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In 1985, for detecting a change in distribution, Pollak introduced a specific minimax performance metric and a randomized version of the Shiryaev-Roberts procedure where the zero initial condition is replaced by a random variable sampled…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

Consider a large number of detectors each generating a data stream. The task is to detect online, distribution changes in a small fraction of the data streams. Previous approaches to this problem include the use of mixture likelihood ratios…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Hock Peng Chan

In the sequential change-point detection literature, most research specifies a required frequency of false alarms at a given pre-change distribution $f_{\theta}$ and tries to minimize the detection delay for every possible post-change…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Yajun Mei

Quickest change point detection is concerned with the detection of statistical change(s) in sequences while minimizing the detection delay subject to false alarm constraints. In this paper, the problem of change point detection is studied…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-19 George Atia

We consider the quickest change detection problem where both the parameters of pre- and post- change distributions are unknown, which prevents the use of classical simple hypothesis testing. Without additional assumptions, optimal solutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Firas Jarboui , Viannet Perchet

We propose a probabilistic formulation that enables sequential detection of multiple change points in a network setting. We present a class of sequential detection rules for certain functionals of change points (minimum among a subset), and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-09 Arash Ali Amini , XuanLong Nguyen

The sequential multiple testing problem is considered under two generalized error metrics. Under the first one, the probability of at least $k$ mistakes, of any kind, is controlled. Under the second, the probabilities of at least $k_1$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-18 Yanglei Song , Georgios Fellouris

Sequential change diagnosis is the joint problem of detection and identification of a sudden and unobservable change in the distribution of a random sequence. In this problem, the common probability law of a sequence of i.i.d. random…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-29 Savas Dayanik , Christian Goulding , H. Vincent Poor

A random sequence having two segments being the homogeneous Markov processes is registered. Each segment has his own transition probability law and the length of the segment is unknown and random. The transition probabilities of each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-17 A. Ochman-Gozdek , W. Sarnowski , K. J. Szajowski

This paper considers the constrained sampling multi-stream quickest change detection problem, also known as the bandit quickest change detection problem. One stream contains a change-point that shifts its mean by an unknown amount. The goal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-30 Joshua Kartzman , Calvin Hawkins , Matthew Hale

The paper addresses a sequential changepoint detection problem for a general stochastic model, assuming that the observed data may be non-i.i.d. (i.e., dependent and non-identically distributed) and the prior distribution of the change…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-25 Alexander G. Tartakovsky

The paper addresses a sequential changepoint detection problem, assuming that the duration of change may be finite and unknown. This problem is of importance for many applications, e.g., for signal and image processing where signals appear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Alexander G. Tartakovsky , Nikita R. Berenkov , Alexei E. Kolessa , Igor V. Nikiforov

A weighted Shiryaev-Roberts change detection procedure is shown to approximately minimize the expected delay to detection as well as higher moments of the detection delay among all change-point detection procedures with the given low…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Serguei Pergamenchtchikov , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

This paper considers the problem of joint change detection and identification assuming multiple composite postchange hypotheses. We propose a multihypothesis changepoint detection-identification procedure that controls the probabilities of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-12 Serguei Pergamenchtchikov , Alexander Tartakovsky , Valentin Spivak

We consider a unified framework of sequential change-point detection and hypothesis testing modeled by means of hidden Markov chains. One observes a sequence of random variables whose distributions are functionals of a hidden Markov chain.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-13 Savas Dayanik , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We consider a sequential Bayesian changepoint detection problem for a general stochastic model, assuming that the observed data may be dependent and non-identically distributed and the prior distribution of the change point is arbitrary,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-15 Alexander G. Tartakovsky

In this paper we give a solution to the quickest drift change detection problem for a multivariate L\'evy process consisting of both continuous (Gaussian) and jump components in the Bayesian approach. We do it for a general 0-modified…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-22 Michał Krawiec , Zbigniew Palmowski

The problem of sequential change diagnosis is considered, where a sequence of independent random elements is accessed sequentially, there is an abrupt change in its distribution at some unknown time, and there are two main operational…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Austin Warner , Georgios Fellouris

We consider the problem of efficient on-line anomaly detection in computer network traffic. The problem is approached statistically, as that of sequential (quickest) changepoint detection. A multi-cyclic setting of quickest change detection…

Applications · Statistics 2013-07-23 Alexander G. Tartakovsky , Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Grigory Sokolov

The problem of sequential anomaly detection is considered, where multiple data sources are monitored in real time and the goal is to identify the "anomalous" ones among them, when it is not possible to sample all sources at all times. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-23 Aristomenis Tsopelakos , Georgios Fellouris