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We study the rate of weak convergence of Markov chains to diffusion processes under suitable but quite general assumptions. We give an example in the financial framework, applying the convergence analysis to a multiple jumps tree…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-06 Maya Briani , Lucia Caramellino , Giulia Terenzi

Symmetric random walks in $R^d$ and $Z^d$ are considered. It is assumed that the jump distribution density has moderate tails, i.e., several density moments are finite, including the second one. The global (for all $x$ and $t$) asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-16 S. Molchanov , B. Vainberg

We propose an update estimation method for a diffusion parameter from high-frequency dependent data under a nuisance drift element. We ensure the asymptotic equivalence of the estimator to the corresponding quasi-MLE, which has the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-30 Yusuke Shimizu

In previous publications, we showed that the incremental process of the chaotic diffusion of dissipative solitons in a prototypical complex Ginzburg-Landau equation, known, e.g., from nonlinear optics, is governed by a simple Markov process…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2022-07-13 Tony Albers , Jaime Cisternas , Günter Radons

Let (RU_1, R U_2) be a given bivariate scale mixture random vector, with R>0 being independent of the bivariate random vector (U_1,U_2). In this paper we derive exact asymptotic expansions of the tail probability P{RU_1> x, RU_2> ax}, a \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-14 Enkelejd Hashorva

This paper investigates the second order asymptotic expansion for tail probabilities of discounted aggregate claims in continuous-time renewal risk models with constant interest force. Concretely, two types of continuous-time renewal risk…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-07 Bingzhen Genga , Shijie Wanga , Yang Yang

Wright-Fisher diffusions and their dual ancestral graphs occupy a central role in the study of allele frequency change and genealogical structure, and they provide expressions, explicit in some special cases but generally implicit, for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Martina Favero , Paul A. Jenkins

This paper introduces a unified approach for modeling high-frequency financial data that can accommodate both the continuous-time jump-diffusion and discrete-time realized GARCH model by embedding the discrete realized GARCH structure in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-16 Xinyu Song , Donggyu Kim , Huiling Yuan , Xiangyu Cui , Zhiping Lu , Yong Zhou , Yazhen Wang

We examine a random model consisting of objects with positive weights and evolving in discrete time steps, which generalizes certain random graph models. We prove almost sure convergence for the weight distribution and show scale-free…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-10 Ágnes Backhausz , Tamás F. Móri

We price and replicate a variety of claims written on the log price $X$ and quadratic variation $[X]$ of a risky asset, modeled as a positive semimartingale, subject to stochastic volatility and jumps. The pricing and hedging formulas do…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-02 Peter Carr , Roger Lee , Matthew Lorig

We consider a Markov chain on $R^+$ with asymptotically zero drift and finite second moments of jumps which is positive recurrent. A power-like asymptotic behaviour of the invariant tail distribution is proven; such a heavy-tailed invariant…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-16 Denis Denisov , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel

In this paper we examine the asymptotic theory for U-statistics and V-statistics of discontinuous Ito semimartingales that are observed at high frequency. For different types of kernel functions we show laws of large numbers and associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-25 Mark Podolskij , Christian Schmidt , Mathias Vetter

We establish the asymptotic expansion in $\beta$ matrix models with a confining, off-critical potential, in the regime where the support of the equilibrium measure is a union of segments. We first address the case where the filling…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-07-19 Gaëtan Borot , Alice Guionnet

A systematic analysis of large scale fluctuations in the low temperature pinned phase of a directed polymer in a random potential is described. These fluctuations come from rare regions with nearly degenerate ``ground states''. The…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 Terence Hwa , Daniel S. Fisher

In this paper we consider two semimartingales driven by diffusions and jumps. We allow both for finite activity and for infinite activity jump components. Given discrete observations we disentangle the {\it integrated covariation} (the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Fabio Gobbi , Cecilia Mancini

Waves propagating through a weakly scattering random medium show a pronounced branching of the flow accompanied by the formation of freak waves, i.e., extremely intense waves. Theory predicts that this strong fluctuation regime is…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2013-11-05 S. Barkhofen , J. Metzger , R. Fleischmann , U. Kuhl , H. -J. Stoeckmann

We calculate the sample-to-sample fluctuations in the excitation gap of a chaotic dynamical system coupled by a narrow lead to a superconductor. Quantum fluctuations on the order of magnitude of the level spacing, predicted by random-matrix…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. C. Goorden , Ph. Jacquod , C. W. J. Beenakker

We study the short-time asymptotics of conditional expectations of smooth and non-smooth functions of a (discontinuous) Ito semimartingale; we compute the leading term in the asymptotics in terms of the local characteristics of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-08 Amel Bentata , Rama Cont

In this paper, according to a certain criterion, we divide the exponential distribution class into three subclasses. One of them is closely related to the regular-variation-tailed distribution class, so it is called the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-30 Zhaolei Cui , Edward Omey , Wenyuan Wang , Yuebao Wang

We derive explicit formulas for the Mellin transform and the distribution of the exponential functional for Levy processes with rational Laplace exponent. This extends recent results by Cai and Kou on the processes with hyper-exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-30 Alexey Kuznetsov