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A learning procedure takes as input a dataset and performs inference for the parameters $\theta$ of a model that is assumed to have given rise to the dataset. Here we consider learning procedures whose output is a probability distribution,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-17 Jon Cockayne , Matthew M. Graham , Chris J. Oates , T. J. Sullivan , Onur Teymur

Calibrating neural networks is of utmost importance when employing them in safety-critical applications where the downstream decision making depends on the predicted probabilities. Measuring calibration error amounts to comparing two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-30 Kartik Gupta , Amir Rahimi , Thalaiyasingam Ajanthan , Thomas Mensink , Cristian Sminchisescu , Richard Hartley

Given only positive examples and unlabeled examples (from both positive and negative classes), we might hope nevertheless to estimate an accurate positive-versus-negative classifier. Formally, this task is broken down into two subtasks: (i)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Saurabh Garg , Yifan Wu , Alex Smola , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Zachary C. Lipton

Classification with a large number of classes is a key problem in machine learning and corresponds to many real-world applications like tagging of images or textual documents in social networks. If one-vs-all methods usually reach top…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Thomas Gerald , Aurélia Léon , Nicolas Baskiotis , Ludovic Denoyer

This paper deals with the binary classification task when the target class has the lower probability of occurrence. In such situation, it is not possible to build a powerful classifier by using standard methods such as logistic regression,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-26 Cheikh Ndour , Aliou Diop , Simplice Dossou-Gbété

A key challenge in probabilistic regression is ensuring that predictive distributions accurately reflect true empirical uncertainty. Minimizing overall prediction error often encourages models to prioritize informativeness over calibration,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-17 Ádám Jung , Domokos M. Kelen , András A. Benczúr

After data selection, pre-processing, transformation, and feature extraction, knowledge extraction is not the final step in a data mining process. It is then necessary to understand this knowledge in order to apply it efficiently and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-23 Dominik Fisch , Christian Gruhl , Edgar Kalkowski , Bernhard Sick , Seppo J. Ovaska

Calibrated probability outputs of trained classifiers are increasingly used as inputs to downstream regression estimands such as effects, prevalences, or disparities for a latent group observed only on a small labelled subset. A standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Marcell T. Kurbucz

Interpretability is highly desired for deep neural network-based classifiers, especially when addressing high-stake decisions in medical imaging. Commonly used post-hoc interpretability methods have the limitation that they can produce…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-04 Sourya Sengupta , Mark A. Anastasio

Computer models are used to model complex processes in various disciplines. Often, a key source of uncertainty in the behavior of complex computer models is uncertainty due to unknown model input parameters. Statistical computer model…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-02 Won Chang , Murali Haran , Roman Olson , Klaus Keller

We propose a meta-learning method for positive and unlabeled (PU) classification, which improves the performance of binary classifiers obtained from only PU data in unseen target tasks. PU learning is an important problem since PU data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Atsutoshi Kumagai , Tomoharu Iwata , Yasuhiro Fujiwara

The histogram method is a powerful non-parametric approach for estimating the probability density function of a continuous variable. But the construction of a histogram, compared to the parametric approaches, demands a large number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-29 Hideaki Kim , Hiroshi Sawada

We propose causal isotonic calibration, a novel nonparametric method for calibrating predictors of heterogeneous treatment effects. Furthermore, we introduce cross-calibration, a data-efficient variant of calibration that eliminates the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-07 Lars van der Laan , Ernesto Ulloa-Pérez , Marco Carone , Alex Luedtke

The paper studies binary classification and aims at estimating the underlying regression function which is the conditional expectation of the class labels given the inputs. The regression function is the key component of the Bayes optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-26 Balázs Csanád Csáji , Ambrus Tamás

Excellent ranking power along with well calibrated probability estimates are needed in many classification tasks. In this paper, we introduce a technique, Calibrated Boosting-Forest that captures both. This novel technique is an ensemble of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Haozhen Wu

Calibrated probabilistic classifiers are models whose predicted probabilities can directly be interpreted as uncertainty estimates. It has been shown recently that deep neural networks are poorly calibrated and tend to output overconfident…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-17 Teodora Popordanoska , Raphael Sayer , Matthew B. Blaschko

Image segmentation algorithms can be understood as a collection of pixel classifiers, for which the outcomes of nearby pixels are correlated. Classifier models can be calibrated using Inductive Conformal Prediction, but this requires…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Joren Brunekreef , Eric Marcus , Ray Sheombarsing , Jan-Jakob Sonke , Jonas Teuwen

Machine learning models deployed in real-world applications are often evaluated with precision-based metrics such as F1-score or AUC-PR (Area Under the Curve of Precision Recall). Heavily dependent on the class prior, such metrics make it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-29 Wissam Siblini , Jordan Fréry , Liyun He-Guelton , Frédéric Oblé , Yi-Qing Wang

The Neyman-Pearson (NP) binary classification paradigm constrains the more severe type of error (e.g., the type I error) under a preferred level while minimizing the other (e.g., the type II error). This paradigm is suitable for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Jingming Wang , Lucy Xia , Zhigang Bao , Xin Tong

We study the problem of multi-class classification under system-level constraints expressible as linear functionals over randomized classifiers. We propose a post-processing approach that adjusts a given base classifier to satisfy general…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Evgenii Chzhen , Mohamed Hebiri , Gayane Taturyan
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