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We analyze the practices of reservoir computing in the framework of statistical learning theory. In particular, we derive finite sample upper bounds for the generalization error committed by specific families of reservoir computing systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Lukas Gonon , Lyudmila Grigoryeva , Juan-Pablo Ortega

This work examines risk bounds for nonparametric distributional regression estimators. For convex-constrained distributional regression, general upper bounds are established for the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) and the…

We study the convex hulls of reachable sets of nonlinear systems with bounded disturbances and uncertain initial conditions. Reachable sets play a critical role in control, but remain notoriously challenging to compute, and existing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Thomas Lew , Riccardo Bonalli , Marco Pavone

Efficient methods to provide sub-optimal solutions to non-convex optimization problems with knowledge of the solution's sub-optimality would facilitate the widespread application of nonlinear optimal control algorithms. To that end,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-10 Prithvi Akella , Aaron D. Ames

We develop a collection of methods for adjusting the predictions of quantile regression to ensure coverage. Our methods are model agnostic and can be used to correct for high-dimensional overfitting bias with only minimal assumptions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-10 Isaac Gibbs , John J. Cherian , Emmanuel J. Candès

High-frequency wave propagation is often modelled by nonlinear Friedrichs systems where both the differential equation and the initial data contain the inverse of a small parameter $\varepsilon$, which causes oscillations with wavelengths…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-02-21 Julian Baumstark , Tobias Jahnke

This paper studies convergence properties of multivariate distributions constructed by endowing empirical margins with a copula. This setting includes Latin Hypercube Sampling with dependence, also known as the Iman--Conover method. The…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-13 Georg Mainik

In this paper, we study the information-theoretic limits of community detection in the symmetric two-community stochastic block model, with intra-community and inter-community edge probabilities $\frac{a}{n}$ and $\frac{b}{n}$ respectively.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-04-05 Jonathan Scarlett , Volkan Cevher

This paper presents an achievability bound that evaluates the exact probability of error of an ensemble of random codes that are decoded by a minimum distance decoder. Compared to the state-of-the-art which demands exponential computation…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-17 Ioannis Papoutsidakis , Angela Doufexi , Robert J. Piechocki

We consider best approximation problems in a nonlinear subset $\mathcal{M}$ of a Banach space of functions $(\mathcal{V},\|\bullet\|)$. The norm is assumed to be a generalization of the $L^2$-norm for which only a weighted Monte Carlo…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-13 Martin Eigel , Reinhold Schneider , Philipp Trunschke

This note extends the results of classical parametric statistics like Fisher and Wilks theorem to modern setups with a high or infinite parameter dimension, limited sample size, and possible model misspecification. We consider a special…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Vladimir Spokoiny

The paper offers a novel unified approach to studying the accuracy of parameter estimation by the quasi likelihood method. Important features of the approach are: (1) The underlying model {is not assumed to be parametric}. (2) No conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-11 V. Spokoiny

In the maximum coverage problem, we are given subsets $T_1, \ldots, T_m$ of a universe $[n]$ along with an integer $k$ and the objective is to find a subset $S \subseteq [m]$ of size $k$ that maximizes $C(S) := \Big|\bigcup_{i \in S}…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Siddharth Barman , Omar Fawzi , Paul Fermé

This paper studies the performance of block coding on an additive white Gaussian noise channel under different power limitations at the transmitter. Lower bounds are presented for the minimum error probability of codes satisfying maximal…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Gonzalo Vazquez-Vilar

An important problem in statistics is the construction of confidence regions for unknown parameters. In most cases, asymptotic distribution theory is used to construct confidence regions, so any coverage probability claims only hold…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Ryan Martin

We present a new framework to address the non-convex robust hypothesis testing problem, wherein the goal is to seek the optimal detector that minimizes the maximum of worst-case type-I and type-II risk functions. The distributional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-25 Jie Wang , Rui Gao , Yao Xie

The approximate Bernstein polynomial model, a mixture of beta distributions, is applied to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of the regression coefficients, and the baseline density and survival functions in an accelerated failure time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Zhong Guan

This paper studies distributionally robust optimization for a rich class of risk measures with ambiguity sets defined by $\phi$-divergences. The risk measures are allowed to be non-linear in probabilities, are represented by Choquet…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Guanyu Jin , Roger J. A. Laeven , Dick den Hertog

Recently, there has been significant progress in understanding reinforcement learning in discounted infinite-horizon Markov decision processes (MDPs) by deriving tight sample complexity bounds. However, in many real-world applications, an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-12 Christoph Dann , Emma Brunskill

This study develops a framework for testing hypotheses on structural parameters in incomplete models. Such models make set-valued predictions and hence do not generally yield a unique likelihood function. The model structure, however,…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-03 Hiroaki Kaido , Yi Zhang
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