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We present the first empirical derivation of a continuous-time stochastic model for real-world opinion dynamics. Using longitudinal social-media data to infer users opinion on a binary climate-change topic, we reconstruct the underlying…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-06 Ixandra Achitouv , David Chavalarias , Raphael Fournier-S'niehotta

The emergence and decline of democratic systems worldwide raises fundamental questions about the dynamics of political change. Contrary to the idea of a stable endpoint of liberal democracy, recent backsliding towards less democratic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-09 Joshua Uhlig , Paula Pirker-Díaz , Matthew Wilson , Ralf Metzler , Karoline Wiesner

In this paper we consider the modeling of opinion dynamics over time dependent large scale networks. A kinetic description of the agents' distribution over the evolving network is considered which combines an opinion update based on binary…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-05 Giacomo Albi , Lorenzo Pareschi , Mattia Zanella

We study the asymptotic behavior of continuous-time, time-inhomogeneous Markovian quantum dynamics in a stationary random environment. Under mild faithfulness and eventually positivity-improving assumptions, the normalized evolution…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-12 Lubashan Pathirana , Jeffrey Schenker

The rise of digital social media has strengthened the coevolution of public opinions and social interactions, that shape social structures and collective outcomes in increasingly complex ways. Existing literature often explores this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-20 Nataša Djurdjevac Conrad , Nhu Quang Vu , Sören Nagel

For stochastic perturbations of linear systems with non-zero pure imaginary spectrum we discuss the averaging theorems in terms of the slow-fast action-angle variables and in the sense of Krylov-Bogoliubov. Then we show that if the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Jing Guo , Sergei Kuksin , Zhenxin Liu

Ecological and evolutionary dynamics have been historically regarded as unfolding at broadly separated timescales. However, these two types of processes are nowadays well documented to much more tightly than traditionally assumed,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-17 José Camacho Mateu , Matteo Sireci , Miguel A. Muñoz

We introduce a class of discrete random walk model driven by global memory effects. At any time the right-left transitions depend on the whole previous history of the walker, being defined by an urn-like memory mechanism. The characteristic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-28 Adrian A. Budini

Nonlinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in nature and they are hard to forecast. Not only they may be sensitive to small perturbations in their initial conditions, but they are often composed of processes acting at multiple scales.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-10-06 Chenyu Dong , Davide Faranda , Adriano Gualandi , Valerio Lucarini , Gianmarco Mengaldo

The collective decision-making exhibited by animal groups provides enormous inspiration for multi-agent control system design as it embodies several features that are desirable in engineered networks, including robustness and adaptability,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-01 Alessio Franci , Vaibhav Srivastava , Naomi Ehrich Leonard

In this paper, we provide a formulation of an open Hegselmann-Krause (HK) dynamics where agents can join and leave the system during the interactions. We consider a stochastic framework where the time instants corresponding to arrivals and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-14 Renato Vizuete , Paolo Frasca , Elena Panteley

For a dynamical system, it is known that the existence of a Lyapunov-type density function, called Lyapunov density or Rantzer's density function, implies convergence of Lebesgue almost all solutions to an equilibrium. Using the duality…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2018-03-12 Ozkan Karabacak , Rafael Wisniewski , John-Josef Leth

Many biological systems regulate phenotypic heterogeneity as a fitness-maximising strategy in uncertain and dynamic environments. Analysis of such strategies is typically confined both to a discrete set of environmental conditions, and to a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-02 Alexander P Browning , Sara Hamis

We study a tractable opinion dynamics model that generates long-run disagreements and persistent opinion fluctuations. Our model involves an inhomogeneous stochastic gossip process of continuous opinion dynamics in a society consisting of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-12-03 Daron Acemoglu , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani , Asuman Ozdaglar

Many analyses of resource-allocation problems employ simplistic models of the population. Using the example of a resource-allocation problem of Marecek et al. [arXiv:1406.7639], we introduce rather a general behavioural model, where the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Jonathan Epperlein , Jakub Marecek

We introduce a statistical physics model for opinion dynamics on random networks where agents adopt the opinion held by the majority of their direct neighbors only if the fraction of these neighbors exceeds a certain threshold, p_u. We find…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Peter Klimek , Renaud Lambiotte , Stefan Thurner

The dynamics of political opinion are a critical component of modern society with large-scale implications for the evolution of intra- and international political discourse and policy. Here we utilize recent high-resolution survey data to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-15 David Sabin-Miller , Christopher Harding

Opinion and belief dynamics are a central topic in the study of social interactions through dynamical systems. In this work, we study a model where, at each discrete time, all the agents update their opinion as an average of their intrinsic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-05 Javiera Gutiérrez-Ramírez , David Salas , Victor Verdugo

We investigate a dynamical model of opinion formation in which an individual's opinion is influenced by interactions with a group of other agents. We introduce a bias towards one of the opinions in a manner not considered earlier to the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-17 Pratik Mullick , Parongama Sen

As an important factor governing opinion dynamics, stubbornness strongly affects various aspects of opinion formation. However, a systematically theoretical study about the influences of heterogeneous stubbornness on opinion dynamics is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-09 Wanyue Xu , Liwang Zhu , Jiale Guan , Zuobai Zhang , Zhongzhi Zhang