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Detecting abrupt changes in real-time data streams from scientific simulations presents a challenging task, demanding the deployment of accurate and efficient algorithms. Identifying change points in live data stream involves continuous…

This paper solves a Bayes sequential impulse control problem for a diffusion, whose drift has an unobservable parameter with a change point. The partially-observed problem is reformulated into one with full observations, via a change of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-08-19 Lokman A. Abbas-Turki , Ioannis Karatzas , Qinghua Li

An important assumption in the work on testing for structural breaks in time series consists in the fact that the model is formulated such that the stochastic process under the null hypothesis of "no change-point" is stationary. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-31 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

We present an analysis of a heuristic for abrupt change detection of systems with bounded state variations. The proposed analysis is based on the Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) of a history matrix built from system observations. We show…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-04-09 Borhan M. Sanandaji , Eilyan Bitar , Kameshwar Poolla , Tyrone L. Vincent

Detecting changepoints in datasets with many variates is a data science challenge of increasing importance. Motivated by the problem of detecting changes in the incidence of terrorism from a global terrorism database, we propose a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-30 S. O. Tickle , I. A. Eckley , P. Fearnhead

New problems arise when the standard theory of joint detection and estimation is applied to a set of signals drawn from a continuous family; decision thresholds must be determined as a function of the continuous parameter x characterizing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-17 D. Michael Milder , Robert G. Lindgren , Morris M. Berman

This paper considers a sequence of random variables generated according to a common distribution. The distribution might undergo periods of transient changes at an unknown set of time instants, referred to as change-points. The objective is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-04-26 Javad Heydari , Ali Tajer

We first consider the sequential detection of transient signals by generalizing the moving average chart to exponential family and study the false detection probability (FDP) and power of detection (POD) in the steady state. Then windowed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Yanhong Wu

In multiple change-point problems, different data segments often follow different distributions, for which the changes may occur in the mean, scale or the entire distribution from one segment to another. Without the need to know the number…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-29 Changliang Zou , Guosheng Yin , Long Feng , Zhaojun Wang

The paper addresses a joint sequential changepoint detection and identification/isolation problem for a general stochastic model, assuming that the observed data may be dependent and non-identically distributed, the prior distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-04 Alexander G. Tartakovsky

We propose a general framework of sequential testing procedures based on $U$-statistics which contains as an example a sequential CUSUM test based on differences in mean but also includes a robust sequential Wilcoxon change point procedure.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-19 Claudia Kirch , Christina Stoehr

The problem of quickest change detection (QCD) in anonymous heterogeneous sensor networks is studied. There are $n$ heterogeneous sensors and a fusion center. The sensors are clustered into $K$ groups, and different groups follow different…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-23 Zhongchang Sun , Shaofeng Zou , Ruizhi Zhang , Qunwei Li

We consider the change detection problem where the pre-change observation vectors are purely noise and the post-change observation vectors are noise-corrupted compressive measurements of sparse signals with a common support, measured using…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-01-25 Aditi Jain , Pradeep Sarvepalli , Srikrishna Bhashyam , Arun Pachai Kannu

In this paper we propose a new approach for sequential monitoring of a parameter of a $d$-dimensional time series, which can be estimated by approximately linear functionals of the empirical distribution function. We consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Holger Dette , Josua Gösmann

We study the quickest detection problem of a sudden change in the arrival rate of a Poisson process from a known value to an unknown and unobservable value at an unknown and unobservable disorder time. Our objective is to design an alarm…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-03 Erhan Bayraktar , Savas Dayanik , Ioannis Karatzas

We develop statistically based methods to detect single nucleotide DNA mutations in next generation sequencing data. Sequencing generates counts of the number of times each base was observed at hundreds of thousands to billions of genome…

Applications · Statistics 2012-10-01 Omkar Muralidharan , Georges Natsoulis , John Bell , Hanlee Ji , Nancy R. Zhang

In this paper, we discuss a class of distributed detection algorithms which can be viewed as implementations of Bayes' law in distributed settings. Some of the algorithms are proposed in the literature most recently, and others are first…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-10 Qipeng Liu , Jiuhua Zhao , Xiaofan Wang

Dynamic Bayesian predictive synthesis is a formal approach to coherently synthesizing multiple predictive distributions into a single distribution. In sequential analysis, the computation of the synthesized predictive distribution has…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-31 Riku Masuda , Kaoru Irie

In this paper, we address the problem of detecting anomalies among a given set of binary processes via learning-based controlled sensing. Each process is parameterized by a binary random variable indicating whether the process is anomalous.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Geethu Joseph , Chen Zhong , M. Cenk Gursoy , Senem Velipasalar , Pramod K. Varshney

The problem of identifying change points in high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) in an online fashion is of interest, due to new applications in biology, economics and social sciences. The offline version of the problem, where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-18 Hossein Keshavarz , George Michailidis
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