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The goal of these lectures is to review some mathematical aspects of random tree models used in evolutionary biology to model gene trees or species trees. We start with stochastic models of tree shapes (finite trees without edge lengths),…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Amaury Lambert

We describe a simple model of evolution which incorporates the branching and extinction of species lines, and also includes abiotic influences. A first principles approach is taken in which the probability for speciation and extinction are…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 D. A. Head , G. J. Rodgers

We consider a class of linear programs on graphs with total variation regularization and a budgetary constraint. For these programs, we give a characterization of basic solutions in terms of rooted spanning forests with orientation on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Dominic Yang

We study optimal two-sector (vegetative and reproductive) allocation models of annual plants in temporally variable environments, that incorporate effects of density dependent lifetime variability and juvenile mortality in a fitness…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-24 Sergiy Koshkin , Zachary Zalles , Michael F. Tobin , Nicolas Toumbacaris , Cameron Spiess

Within machine learning, the supervised learning field aims at modeling the input-output relationship of a system, from past observations of its behavior. Decision trees characterize the input-output relationship through a series of nested…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-20 Arnaud Joly

Decision trees are popular in survival analysis for their interpretability and ability to model complex relationships. Survival trees, which predict the timing of singular events using censored historical data, are typically built through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-24 Antonio Consolo , Edoardo Amaldi , Emilio Carrizosa

The incorporation of trees on farms can help to improve livelihoods and build resilience among small-holder farmers in developing countries. On-farm trees can help gen- erate additional income from commercial tree harvest as well as…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-04-28 Xiou Ge , Sarah E. Brown , Pushpendra Rana , Lav R. Varshney , Daniel C. Miller

We investigate a neutral model for speciation and extinction, the constant rate birth-death process. The process is conditioned to have $n$ extant species today, we look at the tree distribution of the reconstructed trees-- i.e. the trees…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-03-04 Tanja Gernhard

Many real-world problems require making sequences of decisions where the outcomes of each decision are probabilistic and uncertain, and the availability of different actions is constrained by the outcomes of previous actions. There is a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-28 Berk Ozturk , She'ifa Punla-Green , Les Servi

The prevailing mindset is that a single decision tree underperforms classic random forests in testing accuracy, despite its advantages in interpretability and lightweight structure. This study challenges such a mindset by significantly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Qiangqiang Mao , Yankai Cao

Facing the drastic climate changes, current strategies for enhancing carbon dioxide stocks need to be thoroughly honed. To address the problem, we first built a carbon sequestration growth model driven by growth rate dependency (GRDM). We…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-08 Shuyang Bian , Yuanyuan Xie , Flora Zhang

Binary trees are fundamental objects in models of evolutionary biology and population genetics. Here, we discuss some of their combinatorial and structural properties as they depend on the tree class considered. Furthermore, the process by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-30 Thomas Wiehe

We study evolution equations governed by an averaging operator on a directed tree, showing existence and uniqueness of solutions. In addition we find conditions of the initial condition that allows us to find the asymptotic decay rate of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Leandro M. Del Pezzo , Carolina A. Mosquera , Julio D. Rossi

A random forest prediction can be computed by the scalar product of the labels of the training examples and a set of weights that are determined by the leafs of the forest into which the test object falls; each prediction can hence be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Henrik Boström

We propose a continuous model for evolutionary rate variation across sites and over the tree and derive exact transition probabilities under this model. Changes in rate are modelled using the CIR process, a diffusion widely used in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Thomas Lepage , Stephan Lawi , Paul Tupper , David Bryant

Simple stochastic models for phylogenetic trees on species have been well studied. But much paleontology data concerns time series or trees on higher-order taxa, and any broad picture of relationships between extant groups requires use of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-08-28 David Aldous , Maxim Krikun , Lea Popovic

Tree-based methods are popular nonparametric tools in studying time-to-event outcomes. In this article, we introduce a novel framework for survival trees and ensembles, where the trees partition the dynamic survivor population and can…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-14 Yifei Sun , Sy Han Chiou , Mei-Cheng Wang

The paper introduces a PDE model for the growth of a tree stem or a vine. The equations describe the elongation due to cell growth, and the response to gravity and to external obstacles. An additional term accounts for the tendency of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Alberto Bressan , Michele Palladino , Wen Shen

Sparse structures are frequently sought when pursuing tractability in optimization problems. They are exploited from both theoretical and computational perspectives to handle complex problems that become manageable when sparsity is present.…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2019-03-21 Yuri Faenza , Gonzalo Muñoz , Sebastian Pokutta

Empirical observations suggest that in pure even-aged forests, the mean diameter of forest trees (D, diameter at breast height, 1.3 m above ground) tends to remain a constant proportion of stand height (H, average height of the largest…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2009-08-23 Jerome K Vanclay