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We extend previous large deviations results for the randomised Heston model to the case of moderate deviations. The proofs involve the G\"artner-Ellis theorem and sharp large deviations tools.

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-06 Antoine Jacquier , Fangwei Shi

We consider Markov chains which are polynomially mixing, in a weak sense expressed in terms of the space of functions on which the mixing speed is controlled. In this context, we prove polynomial large and moderate deviations inequalities.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-22 J Dedecker , Sébastien Gouëzel , F Merlevède

A moderate deviation principle for functionals, with at most quadratic growth, of moving average processes is established. The main assumptions on the moving average process are a Logarithmic Sobolev inequality for the driving random…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Hacene Djellout , Arnaud Guillin , Liming Wu

In this paper we consider parameter estimation for discretely observed diffusion processes. In particular, we focus on data that are observed at low frequency and methodology that can estimate parameters with uncertainty quantification.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-01 Jingning Yao , Ajay Jasra , Sheng Jiang

Consider a population of individuals belonging to an infinity number of types, and assume that type proportions follow the two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet distribution. A sample of size n is selected from the population. The total number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Stefano Favaro , Shui Feng , Fuqing Gao

In this paper we establish a moderate deviation principle of the hitting times for trajectories of sums of independent and identically distributed random variables. The main idea of proof is to convert the moderate deviations over a small…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-10 Yuheng He

We analyse the convergence and stability of a micro-macro acceleration algorithm for Monte Carlo simulations of stiff stochastic differential equations with a time-scale separation between the fast evolution of the individual stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Przemysław Zieliński , Hannes Vandecasteele , Giovanni Samaey

In this paper, we establish a moderate deviations principle for the Langevin dynamics with strong damping. The weak convergence approach plays an important role in the proof.

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-05 Lingyan Cheng , Ruinan Li , Wei Liu

The moderate deviation regime is concerned with the finite block length trade-off between communication cost and error for information processing tasks in the asymptotic regime, where the communication cost approaches a capacity-like…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-10-10 Navneeth Ramakrishnan , Marco Tomamichel , Mario Berta

We consider a single-server queue where interarrival and service times depend linearly and randomly on customer waiting times, and establish a sample-path moderate deviation principle (MDP) for the waiting time process. The waiting times…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-03 Chang Feng , John J. Hasenbein , Guodong Pang

We propose algorithms for solving high-dimensional Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) that combine a probabilistic interpretation of PDEs, through Feynman-Kac representation, with sparse interpolation. Monte-Carlo methods and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-25 Marie Billaud-Friess , Arthur Macherey , Anthony Nouy , Clémentine Prieur

We establish a new Bernstein-type deviation inequality for general (non-reversible) discrete-time Markov chains via an elementary approach. More robust than existing works in the literature, our result only requires the Markov chain to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-07 De Huang , Xiangyuan Li

We consider a two-dimensional Hamiltonian system perturbed by a small diffusion term, whose coefficient is state-dependent and non-degenerate. As a result, the process consists of the fast motion along the level curves and slow motion…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Shuo Yan

In the present paper, we consider the Pearson chi-square statistic defined on a finite alphabet which is assumed to dynamically vary as the sample size increases, and establish its moderate deviation principle.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Zhenhong Yu , Yu Miao

Closed-form stochastic filtering equations can be derived in a general setting where probability distributions are replaced by some specific outer measures. In this article, we study how the principles of the sequential Monte Carlo method…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-07 Jeremie Houssineau , Branko Ristic

Time-varying stochastic optimization problems frequently arise in machine learning practice (e.g. gradual domain shift, object tracking, strategic classification). Although most problems are solved in discrete time, the underlying process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Subha Maity , Debarghya Mukherjee , Moulinath Banerjee , Yuekai Sun

This paper is focused on the moderate-deviations analysis of binary hypothesis testing. The analysis relies on a concentration inequality for discrete-parameter martingales with bounded jumps, where this inequality forms a refinement to the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Igal Sason

We establish a Cram\'er-type moderate deviation result for self-normalized sums of weakly dependent random variables, where the moment requirement is much weaker than the non-self-normalized counterpart. The range of the moderate deviation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-15 Xiaohong Chen , Qi-Man Shao , Wei Biao Wu

This study focuses on large deviation principles for fully coupled multiscale multivalued stochastic systems, in which the slow component is governed by a multivalued stochastic differential equation and the fast component is described by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-12 Huijie Qiao

A large deviation principle is derived for stochastic partial differential equations with slow-fast components. The result shows that the rate function is exactly that of the averaged equation plus the fluctuating deviation which is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-28 Wei Wang , A. J. Roberts , Jinqiao Duan