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We investigate ensembling techniques in forecasting and examine their potential for use in nonseasonal time-series similar to those in the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic. Developing improved forecast methods is essential as they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-04 Pieter Cawood , Terence L. van Zyl

In this work, we investigate the idea of variance reduction by studying its properties with general adaptive mirror descent algorithms in nonsmooth nonconvex finite-sum optimization problems. We propose a simple yet generalized framework…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-18 Wenjie Li , Zhanyu Wang , Yichen Zhang , Guang Cheng

This paper addresses recursive markerless estimation of a robot's end-effector using visual observations from its cameras. The problem is formulated into the Bayesian framework and addressed using Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) filtering. We…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-06-30 Claudio Fantacci , Ugo Pattacini , Vadim Tikhanoff , Lorenzo Natale

Time-delay embeddings and dimensionality reduction are powerful techniques for discovering effective coordinate systems to represent the dynamics of physical systems. Recently, it has been shown that models identified by dynamic mode…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-17 Seth M. Hirsh , Sara M. Ichinaga , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz , Bingni W. Brunton

Delay-coordinate embedding is a powerful, time-tested mathematical framework for reconstructing the dynamics of a system from a series of scalar observations. Most of the associated theory and heuristics are overly stringent for real-world…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-05-22 Joshua Garland

Endmember (EM) spectral variability can greatly impact the performance of standard hyperspectral image analysis algorithms. Extended parametric models have been successfully applied to account for the EM spectral variability. However, these…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Ricardo Augusto Borsoi , Tales Imbiriba , José Carlos Moreira Bermudez

Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) is a data-driven technique to identify a low dimensional linear time invariant dynamics underlying high-dimensional data. For systems in which such underlying low-dimensional dynamics is time-varying, a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-09 Mustaffa Alfatlawi , Vaibhav Srivastava

We present a flexible tool, called General Effect Modelling (GEM), for the analysis of any multivariate data influenced by one or more qualitative (categorical) or quantitative (continuous) input variables. The variables can be design…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-05 Ellen Færgestad Mosleth , Kristian Hovde Liland

This paper proposes a novel end-to-end deep learning framework that simultaneously identifies demand baselines and the incentive-based agent demand response model, from the net demand measurements and incentive signals. This learning…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-03 Yuanyuan Shi , Bolun Xu

Accurate time series forecasting, predicting future values based on past data, is crucial for diverse industries. Many current time series methods decompose time series into multiple sub-series, applying different model architectures and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Ronghui Han , Duanyu Feng , Hongyu Du , Hao Wang

We investigate nonlinear prediction in an online setting and introduce a hybrid model that effectively mitigates, via an end-to-end architecture, the need for hand-designed features and manual model selection issues of conventional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-11 Mustafa E. Aydın , Suleyman S. Kozat

The Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is a popular choice for learning latent variable models. Variants of the EM have been initially introduced, using incremental updates to scale to large datasets, and using Monte Carlo (MC)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-22 Belhal Karimi , Ping Li

Extracting reference spectra, or endmembers (EMs) from a given multi- or hyperspectral image, as well as estimating the size of the EM set, plays an important role in multispectral image processing. In this paper, we present…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-09-27 Christoph Schikora , Markus Plack , Andreas Kolb

We consider the problem of evaluating risk for a system that is modeled by a complex stochastic simulation with many possible input parameter values. Two sources of computational burden can be identified: the effort associated with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-29 Armin Khayyer , Alexander Vinel , Joseph J. Kennedy

One fundamental statistical question for research areas such as precision medicine and health disparity is about discovering effect modification of treatment or exposure by observed covariates. We propose a semiparametric framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-04 Muxuan Liang , Menggang Yu

Sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) is a popular class of regression methods which aim to find a small number of linear combinations of covariates that capture all the information of the responses i.e., a central subspace. The majority of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-15 Linh H. Nghiem , F. K. C. Hui

An extreme-point symmetric mode decomposition (ESMD) method is proposed to improve the Hilbert-Huang Transform (HHT) through the following prospects: (1) The sifting process is implemented by the aid of 1, 2, 3 or more inner interpolating…

General Physics · Physics 2013-08-30 Jin-Liang Wang , Zong-Jun Li

The state-of-the art proof of a global inf-sup condition on mixed finite element schemes does not allow for an analysis of truly indefinite, second-order linear elliptic PDEs. This paper, therefore, first analyses a nonconforming finite…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-01-21 Carsten Carstensen , Asha K. Dond , Neela Nataraj , Amiya K. Pani

Event cameras are vision sensors that record asynchronous streams of per-pixel brightness changes, referred to as "events". They have appealing advantages over frame-based cameras for computer vision, including high temporal resolution,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-08-21 Daniel Gehrig , Antonio Loquercio , Konstantinos G. Derpanis , Davide Scaramuzza

Traffic forecasting is a challenging task due to the complex spatio-temporal correlations among traffic series. In this paper, we identify an underexplored problem in multivariate traffic series prediction: extreme events. Road congestion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Zhiwei Zhang , Weizhong Zhang , Yaowei Huang , Kani Chen
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