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Probabilistic modeling is cyclical: we specify a model, infer its posterior, and evaluate its performance. Evaluation drives the cycle, as we revise our model based on how it performs. This requires a metric. Traditionally, predictive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-25 Alp Kucukelbir , David M. Blei

Robust planning in interactive scenarios requires predicting the uncertain future to make risk-aware decisions. Unfortunately, due to long-tail safety-critical events, the risk is often under-estimated by finite-sampling approximations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-13 Haruki Nishimura , Jean Mercat , Blake Wulfe , Rowan McAllister , Adrien Gaidon

Modeling generalized robot control policies poses ongoing challenges for language-guided robot manipulation tasks. Existing methods often struggle to efficiently utilize cross-dataset resources or rely on resource-intensive vision-language…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Wenhui Tan , Bei Liu , Junbo Zhang , Ruihua Song , Jianlong Fu

Adaptive sampling and planning in robotic environmental monitoring are challenging when the target environmental process varies over space and time. The underlying environmental dynamics require the planning module to integrate future…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-06-19 Weizhe Chen , Lantao Liu

We explore the probabilistic foundations of shared control in complex dynamic environments. In order to do this, we formulate shared control as a random process and describe the joint distribution that governs its behavior. For…

Robotics · Computer Science 2015-08-10 Pete Trautman

Recent advances in diffusion models have demonstrated their strong capabilities in generating high-fidelity samples from complex distributions through an iterative refinement process. Despite the empirical success of diffusion models in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Chaoyi Pan , Zeji Yi , Guanya Shi , Guannan Qu

To learn directed behaviors in complex environments, intelligent agents need to optimize objective functions. Various objectives are known for designing artificial agents, including task rewards and intrinsic motivation. However, it is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Danijar Hafner , Pedro A. Ortega , Jimmy Ba , Thomas Parr , Karl Friston , Nicolas Heess

In many robotic applications, an autonomous agent must act within and explore a partially observed environment that is unobserved by its human teammate. We consider such a setting in which the agent can, while acting, transmit declarative…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-10-01 Rohan Chitnis , Leslie Pack Kaelbling , Tomás Lozano-Pérez

Simulation-based inference (SBI) provides a powerful framework for inferring posterior distributions of stochastic simulators in a wide range of domains. In many settings, however, the posterior distribution is not the end goal itself --…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Mila Gorecki , Jakob H. Macke , Michael Deistler

Decision-making problems of sequential nature, where decisions made in the past may have an impact on the future, are used to model many practically important applications. In some real-world applications, feedback about a decision is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Ronald C. van den Broek , Rik Litjens , Tobias Sagis , Luc Siecker , Nina Verbeeke , Pratik Gajane

Human motion is stochastic and ensuring safe robot navigation in a pedestrian-rich environment requires proactive decision-making. Past research relied on incorporating deterministic future states of surrounding pedestrians which can be…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Anshul Nayak , Azim Eskandarian

In this paper, we study the problem of procedure planning in instructional videos, which aims to make a plan (i.e. a sequence of actions) given the current visual observation and the desired goal. Previous works cast this as a sequence…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Hanlin Wang , Yilu Wu , Sheng Guo , Limin Wang

Integrated task and motion planning has emerged as a challenging problem in sequential decision making, where a robot needs to compute high-level strategy and low-level motion plans for solving complex tasks. While high-level strategies…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-02-19 Siddharth Srivastava , Nishant Desai , Richard Freedman , Shlomo Zilberstein

Driving on the limits of vehicle dynamics requires predictive planning of future vehicle states. In this work, a search-based motion planning is used to generate suitable reference trajectories of dynamic vehicle states with the goal to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-07-19 Zlatan Ajanovic , Enrico Regolin , Georg Stettinger , Martin Horn , Antonella Ferrara

Predictive business process monitoring aims at providing predictions about running instances by analyzing logs of completed cases in a business process. Recently, a lot of research focuses on increasing productivity and efficiency in a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-23 Gyunam Park , Minseok Song

In this paper we are concerned with multiscale modeling, control, and simulation of self-organizing agents leaving an unknown area under limited visibility, with special emphasis on crowds. We first introduce a new microscopic model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-04 Giacomo Albi , Mattia Bongini , Emiliano Cristiani , Dante Kalise

In shared autonomy, user input and robot autonomy are combined to control a robot to achieve a goal. Often, the robot does not know a priori which goal the user wants to achieve, and must both predict the user's intended goal, and assist in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2015-04-21 Shervin Javdani , Siddhartha S. Srinivasa , J. Andrew Bagnell

We propose Distributionally Balanced Designs (DBD), a new class of probability sampling designs that target representativeness at the level of the full auxiliary distribution rather than selected moments. In disciplines such as ecology,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Anton Grafström , Wilmer Prentius

Offline Reinforcement learning is commonly used for sequential decision-making in domains such as healthcare and education, where the rewards are known and the transition dynamics $T$ must be estimated on the basis of batch data. A key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-10 Leo Benac , Sonali Parbhoo , Finale Doshi-Velez

Bayesian Optimisation has gained much popularity lately, as a global optimisation technique for functions that are expensive to evaluate or unknown a priori. While classical BO focuses on where to gather an observation next, it does not…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-03-14 Philippe Morere , Roman Marchant , Fabio Ramos