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This paper proposes probabilistic conformal prediction (PCP), a predictive inference algorithm that estimates a target variable by a discontinuous predictive set. Given inputs, PCP construct the predictive set based on random samples from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Zhendong Wang , Ruijiang Gao , Mingzhang Yin , Mingyuan Zhou , David M. Blei

Cross-validation is a standard tool for obtaining a honest assessment of the performance of a prediction model. The commonly used version repeatedly splits data, trains the prediction model on the training set, evaluates the model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-10 Tianyu Pan , Vincent Z. Yu , Viswanath Devanarayan , Lu Tian

Time delay estimation plays a critical role in control, stabilization and state estimation of many practical system with time delay. In this paper, we propose a method to estimate delay for discrete time linear multiple-input…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-08 Iman Shafikhani , Hazhar Sufi Karimi , Mohammad Mohammadian , Amin Ramezani , Hamid Reza Momeni

Context: Performance metrics are a core component of the evaluation of any machine learning model and used to compare models and estimate their usefulness. Recent work started to question the validity of many performance metrics for this…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-07-28 Steffen Tunkel , Steffen Herbold

A substantial fraction of the time that computational modellers dedicate to developing their models is actually spent trouble-shooting and debugging their code. However, how this process unfolds is seldom spoken about, maybe because it is…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Ester Comellas , Jean-Paul Pelteret , Wolfgang Bangerth

Regression testing plays a critical role in maintaining software reliability, particularly for ROS-based autonomous systems (ROSAS), which frequently undergo continuous integration and iterative development. However, conventional regression…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Yupeng Jiang , Shuaiyi Sun , Xi Zheng

Event prediction is the ability of anticipating future events, i.e., future real-world occurrences, and aims to support the user in deciding on actions that change future events towards a desired state. An event prediction method learns the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Janik-Vasily Benzin , Stefanie Rinderle-Ma

Degradation models play a critical role in quality engineering by enabling the assessment and prediction of system reliability based on data. The objective of this paper is to provide an accessible introduction to degradation models. We…

Prognostics is a process of assessing the extent of deviation or degradation of a product from its expected normal operating condition, and then, based on continuous monitoring, predicting the future reliability of the product. By being…

Materials Science · Physics 2007-09-13 N. Vchare , M. Pecht

The increasing use of model-based tools enables further use of formal verification techniques in the context of distributed real-time systems. To avoid state explosion, it is necessary to construct verification models that focus on the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Chih-Hong Cheng , Christian Buckl , Javier Esparza , Alois Knoll

We propose a computational framework to quantify (measure) and to optimize the reliability of complex systems. The approach uses a graph representation of the system that is subject to random failures of its components (nodes and edges).…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-25 Joshua L. Pulsipher , Victor M. Zavala

The use of relevant metrics of software systems could improve various software engineering tasks, but identifying relationships among metrics is not simple and can be very time consuming. Recommender systems can help with this…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-01-23 Maral Azizi , Hyunsook Do

This research investigates the use of machine learning methods to forecast students' academic performance in a school setting. Students' data with behavioral, academic, and demographic details were used in implementations with standard…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-06-11 A. G. R. Sandeepa , Sanka Mohottala

Cross-project defect prediction (CPDP) aims to use data from external projects as historical data may not be available from the same project. In CPDP, deciding on a particular historical project to build a training model can be difficult.…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Yukasa Murakami , Yuta Yamasaki , Masateru Tsunoda , Akito Monden , Amjed Tahir , Kwabena Ebo Bennin , Koji Toda , Keitaro Nakasai

Machine learning models are essential tools in various domains, but their performance can degrade over time due to changes in data distribution or other factors. On one hand, detecting and addressing such degradations is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Florian Heinrichs

Machine learning models are central to people's lives and impact society in ways as fundamental as determining how people access information. The gravity of these models imparts a responsibility to model developers to ensure that they are…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-13 Cyrus DiCiccio , Sriram Vasudevan , Kinjal Basu , Krishnaram Kenthapadi , Deepak Agarwal

Heterogeneous but complementary sources of data provide an unprecedented opportunity for developing accurate statistical models of systems. Although the existing methods have shown promising results, they are mostly applicable to situations…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-18 Feng Wang , Mostafa Reisi Gahrooei , Zhen Zhong , Tao Tang , Jianjun Shi

Regression modeling is the workhorse of statistics and there is a vast literature on estimation of the regression function. It is realized in recent years that in regression analysis the ultimate aim may be the estimation of a level set of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-27 Fang Wan , Wei Liu , Frank Bretz

In the era of big data, analysts usually explore various statistical models or machine learning methods for observed data in order to facilitate scientific discoveries or gain predictive power. Whatever data and fitting procedures are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-24 Jie Ding , Vahid Tarokh , Yuhong Yang

The workshop is devoted to model-based testing of both software and hardware. Model-based testing uses models describing the required behavior of the system under consideration to guide such efforts as test selection and test results…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2015-04-09 Nikolay Pakulin , Alexander K. Petrenko , Bernd-Holger Schlingloff