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The effects of demographic stochasticity in the long term behaviour of endemic infectious diseases have been considered for long as a necessary addition to an underlying deterministic theory. The latter would explain the regular behaviour…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-08-29 M. Simões , M. M. Telo da Gama , A. Nunes

We study two agent based models of opinion formation - one stochastic in nature and one deterministic. Both models are defined in terms of an underlying graph; we study how the structure of the graph affects the long time behavior of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-31 Dylan Weber , Ryan Theisen , Sebastien Motsch

A representation of heterogeneous stochastic populations that are composed of sub-populations with different levels of distinguishability is introduced together with an analysis of its properties. It is demonstrated that any instance of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-02 Jeremie Houssineau , Daniel E. Clark

A model of interacting random walkers is presented and shown to give rise to patterns consisting in periodic arrangements of fluctuating particle clusters. The model represents biological individuals that die or reproduce at rates depending…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Cristobal Lopez , Emilio Hernandez-Garcia

Stochastic reaction networks are mathematical models with a wide range of applications in biochemistry, ecology, and epidemiology, and are often complex to analyze. Except for some special cases, it is generally difficult to predict how the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Daniele Cappelletti , Giulio Cuniberti , Paola Siri

These notes describe stochastic epidemics in a homogenous community. Our main concern is stochastic compartmental models (i.e. models where each individual belongs to a compartment, which stands for its status regarding the epidemic under…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-06 Tom Britton , Etienne Pardoux

The study of density-dependent stochastic population processes is important from a historical perspective as well as from the perspective of a number of existing and emerging applications today. In more recent applications of these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-26 Yingdong Lu , Mark Squillante , Chai Wah Wu

Deterministic approximations to stochastic Susceptible-Infectious-Susceptible models typically predict a stable endemic steady-state when above threshold. This can be hard to relate to the underlying stochastic dynamics, which has no…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-12 Christopher E. Overton , Robert R. Wilkinson , Adedapo Loyinmi , Joel C. Miller , Kieran J. Sharkey

We use a stochastic metapopulation model to study the combined effects of seasonality and spatial heterogeneity on disease persistence. We find a pronounced effect of enhanced persistence associated with strong heterogeneity, intermediate…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-23 Ganna Rozhnova , Ana Nunes , Alan J. McKane

As ecologists increasingly adopt stochastic models over deterministic ones, the question arises: when is this a positive development and when is this an unnecessary complication? While deterministic models -- like the Lotka-Volterra model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-15 Evan C. Johnson , Tad Dallas , Alan Hastings

Exact generalized stochastic representation of deterministic interaction between two dynamical (quantum or classical) systems is derived which helps when considering one of them to replace another by equivalent commutative ($c$-number…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Yuriy E. Kuzovlev

Understanding under what conditions populations, whether they be plants, animals, or viral particles, persist is an issue of theoretical and practical importance in population biology. Both biotic interactions and environmental fluctuations…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-12-16 Sebastian J. Schreiber

Discrete time, spatially extended models play an important role in ecology, modelling population dynamics of species ranging from micro-organisms to birds. An important question is how 'bottom up', individual-based models can be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-20 Linnéa Gyllingberg , David J. T. Sumpter , Åke Brännström

Population dynamics are often subject to random independent changes in the environment. For the two strategy stochastic replicator dynamic, we assume that stochastic changes in the environment replace the payoffs and variance. This is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-06-11 Andrew Vlasic

We develop a stochastic parametrization, based on a `simple' deterministic model for the dynamics of steady longshore currents, that produces ensembles that are statistically consistent with field observations of these currents. Unlike…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-06 Juan M. Restrepo , Shankar C. Venkataramani

For chaotic systems there is a theory for the decay of the survival probability, and for the parametric dependence of the local density of states. This theory leads to the distinction between "perturbative" and "non-perturbative" regimes,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 Jiri Vanicek , Doron Cohen

We provide results of a deterministic approximation for non-Markovian stochastic processes modeling finite populations of individuals who recurrently play symmetric finite games and imitate each other according to payoffs. We show that a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-06-05 Ozgur Aydogmus , Yun Kang

We study a stochastic individual-based model of interacting plant and pollinator species through a bipartite graph: each species is a node of the graph, an edge representing interactions between a pair of species. The dynamics of the system…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-27 Sylvain Billiard , Hélène Leman , Thomas Rey , Viet Chi Tran

When modelling metapopulation dynamics, the influence of a single patch on the metapopulation depends on the number of individuals in the patch. Since the population size has no natural upper limit, this leads to systems in which there are…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-01 A. D. Barbour , M. J. Luczak

In this paper, we consider a stochastic ratio-dependent predator-prey model. We firstly prove the existence, uniqueness and positivity of the solutions. Then, the boundedness of moments of population are studied. Finally, we show the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-01 Nguyen Thi Hoai Linh , Ta Viet Ton
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