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Traffic flow forecasting has emerged as an indispensable mission for daily life, which is required to utilize the spatiotemporal relationship between each location within a time period under a graph structure to predict future flow.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Runfei Chen

This work develops a block aggregation approach to spatial estimation and prediction when the response is observed at a coarse spatial scale, for example as counts of events in administrative areas, or blocks, while covariates are available…

Accurate traffic forecasting is challenging due to the complex dependency on road networks, various types of roads, and the abrupt speed change due to the events. Recent works mainly focus on dynamic spatial modeling with adaptive graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Hyunwook Lee , Sungahn Ko

We study the tactical time slot management problem under mixed logit demand for attended home delivery in subscription settings. We propose a static mixed-integer linear programming model that integrates delivery slot assortment, price…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-15 Dorsa Abdolhamidi , Virginie Lurkin

This paper is concerned with the joint analysis of multivariate mixed-type spatial data, where some components are point processes and some are of lattice-type by nature. After a survey of statistical methods for marked spatial point and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-20 Matthias Eckardt , Jorge Mateu

Extreme environmental events frequently exhibit spatial and temporal dependence. These data are often modeled using max stable processes (MSPs). MSPs are computationally prohibitive to fit for as few as a dozen observations, with supposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-02 Emily C. Hector , Brian J. Reich

We propose a spatio-temporal data-fusion framework for point data and gridded data with variables observed on different spatial supports. A latent Gaussian field with a Mat\'ern-SPDE prior provides a continuous space representation, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-19 Weiyue Zheng , Andrew Elliott , Claire Miller , Marian Scott

We propose a constructive approach to building temporal point processes that incorporate dependence on their history. The dependence is modeled through the conditional density of the duration, i.e., the interval between successive event…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Xiaotian Zheng , Athanasios Kottas , Bruno Sansó

Traffic flow prediction is a big challenge for transportation authorities as it helps plan and develop better infrastructure. State-of-the-art models often struggle to consider the data in the best way possible, as well as intrinsic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Mayur Patil , Qadeer Ahmed , Shawn Midlam-Mohler

Pavement rutting poses a significant challenge in flexible pavements, necessitating costly asphalt resurfacing. To address this issue comprehensively, we propose an advanced Bayesian hierarchical framework of latent Gaussian models with…

Understanding how ambulance incidents are spatially distributed can shed light to the epidemiological dynamics of geographic areas and inform healthcare policy design. Here we analyze a longitudinal dataset of more than four million…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-28 Anastasios Noulas , Colin Moffatt , Desislava Hristova , Bruno Gonçalves

Spatiotemporal data mining (STDM) has a wide range of applications in various complex physical systems (CPS), i.e., transportation, manufacturing, healthcare, etc. Among all the proposed methods, the Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Junfeng Wu , Hadjer Benmeziane , Kaoutar El Maghraoui , Liu Liu , Yinan Wang

In this study, we introduce a novel and comprehensive extension of a Bayesian spatio-temporal disease mapping model that explicitly accounts for gender-specific effects of meteorological exposures. Leveraging fine-scale weekly mortality and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-18 Corinna Perchtold , Julia Eisenberg , Philipp Otto

A Bayesian approach is developed to analyze change points in multivariate time series and space-time data. The methodology is used to assess the impact of extended inundation on the ecosystem of the Gulf Plains bioregion in northern…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-21 Chris Strickland , Robert Burdett , Robert Denham , Robert Kohn , Kerrie Mengersen

The estimation of travel time distribution (TTD) is critical for reliable route guidance and provides theoretical bases and technical support for advanced traffic management and control. The state-of-the art procedure for estimating…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-11 Adam Samara , Felix Rempe , Simone Göttlich

The optimisation in the ambulance dispatching process is significant for patients who need early treatments. However, the problem of dynamic ambulance redeployment for destination hospital selection has rarely been investigated. The paper…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-01-07 Xinyu Fu , Valeria Krzhizhanovskaya , Alexey Yakovlev , Sergey Kovalchuk

We present a fully Bayesian statistical approach to the problem of compartmental modelling in the context of Positron Emission Tomography. We cluster homogeneous region of interest and perform kinetic parameter estimation simultaneously. A…

Predicting when and where events will occur in cities, like taxi pick-ups, crimes, and vehicle collisions, is a challenging and important problem with many applications in fields such as urban planning, transportation optimization and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-24 Maya Okawa , Tomoharu Iwata , Takeshi Kurashima , Yusuke Tanaka , Hiroyuki Toda , Naonori Ueda

In public health applications, spatial data collected are often recorded at different spatial scales and over different correlated variables. Spatial change of support is a key inferential problem in these applications and have become…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Shijie Zhou , Jonathan R. Bradley

Accurate modelling of the joint extremal dependence structure within a stationary time series is a challenging problem that is important in many applications.\ Several previous approaches to this problem are only applicable to certain types…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-09 Graeme Auld , Ioannis Papastathopoulos
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