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Related papers: Variance-based control of regime shifts: bistabili…

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In this work, we introduce an information-theoretic approach for considering changes in dynamics of finitely dimensional open quantum systems governed by master equations. This experimentally motivated approach arises from considering how…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-05-03 Katarzyna Macieszczak

Regime shifts are quite common in complex systems like cell regulations, disease transmissions, ecosystems, marine ice instability, etc. Several statistical indicators known as early warning signals (EWS) have been theorized to anticipate…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-01-18 Shankha Narayan Chattopadhyay , Arvind Kumar Gupta

Stochastic Spatio-Temporal processes are prevalent across domains ranging from modeling of plasma to the turbulence in fluids to the wave function of quantum systems. This letter studies a measure-theoretic description of such systems by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-25 George I. Boutselis , Ethan N. Evans , Marcus A. Pereira , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Early warning signals have been proposed to forecast the possibility of a critical transition, such as the eutrophication of a lake, the collapse of a coral reef, or the end of a glacial period. Because such transitions often unfold on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-04 Carl Boettiger , Alan Hastings

Complex dynamical systems may exhibit multiple steady states, including time-periodic limit cycles, where the final trajectory depends on initial conditions. With tuning of parameters, limit cycles can proliferate or merge at an exceptional…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-03 Sergei Shmakov , Peter B. Littlewood

Additive noise is known to produce counter-intuitive behaviors in nonlinear dynamical systems. Previously, it was shown that systems with a deterministic limit cycle can display bistable switching between metastable states in the presence…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-01-26 Michael A. Schwemmer , Jay M. Newby

In this paper we propose a new early warning test statistic, the ratio of deviations (RoD), which is defined to be the root mean squared of successive differences divided by the standard deviation. We show that RoD and autocorrelation are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-06-21 Andrew Roberts , Sasanka Are

Biological oscillations are periodic changes in various signaling processes crucial for the proper functioning of living organisms. These oscillations are modeled by ordinary differential equations, with coefficient variations leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-04 Heng Rao , Yu Gu , Jason Zipeng Zhang , Ge Yu , Yang Cao , Minghan Chen

We study an excitable active rotator with slowly adapting nonlinear feedback and noise. Depending on the adaptation and the noise level, this system may display noise-induced spiking, noise-perturbed oscillations, or stochastic busting. We…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-08-26 Igor Franović , Serhiy Yanchuk , Sebastian Eydam , Iva Bačić , Matthias Wolfrum

Living systems have time-evolving interactions that, until recently, could not be identified accurately from recorded time series in the presence of noise. Stankovski et al. (Phys. Rev. Lett. 109 024101, 2012) introduced a method based on…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-14 Andrea Duggento , Tomislav Stankovski , Peter V. E. McClintock , Aneta Stefanovska

Local bifurcation control is a topic of fundamental importance in the field of nonlinear dynamical systems. We discuss an original example within the context of storage-ring free-electron laser physics by presenting a new model that enables…

Optics · Physics 2008-11-26 Giovanni De Ninno , Duccio Fanelli

A dynamical system that undergoes a supercritical Hopf's bifurcation is perturbed by a multiplicative Brownian motion that scales with a small parameter $\epsilon$. The random fluctuations of the system at the critical point are studied…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Michele Aleandri , Paolo Dai Pra

The classic N p chart gives a signal if the number of successes in a sequence of inde- pendent binary variables exceeds a control limit. Motivated by engineering applications in industrial image processing and, to some extent, financial…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-01-13 Ansgar Steland , Ewaryst Rafalowicz

Multistability is an inseparable feature of many physical, chemical and biological systems which are driven far from equilibrium. In these nonequilibrium systems, stochastic dynamics often induces switching between distinct states on…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2017-11-01 Guram Gogia , Justin Burton

We consider discrete-time one-dimensional random dynamical systems with bounded noise, which generate an associated set-valued dynamical system. We provide necessary and sufficient conditions for a discontinuous bifurcation of a minimal…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-04-09 Christian Kuehn , Giuseppe Malavolta , Martin Rasmussen

We study the dynamics of fluctuations at the critical point for two time-asymmetric version of the Curie-Weiss model for spin systems that, in the macroscopic limit, undergo a Hopf bifurcation. The fluctuations around the macroscopic limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-23 Paolo Dai Pra , Daniele Tovazzi

When a driven oscillator loses phase-locking to a master oscillator via a Hopf bifurcation, it enters a bounded-phase regime in which its average frequency is still equal to the master frequency, but its phase displays temporal…

Optics · Physics 2014-04-24 Marco Romanelli , Lihua Wang , Marc Brunel , Marc Vallet

Model Predictive Control (MPC) has established itself as the primary methodology for constrained control, enabling autonomy across diverse applications. While model fidelity is crucial in MPC, solving the corresponding optimization problem…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-23 Lukas Schroth , Daniel Morton , Amon Lahr , Daniele Gammelli , Andrea Carron , Marco Pavone

We introduce a new method to identify phase boundaries in physical systems. It is based on training a predictive model such as a neural network to infer a physical system's parameters from its state. The deviation of the inferred parameters…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-12 Frank Schäfer , Niels Lörch

Many complex systems exhibit extreme events far more often than expected for a normal distribution. This work examines how self-similar bursts of activity across several orders of magnitude can emerge from first principles in systems that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-11-13 Felix Patzelt
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