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Inferring the sequence of states from observations is one of the most fundamental problems in Hidden Markov Models. In statistical physics language, this problem is equivalent to computing the marginals of a one-dimensional model with a…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-13 Antoine Sinton

Bistable autonomous systems can be found inmany areas of science. When the intrinsic noise intensity is large, these systems exhibits stochastic transitions from onemetastable steady state to another. In electronic bistable memories, these…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-14 Léopold Van Brandt , Jean-Charles Delvenne

This paper is concerned with a stochastic linear-quadratic optimal control problem with regime switching, random coefficients, and cone control constraint. The randomness of the coefficients comes from two aspects: the Brownian motion and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-07 Ying Hu , Xiaomin Shi , Zuo Quan Xu

This paper deals with the problem of asymptotically optimal detection of changes in regime-switching stochastic models. We need to divide the whole obtained sample of data into several sub-samples with observations belonging to different…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-25 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

We find the variance-optimal equivalent martingale measure when multivariate assets are modeled by a regime-switching geometric Brownian motion, and the regimes are represented by a homogeneous continuous time Markov chain. Under this new…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-14 Bruno Remillard , Sylvain Rubenthaler

Stochastic simulation is a widely used method for estimating quantities in models of chemical reaction networks where uncertainty plays a crucial role. However, reducing the statistical uncertainty of the corresponding estimators requires…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-13 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Verena Wolf

A comparison theorem for state-dependent regime-switching diffusion processes is established, which enables us to control pathwisely the evolution of the state-dependent switching component simply by Markov chains. Moreover, a sharp…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Jinghai Shao

Coarse-graining techniques play a central role in reducing the complexity of stochastic models, and are typically characterised by a mapping which projects the full state of the system onto a smaller set of variables which captures the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-28 Bastian Hilder , Upanshu Sharma

In this paper, we study state-feedback control of Markov jump linear systems with partial information. In particular, we assume that the controller can only access the mode signals according to a hidden-Markov observation process. Our…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-19 Masaki Ogura , Ahmet Cetinkaya , Tomohisa Hayakawa , Victor M. Preciado

Many applications in networked control require intermittent access of a controller to a system, as in event-triggered systems or information constrained control applications. Motivated by such applications and extending previous work on…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-30 Ramiro Zurkowski , Serdar Yüksel , Tamás Linder

We study the performance of a stochastic algorithm based on the power method that adaptively learns the large deviation functions characterizing the fluctuations of additive functionals of Markov processes, used in physics to model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-30 Francesco Coghi , Hugo Touchette

The Transmission Control Protocol (TCP) is a Transport Protocol used in the Internet. Ott has introduced a more general class of candidate Transport Protocols called "protocols in the TCP Paradigm". The long run objective of studying this…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Teunis J. Ott , Jason Swanson

A non trivial problem that arises in several applications is the estimation of the mean of a truncated normal distribution. In this paper, an iterative deterministic scheme for approximating this mean is proposed. It has been inspired from…

Reversibility is a key property of Markov chains, central to algorithms such as Metropolis-Hastings and other MCMC methods. Yet many applications yield non-reversible chains, motivating the problem of approximating them by reversible ones…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Stefano Cipolla , Fabio Durastante , Miryam Gnazzo , Beatrice Meini

Over the past few decades, the Hawkes process has become a popular framework for modeling temporal events thanks to its flexibility to capture different dependency structures. The objective of this work is to model call sequences emitted by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Anna Bonnet , Stéphane Robin

In this paper, we consider the mean field optimal switching problem with a Markov chain under viscosity solution notion. Based on the conditional distribution of the Markov chain, the value function and corresponding dynamic programming…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-15 Tian Chen , Guanxu Li , Zhen Wu

In this paper, we study the dynamics of a linear control system with given state feedback control law in the presence of fast periodic sampling at temporal frequency $1/\delta$ ($0 < \delta \ll 1$), together with small white noise…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-15 Shivam Dhama , Chetan D. Pahlajani

Adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, which automatically tune their parameters based on past samples, have proved extremely useful in practice. The self-tuning mechanism makes them `non-Markovian', which means that their…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-28 Pietari Laitinen , Matti Vihola

The paper is devoted to the approximate consensus problem for networks of nonlinear agents with switching topology, noisy and delayed measurements. In contrast to the existing stochastic approximation-based control algorithms (protocols), a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-06-17 Natalia Amelina , Alexander Fradkov , Yuming Jiang , Dimitrios J. Vergados

Switched systems are capable of modeling processes with underlying dynamics that may change abruptly over time. To achieve accurate modeling in practice, one may need a large number of modes, but this may in turn increase the model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-24 Zhe Du , Laura Balzano , Necmiye Ozay
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