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Combining measurements which have "theoretical uncertainties" is a delicate matter, due to an unclear statistical basis. We present an algorithm based on the notion that a theoretical uncertainty represents an estimate of bias.

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-08-05 F. C. Porter

As organisations increasingly recognise data as a strategic resource, they face the challenge of translating informational assets into measurable business value. Existing valuation approaches remain fragmented, often separating economic,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Eduardo Vyhmeister , Bastien Pietropaoli , UdoBub , Rob Schneider , Andrea Visentin

We study the problem of determining what data is required to solve a decision-making task when only partial information about the state of the world is available. Focusing on linear programs, we introduce a decision-focused notion of data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-18 Omar Bennouna , Amine Bennouna , Saurabh Amin , Asuman Ozdaglar

We develop a general formalism for representing and understanding structure in complex systems. In our view, structure is the totality of relationships among a system's components, and these relationships can be quantified using information…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-09-17 Benjamin Allen , Blake C. Stacey , Yaneer Bar-Yam

Uncertainty quantification is essential in decision-making, especially when joint distributions of random variables are involved. While conformal prediction provides distribution-free prediction sets with valid coverage guarantees, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

We present a new theoretical and numerical assessment methodology for a one-dimensional process chain with general applicability to management problems such as the optimization of decision chains or production chains. The process is thereby…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-04 Johannes Freiesleben , Nicolas Guérin

Network-theoretic tools contribute to understanding real-world system dynamics, e.g., in wildlife conservation, epidemics, and power outages. Network visualization helps illustrate structural heterogeneity; however, details about…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-09-28 Kehinde R. Salau , Jacopo A. Baggio , Marco A. Janssen , Joshua K. Abbott , Eli P. Fenichel

Can we infer sources of errors from outputs of the complex data analytics software? Bidirectional programming promises that we can reverse flow of software, and translate corrections of output into corrections of either input or data…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Michał J. Gajda

Smooth entropies are a tool for quantifying resource trade-offs in (quantum) information theory and cryptography. In typical bi- and multi-partite problems, however, some of the sub-systems are often left unchanged and this is not reflected…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-07-20 Anurag Anshu , Mario Berta , Rahul Jain , Marco Tomamichel

We characterize the statistical bootstrap for the estimation of information-theoretic quantities from data, with particular reference to its use in the study of large-scale social phenomena. Our methods allow one to preserve, approximately,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-06-06 Simon DeDeo , Robert X. D. Hawkins , Sara Klingenstein , Tim Hitchcock

It is well understood that Bayesian decision theory and average case analysis are essentially identical. However, if one is interested in performing uncertainty quantification for a numerical task, it can be argued that standard approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-16 Chris. J. Oates , Jon Cockayne , Dennis Prangle , T. J. Sullivan , Mark Girolami

Mutual information is a widely-used information theoretic measure to quantify the amount of association between variables. It is used extensively in many applications such as image registration, diagnosis of failures in electrical machines,…

Computation · Statistics 2021-08-21 Luai Al-Labadi , Forough Fazeli-Asl , Zahra Saberi

The combination of argumentation and probability paves the way to new accounts of qualitative and quantitative uncertainty, thereby offering new theoretical and applicative opportunities. Due to a variety of interests, probabilistic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-03-12 Regis Riveret , Pietro Baroni , Yang Gao , Guido Governatori , Antonino Rotolo , Giovanni Sartor

This article proposes a powerful scheme to monitor a large number of categorical data streams with heterogeneous parameters or nature. The data streams considered may be either nominal with a number of attribute levels or ordinal with some…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-17 Kaizong Bai , Jian Li

Quantitative characterizations and estimations of uncertainty are of fundamental importance in optimization and decision-making processes. Herein, we propose intuitive scores, which we call certainty and doubt, that can be used in both a…

When a machine-learning algorithm makes biased decisions, it can be helpful to understand the sources of disparity to explain why the bias exists. Towards this, we examine the problem of quantifying the contribution of each individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-20 Sanghamitra Dutta , Praveen Venkatesh , Pulkit Grover

Using the generalized entropies which depend on two parameters we propose a set of quantitative characteristics derived from the Information Geometry based on these entropies. Our aim, at this stage, is modest, as we are first constructing…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-02-14 Demetris P. K. Ghikas , Fotios Oikonomou

Change of measure inequalities translate divergences between probability measures into explicit bounds on event probabilities, and play an important role in deriving probabilistic guarantees in learning theory, information theory, and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Yanxiao Liu , Yijun Fan , Deniz Gündüz

We study a simple model of the stochastic information filtering, in a randomly organized information system. For simplest versions of the model it appears to be possible to describe the filtering dynamics in terms of the master equations.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 I. S. Manida , Yu. M. Pis'mak

In this thesis we consider the problem of information hiding in the scenarios of interactive systems, statistical disclosure control, and refinement of specifications. We apply quantitative approaches to information flow in the first two…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2012-02-14 Mário S. Alvim