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In this paper, we show how to estimate the asymptotic (conditional) covariance matrix, which appears in central limit theorems in high-frequency estimation of asset return volatility. We provide a recipe for the estimation of this matrix by…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-26 Kim Christensen , Mark Podolskij , Nopporn Thamrongrat , Bezirgen Veliyev

We consider covariance asymptotics for linear statistics of general stationary random measures in terms of their truncated pair correlation measure. We give exact infinite series-expansion formulas for covariance of smooth statistics of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Manjunath Krishnapur , D. Yogeshwaran

We first revisit the problem of estimating the spot volatility of an It\^o semimartingale using a kernel estimator. We prove a Central Limit Theorem with optimal convergence rate for a general two-sided kernel. Next, we introduce a new…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-08 José E. Figueroa-López , Bei Wu

In a vast area of probabilistic limit theorems for dynamical systems with chaotic behaviors always only functional form (exponential, power, etc) of the asymptotic laws and of convergence rates were studied. However, for basically all…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-06-28 Leonid A. Bunimovich , Yaofeng Su

We herein establish an asymptotic representation theorem for locally asymptotically normal quantum statistical models. This theorem enables us to study the asymptotic efficiency of quantum estimators such as quantum regular estimators and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-11-14 Akio Fujiwara , Koichi Yamagata

The estimation of the covariance structure from a discretely observed multivariate Gaussian process under asynchronicity and noise is analysed under high-frequency asymptotics. Asymptotic lower and upper bounds are established for a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Sebastian Holtz

Our aim in this paper is to investigate the asymptotic behavior of solutions of the perturbed linear fractional differential system. We show that if the original linear autonomous system is asymptotically stable then under the action of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-08-24 N. D. Cong , T. S. Doan , H. T. Tuan

This paper presents the asymptotic theory for nondegenerate $U$-statistics of high frequency observations of continuous It\^{o} semimartingales. We prove uniform convergence in probability and show a functional stable central limit theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-10 Mark Podolskij , Christian Schmidt , Johanna F. Ziegel

We consider nearly-integrable Hamiltonian systems defined over a non-resonant domain. In the neighborhood of resonances, we use Nekhoroshev-like estimates to provide effective stability bounds for the action variables over long time. The…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Alessandra Celletti , Anargyros Dogkas , Alessia Francesca Guido

We consider a multidimensional Ito semimartingale regularly sampled on [0,t] at high frequency $1/\Delta_n$, with $\Delta_n$ going to zero. The goal of this paper is to provide an estimator for the integral over [0,t] of a given function of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-14 Jean Jacod , Mathieu Rosenbaum

We consider the moderate deviations behaviors for two (co-) volatility estima-tors: generalised bipower variation, Hayashi-Yoshida estimator. The results are obtained by using a new result about the moderate deviations principle for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Hacène Djellout , Arnaud Guillin , Hui Jiang , Yacouba Samoura

Parameter estimation for a parabolic linear stochastic partial differential equation in one space dimension is studied observing the solution field on a discrete grid in a fixed bounded domain. Considering an infill asymptotic regime in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Florian Hildebrandt , Mathias Trabs

We consider estimation of the quadratic (co)variation of a semimartingale from discrete observations which are irregularly spaced under high-frequency asymptotics. In the univariate setting, results by Jacod (2008) are generalized to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-15 Markus Bibinger , Mathias Vetter

We establish bounds for the covariance of a large class of functions of infinite variance stable random variables, including unbounded functions such as the power function and the logarithm. These bounds involve measures of dependence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Vladas Pipiras , Murad S. Taqqu , Patrice Abry

This paper provides refined versions of some known functional central limit theorems for conditional Poisson sampling which are more suitable for applications. The theorems presented in this paper are generalizations of some results that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Leo Pasquazzi

Some limit theorems are proven for the linear oscillator with random coefficients. The asymptotic behaviour of the moments is studied in detail. The technique presented in this paper can be applied to general linear systems with noise and…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2016-09-08 V. Balandin , H. Mais

In this paper, we consider a framework adapting the notion of cointegration when two asset prices are generated by a driftless It\^{o}-semimartingale featuring jumps with infinite activity, observed regularly and synchronously at high…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-24 Simon Clinet , Yoann Potiron

This paper establishes a functional stable central limit theorem for a class of superdiffusive solutions to stochastic differential equations driven by an $\alpha$-stable process.

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Aleksandar Mijatović , Andrey Pilipenko , Isao Sauzedde

We consider the problem of efficient inference of the Average Treatment Effect in a sequential experiment where the policy governing the assignment of subjects to treatment or control can change over time. We first provide a central limit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 Thomas Cook , Alan Mishler , Aaditya Ramdas

In this paper, we aim at estimating the quarticity of continuous It\^{o} semimartingales. Instead of using some classical estimators, we introduce a more intuitive one and establish a central limit theorem (CLT) for it, with a convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Yi Guo