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Accurate forecasting of zero coupon bond yields for a continuum of maturities is paramount to bond portfolio management and derivative security pricing. Yet a universal model for yield curve forecasting has been elusive, and prior attempts…

Applications · Statistics 2012-09-28 Spencer Hays , Haipeng Shen , Jianhua Z. Huang

The class of affine LIBOR models is appealing since it satisfies three central requirements of interest rate modeling. It is arbitrage-free, interest rates are nonnegative and caplet and swaption prices can be calculated analytically. In…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-04 Stefan Waldenberger , Wolfgang Müller

Conditions of Stability for explicit finite difference scheme and some results of numerical analysis for a unified 2 factor model of structural and reduced form types for corporate bonds with fixed discrete coupon are provided. It seems to…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-28 Hyong-Chol O. , Jong-Chol Kim , Il-Gwang Jon

Balancing the model complexity and the representation capability towards the process to be captured remains one of the main challenges in nonlinear system identification. One possibility to reduce model complexity is to impose structure on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-13 Maarten Schoukens , Roland Toth

Fitting models to data using Bayesian inference is quite common, but when each point in parameter space gives a curve, fitting the curve to a data set requires new nuisance parameters, which specify the metric embedding the one-dimensional…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-02-23 Andrew W. Steiner

The modal factor model represents a new factor model for dimension reduction in high dimensional panel data. Unlike the approximate factor model that targets for the mean factors, it captures factors that influence the conditional mode of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-01 Zhe Sun , Yundong Tu

We study the pricing of European-style options written on forward contracts within function-valued infinite-dimensional affine stochastic volatility models. The dynamics of the underlying forward price curves are modeled within the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-14 Jian He , Sven Karbach , Asma Khedher

Decision trees with binary splits are popularly constructed using Classification and Regression Trees (CART) methodology. For binary classification and regression models, this approach recursively divides the data into two near-homogenous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-17 Jason M. Klusowski

We propose a hybrid approach for the modelling and the short-term forecasting of electricity loads. Two building blocks of our approach are (i) modelling the overall trend and seasonality by fitting a generalised additive model to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-29 Haeran Cho , Yannig Goude , Xavier Brossat , Qiwei Yao

The purpose of these notes is to provide a systematic quantitative framework - in what is intended to be a "pedagogical" fashion - for discussing mean-reversion and optimization. We start with pair trading and add complexity by following…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-15 Zura Kakushadze

Applying historical data from the USD LIBOR transition period, we estimate a joint model for SOFR, Fed Funds, and Eurodollar futures rates as well as spot USD LIBOR and term repo rates. The framework endogenously models basis spreads…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-18 David Skovmand , Jacob Bjerre Skov

We develop a model for the dynamic evolution of default-free and defaultable interest rates in a LIBOR framework. Utilizing the class of affine processes, this model produces positive LIBOR rates and spreads, while the dynamics are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-15 Zorana Grbac , Antonis Papapantoleon

The impact of trades on asset prices is a crucial aspect of market dynamics for academics, regulators and practitioners alike. Recently, universal and highly nonlinear master curves were observed for price impacts aggregated on all…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-17 Felix Patzelt , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

The loop equation for the complex one-matrix model with a multi-cut structure is derived and solved in the planar limit. An iterative scheme for higher genus contributions to the free energy and the multi-loop correlators is presented for…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2007-05-23 Gernot Akemann

We consider a stochastic factor financial model where the asset price process and the process for the stochastic factor depend on an observable Markov chain and exhibit an affine structure. We are faced with a finite time investment horizon…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-21 Marcos Escobar , Daniela Neykova , Rudi Zagst

We consider a two-asset non-linear model of option pricing in an environment where the correlation is not known precisely, but varies between two known values. First we discuss the non-negativity of the solution of the equation. Next, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-09-11 Miglena N. Koleva , Lubin G. Vulkov

The Nelson-Siegel framework is employed to model the term structure of commodity futures prices. Exploiting the information embedded in the level, slope and curvature parameters, we develop novel investment strategies that assume short-term…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-02 Robert J Bianchi , John Hua Fan , Joelle Miffre , Tingxi Zhang

We propose a two-stage hybrid approach with neural networks as the new feature construction algorithms for bankcard response classifications. The hybrid model uses a very simple neural network structure as the new feature construction tool…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-07 Yan Wang , Xuelei Sherry Ni , Brian Stone

Due to the lack of reliable market information, building financial term-structures may be associated with a significant degree of uncertainty. In this paper, we propose a new term-structure interpolation method that extends classical spline…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-11 Areski Cousin , Hassan Maatouk , Didier Rullière

Free-form structural forms are widely used to design spatial structures for their irregular spatial morphology. Current free-form form-finding methods cannot adequately meet the material properties, structural requirements or construction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Yiping Meng , Yiming Sun