a rational agent attempts to match modelled with an arbitrary desired closed-loop system trajectory density. The framework was originally proposed as a tractable alternative to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Tom Lefebvre

We present a control model for an octopus tentacle, based on the dynamics of an inextensible string with curvature constraints and curvature controls. We derive the equations of motion together with an appropriate set of boundary…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-21 Simone Cacace , Anna Chiara Lai , Paola Loreti

It is possible to model vector-borne infection using the classical Ross-Macdonald model. This attempt, however fails in several respects. First, using measured (or estimated) parameters, the model predicts a much greater number of cases…