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In this paper, we derive identities for the upward and downward exit problems and resolvents for a process whose motion changes between two L\'evy processes if it is above (or below) a barrier $b$ and coincides with a Poissonian arrival…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Noah Beelders , Lewis Ramsden , Apostolos D. Papaioannou

The theory of sparse stochastic processes offers a broad class of statistical models to study signals. In this framework, signals are represented as realizations of random processes that are solution of linear stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-17 Julien Fageot , Virginie Uhlmann , Michael Unser

We study the process of suitably normalized successive return times to rare events in the setting of infinite-measure preserving dynamical systems. Specifically, we consider small neighborhoods of points whose measure tends to zero. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-02 Dylan Bansard-Tresse

The problem of European-style option pricing in time-changed L\'{e}vy models in the presence of compound Poisson jumps is considered. These jumps relate to sudden large drops in stock prices induced by political or economical hits. As the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-10 Roman V. Ivanov , Katsunori Ano

Stochastic processes time-changed by an inverse subordinator have been suggested as a way to model the price of assets in illiquid markets, where the jumps of the subordinator correspond to periods of time where one is unable to sell an…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-18 Joonyong Choi , David Clancy

We investigate the Poisson regression method for Markov and semi-Markov jump processes from a nonparametric angle, allowing the lengths of the time and duration intervals in the partition to vary with the number of observations. Imposing no…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Martin Bladt , Rasmus Frigaard Lemvig

We study a stochastic differential equation driven by a Poisson point process, which models continuous changes in a population's environment, as well as the stochastic fixation of beneficial mutations that might compensate for this change.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-21 Elma Nassar , Etienne Pardoux

In many complex systems studied in statistical physics, inter-arrival times between events such as solar flares, trades and neuron voltages follow a heavy-tailed distribution. The set of event times is fractal-like, being dense in some time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-16 Katharina Hees , Smarak Nayak , Peter Straka

In the paper we consider time-changed Poisson processes where the time is expressed by compound Poisson-Gamma subordinators $G(N(t))$ and derive the expressions for their hitting times. We also study the time-changed Poisson processes where…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Khrystyna Buchak , Lyudmyla Sakhno

Fractional calculus provides a rigorous mathematical framework to describe anomalous stochastic processes by generalizing the notion of classical differential equations to their fractional-order counterparts. By introducing the fractional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-04 Ehsan Kharazmi , Mohsen Zayernouri

Our first result concerns a characterisation by means of a functional equation of Poisson point processes conditioned by the value of their first moment. It leads to a generalised version of Mecke's formula. En passant, it also allows to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-25 Giovanni Conforti , Tetiana Kosenkova , Sylvie Roelly

We consider some fractional extensions of the recursive differential equation governing the Poisson process, by introducing combinations of different fractional time-derivatives. We show that the so-called "Generalized Mittag-Leffler…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-02 Luisa Beghin , Enzo Orsingher

We present new properties for the Fractional Poisson process and the Fractional Poisson field on the plane. A martingale characterization for Fractional Poisson processes is given. We extend this result to Fractional Poisson fields,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-30 Giacomo Aletti , Nikolai Leonenko , Ely Merzbach

We study the existence of densities for distributions of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We also obtain relationships between invariant densities of the continuous time process and that of the process observed at jump times. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 Piotr Gwiżdż , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

The crossover among two or more types of diffusive processes represents a vibrant theme in nonequilibrium statistical physics. In this work we propose two models to generate crossovers among different L\'evy processes: in the first model we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-09-15 Maike A. F. dos Santos , Fernando D. Nobre , Evaldo M. F. Curado

This paper is concerned with the fractionalized diffusion equations governing the law of the fractional Brownian motion $B_H(t)$. We obtain solutions of these equations which are probability laws extending that of $B_H(t)$. Our analysis is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-28 Roberto Garra , Enzo Orsingher , Federico Polito

We define a time dependent empirical process based on $n$ i.i.d.~fractional Brownian motions and establish Gaussian couplings and strong approximations to it by Gaussian processes. They lead to functional laws of the iterated logarithm for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Péter Kevei , David M. Mason

We study here a heat-type differential equation of order n greater than two, in the case where the time-derivative is supposed to be fractional. The corresponding solution can be described as the transition function of a pseudoprocess…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-03 Luisa Beghin

When analysing statistical systems or stochastic processes, it is often interesting to ask how they behave given that some observable takes some prescribed value. This conditioning problem is well understood within the linear operator…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-09 Lydia Chabane , Alexandre Lazarescu , Gatien Verley

We investigate the distribution and multiple occurrences of extreme events stochastic processes constructed by sampling the solution of a Stochastic Differential Equation on $\mathbb{R}^n$. We do so by studying the action of an annealead…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-20 F. Flandoli , S. Galatolo , P. Giulietti , S. Vaienti